Sporting Gijon vs Valencia Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey
Spain - Copa del Rey
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions
Two years after last facing off, Sporting Gijon and Valencia renew their rivalry, meeting in the Copa del Rey fourth round. This match will mark the fourth straight time the two meet in the cup competition. Gijon are keen to stop Valencia’s dominance, and below we have a prediction.
Gijon’s Copa journey started in the second round after a first-stage bye. They saw off Caudal Deportivo 1-0 before beating Mirandes 2-0. With progression, things get tougher, and they will look to avoid a third straight defeat to Valencia.
Their latest matchup was in 2023, Valencia winning 4-0 with Gijon failing to score in two straight games against Valencia.
Valencia have only suffered defeat once in the last five matches against Gijon. That was in the Copa del Rey back in 2019, but they have three wins in that run.
Six times in their last 10 meetings with Gijon, Valencia kept clean sheets, a record they’d love to extend here. They aren’t on a very good run though, heading into this match, off the back of a 2-1 loss to Atletico Madrid in La Liga.
That left them without a win in 90 minutes in the last four matches. One of those was in the Copa, where they had to go through extra time to see off FC Cartagena 2-1 following a 1-1 draw in regular time.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sporting Gijon v Valencia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.9 | 3.25 | 1.96 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.15 | 2.04 |
|
|
4.28 | 3.3 | 1.94 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.25 | 1.95 |
|
|
4.1 | 3.4 | 2.04 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Gijon and Valencia?
Our prediction for the Sporting Gijon vs Valencia match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/12/2025 between Sporting Gijon and Valencia in Copa del Rey :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.29% for a win of Sporting Gijon against Valencia with odds of 4.28 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Gijon vs Valencia is 37.08% with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Valencia vs Sporting Gijon with odds of 2.06 at 888Starz.
Sporting Gijon - Valencia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sporting Gijon Valencia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 37.08% | 3.4 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 57.61% | 2.22 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 17.87% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Sporting Gijon vs Valencia Form
Sporting Gijon and Valencia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
28 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
16 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
28 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
16 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
2 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga 2
12 Oct 2025 - LaLiga 2
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga 2
3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
7 Nov 2025 - LaLiga 2
29 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
19 Oct 2025 - LaLiga 2
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
21 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
21 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
30 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
1 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
28 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
20 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
Sporting Gijon vs Valencia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
25 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Jan 2023 - Copa del Rey
15 Jan 2019 - Copa del Rey
8 Jan 2019 - Copa del Rey
11 Mar 2017 - LaLiga
Sporting Gijon vs Valencia last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
R. Yanez
DefenderA. Diego
Y. Kembo
I. Martinez
D. Sanchez
J. Bernal Villarig
E. Curbelo
MidfielderI. Martin
A. Corredera
ForwardA. Matar Coundoul
J. Otero
C. Rivero
DefenderR. Iranzo
J. Gaya
T. Correia
J. Copete
L. Nunez
A. Almeida
L. Rioja
F. Ugrinic
D. Otorbi
H. Duro
Sporting Gijon - Valencia Key Points
- Gijon scored in all of their last four matches.
- In Valencia’s last four matches, both teams got to score.
- Valencia kept one clean sheet in their last five away games.
- Both teams scored in three of these teams’ last five meetings.
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Our Sporting Gijon vs Valencia Prediction
Valencia have dominated their most recent meetings with Gijon and will hope for the same here. They haven't had a great run ahead of this game, though, and there could be a case of confidence lacking. In their last four away matches especially, Valencia are winless.
Gijon will hope to take advantage here, even as they have struggled in this fixture themselves. Looking at both teams’ recent results, we expect an end-to-end battle here. Our prediction for Gijon v Valencia is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Gijon Valencia
| Sporting Gijon vs Valencia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon wins | 2.45 | 4.28 | +74.7% |
| Draw | 3 | 3.4 | +13.3% |
| Valencia wins | 2.62 | 2.06 | -21.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 33.3% and is now 29.4% (-3.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Sporting Gijon vs. Valencia game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Sporting Gijon and Valencia? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Copa del Rey! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
