CF Talavera de La Reina vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey

Spain - Copa del Rey

CF Talavera de La Reina
17/12/2025 15:00
Real Madrid

Prediction :

 

Real Madrid to win and BTTS

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions

Real Madrid will travel to third-tier side CF Talavera looking to advance in the Copa del Rey. La Liga and Champions League assignments have been taxing for Los Blancos, and this will be a welcome break. We have a prediction for this match below.

Talavera will welcome this Spanish giant, hoping to put up a fight in a match that largely looks beyond their reach. They have a poor run coming into the game and will need an outstanding show to claim the spoils here.

Talavera overcame Rayo Majadahonda 4-1 and Malaga 2-1 to book this slot. They are, however, on a run of six losses in eight games. Their 2-1 win over Merida was the second one in three matches, though. 

Real Madrid once again labored to victory, beating Alaves 2-1 to stay second in La Liga. They have now managed just three wins in their last nine matches.

That latest one was a needed recovery for the Spanish giants, who had lost back-to-back matches beforehand. Here the under-pressure Xabi Alonso can afford to rest some of his key men.

Being unbeaten in their last six away matches, this should be an easy outing for Real Madrid. They only need to improve on the fact that they only have one clean sheet in their last five matches on the road.

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CF Talavera de La Reina v Real Madrid Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
17 8.8 1.1
Melbet
16 10.1 1.12
Betwinner
17.3 11 1.1
Bet365
17 11 1.05
Roobet
20 9.4 1.1
Check all CF Talavera de La Reina vs Real Madrid odds

What is the prediction for the football match between CF Talavera de La Reina and Real Madrid?

Our prediction for the CF Talavera de La Reina vs Real Madrid match is: Real Madrid to win and BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/12/2025 between CF Talavera de La Reina and Real Madrid in Copa del Rey :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.34% for a win of CF Talavera de La Reina against Real Madrid with odds of 25 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between CF Talavera de La Reina vs Real Madrid is 19.04% with odds of 11 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 59.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs CF Talavera de La Reina with odds of 1.13 at Tonybet.

CF Talavera de La Reina - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:

CF Talavera de La Reina Real Madrid Prediction Probability Odds
Real Madrid wins 59.62% 1.13 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 56.18% 1.23 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 50%
Half-time / Full-time: Real Madrid/Real Madrid 27.56% 1.36 at Bet365

CF Talavera de La Reina vs Real Madrid Form

CF Talavera de La Reina and Real Madrid Last Matches

CF Talavera de La Reina
CF Talavera de La Reina Last matches
L L L W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - Primera Federación

CF Talavera de La Reina
2 :  1
Merida UD

7 Dec 2025 - Primera Federación

CD Arenteiro
1 :  0
CF Talavera de La Reina

3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey

CF Talavera de La Reina
2 :  1
Málaga

30 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación

CF Talavera de La Reina
0 :  1
Cacereño

23 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación

Zamora
2 :  1
CF Talavera de La Reina

16 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación

CF Talavera de La Reina
0 :  1
Unionistas De Salamanca CF
L W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - Primera Federación

CF Talavera de La Reina
2 :  1
Merida UD

3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey

CF Talavera de La Reina
2 :  1
Málaga

30 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación

CF Talavera de La Reina
0 :  1
Cacereño

16 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación

CF Talavera de La Reina
0 :  1
Unionistas De Salamanca CF

25 Oct 2025 - Primera Federación

CF Talavera de La Reina
2 :  0
CA Osasuna B

11 Oct 2025 - Primera Federación

CF Talavera de La Reina
0 :  1
Ponferradina
D W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Dec 2025 - Primera Federación

CD Arenteiro
1 :  0
CF Talavera de La Reina

23 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación

Zamora
2 :  1
CF Talavera de La Reina

8 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación

Celta Vigo B
4 :  3
CF Talavera de La Reina

2 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación

Real Madrid Castilla
1 :  0
CF Talavera de La Reina

28 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey

CF Rayo Majadahonda
1 :  4
CF Talavera de La Reina

19 Oct 2025 - Primera Federación

Real Aviles CF
1 :  1
CF Talavera de La Reina
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
W D W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  2
Real Madrid

10 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Manchester City

7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  2
Celta Vigo

3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Real Madrid

30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Madrid

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Olympiacos
3 :  4
Real Madrid
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Manchester City

7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  2
Celta Vigo

1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Valencia

26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Barcelona

22 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  0
Juventus

4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  1
Villarreal
D D W D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  2
Real Madrid

3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  3
Real Madrid

30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Girona
1 :  1
Real Madrid

26 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Olympiacos
3 :  4
Real Madrid

23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  2
Real Madrid

9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  0
Real Madrid

Players list

CF Talavera de La Reina
CF Talavera de La Reina
Goalkeeper

J. Gonzalez

Defender

A. Lopez Palomino

M. Farrando Stiepovich

A. Martinez

D. Barreno

Midfielder

L. Sanchez Marcos

R. Doncel Garcia

I. Navarro Diaz

Forward

E. Gallardo Rodriguez

M. Moreno

G. Di Renzo

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

A. Lunin

Defender

D. Huijsen

D. Jimenez

A. Carreras

F. Garcia

Midfielder

D. Ceballos

Forward

Endrick

G. Garcia

F. Mastantuono

K. Mbappe

A. Guler

Substitutes

CF Talavera de La Reina
CF Talavera de La Reina
Goalkeeper

A. Sanchez

R. Rocafort

Defender

J. Sanchez Romero

S. Molina Pages

D. Barreno 46'

B. Ouacharaf

F. Rodriguez

Midfielder

A. Molina

E. Gallardo Rodriguez 77'

P. Capo Payeras

L. Sanchez Marcos 46'

S. Montero Ortiz

M. Moreno 69'

Forward

I. Ayllon Descalzo

N. Arroyo Mazorra

A. Martinez 59'

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

F. Gonzalez

J. Navarro

Defender

J. Martinez

V. Valdepenas

Midfielder

J. Cestero

D. Ceballos 87'

T. Pitarch Pinar

A. Tchouameni

A. Guler 78'

J. Bellingham

G. Garcia 77'

Forward

Vinicius Junior

Rodrygo

F. Mastantuono 66'

Missing players

CF Talavera de La Reina
CF Talavera de La Reina
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

T. Alexander-Arnold

F. Mendy

E. Militao

CF Talavera de La Reina - Real Madrid Key Points

  1. Real Madrid have one clean sheet in five away matches.
  2. Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last six games on the road.
  3. In nine home matches, Talavera failed to score in just three.
  4. Talavera have suffered six defeats in their last eight matches.
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Our CF Talavera de La Reina vs Real Madrid Prediction

This is one of the most lopsided affairs we are going to encounter in the Copa del Rey. Real Madrid are expected to win easily here, but the fact that they may rest top players could make it harder for Los Blancos. That is where Talavera will be looking to take advantage.

The third-tier side does not have that comfort, so they will field their strongest team to meet Real Madrid halfway. We expect Real Madrid to win, but their hosts will not make that easy. Our prediction for Talavera v Real Madrid is for Real Madrid to win and BTTS.

Prediction :

 

Real Madrid to win and BTTS

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis CF Talavera de La Reina Real Madrid

CF Talavera de La Reina vs Real Madrid Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
CF Talavera de La Reina wins 18 25 +38.9%
Draw 8 11 +37.5%
Real Madrid wins 1.15 1.13 -1.7%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Real Madrid is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 87.0% and is now 88.5% (1.5%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

CF Talavera de La Reina vs Real Madrid Prediction