Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey

Spain - Copa del Rey

Atlético Baleares
17/12/2025 13:00
Atletico Madrid

Prediction :

 

Atletico Madrid to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions

Third-tier side Atletico Baleares will be up against La Liga giants Atletico Madrid in the fourth round of the Copa del Rey. This match marks the first-ever meeting between the two sides, and Baleares will be out to cause a major upset. Read on for our prediction below.

Baleares have already been responsible for one shock in this competition, after beating La Liga side Espanyol 1-0. The challenge gets tougher in this round, and so will Baleares, as they look to prove it wasn’t a fluke.

Preparations for this game didn’t go well for the hosts, who lost 3-1 at Terrassa. The hosts have to do better in attack too, having failed to score more than once in the last four outings.

That will particularly be an issue when coming up against this Atletico side that scored five goals in just the last two games. Atletico have only failed to score once in their last 10 matches.

In those 10 matches, they scored two or more goals in seven games. After back-to-back defeats by Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao, Atletico have recovered with two wins.

Their most recent came on Saturday at home to Valencia, ending 2-1. In the first three rounds, Atletico got a bye, and here they will be favorites to sail into the quarters.

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The Best Betting Odds for Atlético Baleares v Atletico Madrid Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
9 6.5 1.22
Betfred
13 6 1.22
William Hill
11 5.8 1.25
Unibet
11.5 6.4 1.24
Betway
10 5.75 1.25
Check all Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Atlético Baleares and Atletico Madrid?

Our prediction for the Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid match is: Atletico Madrid to win and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/12/2025 between Atlético Baleares and Atletico Madrid in Copa del Rey :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.3% for a win of Atlético Baleares against Atletico Madrid with odds of 13 at Betfred.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid is 14.06% with odds of 6.6 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 41.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Atlético Baleares with odds of 1.26 at Tonybet.

Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid Form

Atlético Baleares and Atletico Madrid Last Matches

Atlético Baleares
Atlético Baleares Last matches
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - Segunda Federación

Terrassa FC
3 :  1
Atlético Baleares

7 Dec 2025 - Segunda Federación

Atlético Baleares
1 :  0
UE Porreres

4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atlético Baleares
1 :  0
Espanyol

29 Nov 2025 - Segunda Federación

Atletic Lleida CE
0 :  1
Atlético Baleares

23 Nov 2025 - Segunda Federación

Atlético Baleares
2 :  1
UD Poblense

16 Nov 2025 - Segunda Federación

Torrent CF
1 :  2
Atlético Baleares
D W D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Dec 2025 - Segunda Federación

Atlético Baleares
1 :  0
UE Porreres

4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atlético Baleares
1 :  0
Espanyol

23 Nov 2025 - Segunda Federación

Atlético Baleares
2 :  1
UD Poblense

9 Nov 2025 - Segunda Federación

Atlético Baleares
2 :  2
Girona FC B

30 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atlético Baleares
2 :  0
Gimnàstic Tarragona

26 Oct 2025 - Segunda Federación

Atlético Baleares
1 :  1
Espanyol B
W L L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - Segunda Federación

Terrassa FC
3 :  1
Atlético Baleares

29 Nov 2025 - Segunda Federación

Atletic Lleida CE
0 :  1
Atlético Baleares

16 Nov 2025 - Segunda Federación

Torrent CF
1 :  2
Atlético Baleares

2 Nov 2025 - Segunda Federación

Reus FC Reddis
4 :  0
Atlético Baleares

12 Oct 2025 - Segunda Federación

CE Andratx
1 :  0
Atlético Baleares

28 Sept 2025 - Segunda Federación

UD Barbastro
0 :  2
Atlético Baleares
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid Last matches
W W L L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Valencia

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  3
Atletico Madrid

6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

2 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid

29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Real Oviedo

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Valencia

29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  0
Real Oviedo

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
2 :  1
Inter Milan

8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Levante

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Atletico Madrid
3 :  1
Union Saint-Gilloise

1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
3 :  0
Sevilla
L W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  3
Atletico Madrid

6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Atletico Madrid

2 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  1
Atletico Madrid

23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Getafe
0 :  1
Atletico Madrid

27 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
0 :  2
Atletico Madrid

21 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Arsenal
4 :  0
Atletico Madrid

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Atlético Baleares
CD Huachipato Atletico Madrid
Top Goalscorer
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Alvarez (11 Goals)
Best assists
Best assists
Argentina G. Simeone (5 Assists)

Atlético Baleares - Atletico Madrid Key Points

  1. Atletico Madrid posted eight wins in their last 10 matches.
  2. Seven of Atletico Madrid’s last 10 matches had over 2.5 goals.
  3. Five of Baleares’ last eight matches had over 2.5 goals scored.
  4. Baleares kept only four clean sheets in the last 12 matches.
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Our Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid Prediction

This is a lopsided match, and it will be quite a shock should Atletico fail to win the game. These two sides are facing off for the first time in history, and Atletico Baleares will be looking to eliminate another La Liga side. They have already seen off Espanyol in this competition and will be well inspired coming into this one.

They will, however, be let down by their scoring form. While Baleares have struggled to score more than once, Atletico have easily scored multiple goals across their recent matches. Our prediction for Atletico Baleares v Atletico Madrid is for Atletico Madrid to win and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Atletico Madrid to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid Prediction