PSG vs Flamengo Prediction & Betting Tips - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

International Clubs - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

PSG
17/12/2025 12:00
Flamengo

Prediction :

 

PSG wins

1.7
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Football Predictions

It's been a hugely successful year for PSG with the Champions League finally being won. Now PSG attempt to end 2025 with another trophy. Can the Parisians beat Flamengo in the final of the FIFA Intercontinental Cup?  Read our match prediction below.

This tournament is being held in Qatar and is similar to the former version of the Club World Cup. The past week has seen six clubs from different continents battling it out to win the title. As Champions League winners, PSG received a bye straight into this final. The Ligue 1 champions (currently second behind Lens this season) will want to go one step further than in this summer's extended FIFA Club World Cup in which they lost the final to Chelsea.

Flamengo qualified for this competition by winning the 2025 Copa Libertadores. They also recently won Brazil's Serie A title, finishing three points clear of Palmeiras despite only winning one of their final three league fixtures. As you will read in the form section of this preview, the Brazilians have had to work a lot harder than their French opponents to reach this final. Can they beat PSG to lift the trophy?

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The Best Betting Odds for PSG v Flamengo Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.72 3.65 4.9
Melbet
1.77 3.6 4.78
BC Game
1.76 3.7 5.2
Tonybet
1.7 3.6 4.9
888Starz
1.67 3.76 5.3
Check all PSG vs Flamengo odds

What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Flamengo?

Our prediction for the PSG vs Flamengo match is: PSG wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/12/2025 between PSG and Flamengo in FIFA Intercontinental Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.41% for a win of PSG against Flamengo with odds of 1.77 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Flamengo is 23.97% with odds of 3.76 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Flamengo vs PSG with odds of 5.3 at 888Starz.

PSG - Flamengo Prediction and Best Odds:

PSG Flamengo Prediction Probability Odds
PSG wins 42.41% 1.77 at Melbet
Over 2.5 goals 66.76% 2.01 at Stake
Both Team To Score 59.52% 1.85 at Betsson
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: PSG 20.41%

PSG vs Flamengo Form

PSG and Flamengo Last Matches

PSG
PSG Last matches
W W L W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  3
PSG

10 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
PSG

6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
5 :  0
Rennes

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  0
PSG

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

PSG
5 :  3
Tottenham

22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Le Havre
D W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
5 :  0
Rennes

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

PSG
5 :  3
Tottenham

22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  0
Le Havre

4 Nov 2025 - Champions League

PSG
1 :  2
Bayern Munich

1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  0
Nice

17 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  3
Strasbourg
W D W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1

Metz
2 :  3
PSG

10 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
PSG

29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Monaco
1 :  0
PSG

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  3
PSG

29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Lorient
1 :  1
PSG

25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  3
PSG
Flamengo
Flamengo Last matches
D W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

Flamengo
2 :  0
Pyramids FC

10 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  2
Flamengo

6 Dec 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
3 :  3
Flamengo

3 Dec 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
1 :  0
Ceara

29 Nov 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
0 :  1
Flamengo

25 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  1
Flamengo
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

Flamengo
2 :  0
Pyramids FC

3 Dec 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
1 :  0
Ceara

22 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  0
Bragantino

9 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  2
Santos

1 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Flamengo
3 :  0
Sport Recife

22 Oct 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Flamengo
1 :  0
Racing Club Avellaneda
W L D W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  2
Flamengo

6 Dec 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Mirassol
3 :  3
Flamengo

29 Nov 2025 - Copa Libertadores

Palmeiras
0 :  1
Flamengo

25 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Atletico MG
1 :  1
Flamengo

19 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Fluminense
2 :  1
Flamengo

15 Nov 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A

Sport Recife
1 :  5
Flamengo

PSG - Flamengo: Form Analysis

PSG received a bye into this FIFA Intercontinental final and were last in action last Saturday when winning 3-2 at Metz in Ligue 1. They were always in control of that game after going 2-0 up in the first 39 minutes. 

That victory followed a goalless draw at Athletic Bilbao in the Champions League where they are currently third in the table. PSG are unbeaten in their last three games since being beaten 1-0 at Monaco at the end of November.

Flamengo have had to play two matches to reach this final. They began their FIFA Intercontinental Cup campaign with a 2-1 win over Cruz Azul from Mexico on December 10 with both their goals being scored by Giorgian de Arrascaeta.

Flamengo are chasing yet another title success.

That success took them into the semi-finals against Pyramids from Egypt and win the Challenger Cup. A goal in each half saw them win 2-0 to reach the final. The past few weeks have been massive for Flamengo. They beat Palmeiras to win the Copa Libertadores and then clinched the Serie A title.

Flamengo are unbeaten in their last seven games since losing at Fluminense in mid-November.

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PSG against Flamengo Lineups: Starting 11

PSG

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

39
M. Safonov
33
W. Zaire-Emery
5
Marquinhos
51
W. Pacho
25
N. Mendes
87
J. Neves
17
Vitinha
8
F. Ruiz
19
L. Kang-in
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
14
D. Doue
27
B. Pinto
50
G. Plata
10
G. De Arrascaeta
15
J. Carrascal
21
Jorginho
5
E. Pulgar
26
A. Sandro
4
L. Pereira
3
L. Ortiz
2
G. Varela
1
A. Rossi

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Flamengo

Substitutes

PSG
PSG
Goalkeeper

L. Chevalier

R. Marin

Defender

I. Zabarnyi

Beraldo

L. Hernandez

Midfielder

S. Mayulu

L. Kang-in 35'

Forward

B. Barcola

S. Mayulu 65'

G. Ramos

I. Mbaye

K. Kvaratskhelia 91'

O. Dembele

D. Doue 78'

Q. Ndjantou

F. Ruiz 106'

Flamengo
Flamengo
Goalkeeper

D. Alves

Defender

A. Lucas

Emerson

Danilo

Midfielder

N. De La Cruz

E. Pulgar 75'

W. Yan

S. Niguez

Jorginho 75'

Evertton

Forward

Everton

G. De Arrascaeta 74'

Juninho

Pedro

J. Carrascal 56'

L. Araujo

B. Pinto 90'

S. Lino

G. Plata 107'

Michael

Missing players

PSG
PSG
Defender

A. Hakimi

Flamengo
Flamengo

PSG & Flamengo Squad Analysis

Achraf Hakimi is a major doubt for PSG due to his ankle injury. Lucas Chevalier has had a similar injury but he's expected to be fit to play in this final against Flamengo. A big return for the European champions is that of Ousmane Dembele.

He didn't play against Metz in their most recent win. PSG will be looking for him to score more goals for them as he's only scored a couple in Ligue 1 this season. Each goal against Metz was scored by a different player so they have plenty who are in goalscoring form.

They are no strangers to playing in Qatar. Last  year saw them beat Monaco to win the Trophee des Champions. Since then they've won Ligue 1, the French Cup, the Champions League and the UEFA Super Cup. Now comes a chance to lift this trophy on Wednesday.

Can Flamengo cope with their busy schedule?

Between November 26 and December 13, Flamengo played six matches, two more than PSG. Their busy and high-pressured fixture list may well count against them in this FIFA Intercontinental final.

Flamengo are a side that PSG will show total respect too. The Brazilians do have some selection problems ahead of this final. Allan is unlikely to play due to a heel injury. Also doubtful for the South Americans is Pedro who has an injured forearm.

PSG - Flamengo Key Points

  1. PSG have already won four trophies this year.
  2. Flamengo have had to play two matches to reach this final, while PSG received a bye.
  3. PSG have kept two clean sheets in their last three games.
  4. PSG have only lost one away game since September.
  5. PSG were losing finalists in this year's FIFA Club World Cup.
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Our PSG vs Flamengo Prediction

The scene is set for an exciting FIFA Intercontinental Cup final. Last year the trophy was won by Real Madrid and PSG will be hoping they can again produce a win for the Europeans. They have had an incredible 2025 and will want to end it with another major trophy being won.

It's been a hectic time for Flamengo since late November. They won both Copa Libertadores and Serie A. Two matches have had to be won to reach this final but will this be one match too far for them? Our main PSG v Flamengo prediction is PSG wins.

Prediction :

 

PSG wins

1.7
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PSG vs Flamengo - Other Interesting Predictions

PSG to score in the first half

Odds 1.66

PSG have scored in the first half in five of their last seven matches.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Flamengo

PSG vs Flamengo Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
PSG wins 1.68 1.77 +5.4%
Draw 3.8 3.76 -1.1%
Flamengo wins 4.58 5.3 +15.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • PSG is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 5.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 59.5% and is now 56.5% (-3.0%)

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Try your luck on this year's FIFA Intercontinental Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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PSG vs Flamengo - FAQs

The FIFA Intercontinental Cup final is being played on Wednesday December 17. It's scheduled to start at 17:00 UK time.

This game between PSG and Flamengo is being played at the Al-Rayyan Stadium in Qatar.

ESPN (UK) will be showing this game live in the UK. If you want to see how your wagers are progressing or need some advice for any in-play bets, go to our FIFA Intercontinental Cup livescore. You'll be able to read updated statistics and live text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

PSG vs Flamengo Prediction