CF Talavera de La Reina vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey
Spain - Copa del Rey
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions
Real Madrid will travel to third-tier side CF Talavera looking to advance in the Copa del Rey. La Liga and Champions League assignments have been taxing for Los Blancos, and this will be a welcome break. We have a prediction for this match below.
Talavera will welcome this Spanish giant, hoping to put up a fight in a match that largely looks beyond their reach. They have a poor run coming into the game and will need an outstanding show to claim the spoils here.
Talavera overcame Rayo Majadahonda 4-1 and Malaga 2-1 to book this slot. They are, however, on a run of six losses in eight games. Their 2-1 win over Merida was the second one in three matches, though.
Real Madrid once again labored to victory, beating Alaves 2-1 to stay second in La Liga. They have now managed just three wins in their last nine matches.
That latest one was a needed recovery for the Spanish giants, who had lost back-to-back matches beforehand. Here the under-pressure Xabi Alonso can afford to rest some of his key men.
Being unbeaten in their last six away matches, this should be an easy outing for Real Madrid. They only need to improve on the fact that they only have one clean sheet in their last five matches on the road.
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CF Talavera de La Reina v Real Madrid Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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17 | 8.8 | 1.1 |
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16 | 10.1 | 1.12 |
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17.3 | 11 | 1.1 |
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17 | 11 | 1.05 |
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20 | 9.4 | 1.1 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between CF Talavera de La Reina and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the CF Talavera de La Reina vs Real Madrid match is: Real Madrid to win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/12/2025 between CF Talavera de La Reina and Real Madrid in Copa del Rey :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 21.34% for a win of CF Talavera de La Reina against Real Madrid with odds of 25 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between CF Talavera de La Reina vs Real Madrid is 19.04% with odds of 11 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 59.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs CF Talavera de La Reina with odds of 1.13 at Tonybet.
CF Talavera de La Reina - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| CF Talavera de La Reina Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 59.62% | 1.13 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.18% | 1.23 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 50% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 27.56% | 1.36 at Bet365 |
CF Talavera de La Reina vs Real Madrid Form
CF Talavera de La Reina and Real Madrid Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Primera Federación
7 Dec 2025 - Primera Federación
3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación
23 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación
16 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Primera Federación
3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
30 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación
16 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación
25 Oct 2025 - Primera Federación
11 Oct 2025 - Primera Federación
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Primera Federación
23 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación
8 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación
2 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación
28 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
19 Oct 2025 - Primera Federación
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
Players list
J. Gonzalez
DefenderA. Lopez Palomino
M. Farrando Stiepovich
A. Martinez
D. Barreno
MidfielderL. Sanchez Marcos
R. Doncel Garcia
I. Navarro Diaz
ForwardE. Gallardo Rodriguez
M. Moreno
G. Di Renzo
A. Lunin
DefenderD. Huijsen
D. Jimenez
A. Carreras
F. Garcia
MidfielderD. Ceballos
ForwardEndrick
G. Garcia
F. Mastantuono
K. Mbappe
A. Guler
Substitutes
A. Sanchez
R. Rocafort
DefenderJ. Sanchez Romero
S. Molina Pages
B. Ouacharaf
F. Rodriguez
MidfielderA. Molina
P. Capo Payeras
S. Montero Ortiz
I. Ayllon Descalzo
N. Arroyo Mazorra
F. Gonzalez
J. Navarro
DefenderJ. Martinez
V. Valdepenas
MidfielderJ. Cestero
T. Pitarch Pinar
A. Tchouameni
J. Bellingham
Vinicius Junior
Rodrygo
Missing players
T. Alexander-Arnold
F. Mendy
E. Militao
CF Talavera de La Reina - Real Madrid Key Points
- Real Madrid have one clean sheet in five away matches.
- Real Madrid are unbeaten in the last six games on the road.
- In nine home matches, Talavera failed to score in just three.
- Talavera have suffered six defeats in their last eight matches.
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Our CF Talavera de La Reina vs Real Madrid Prediction
This is one of the most lopsided affairs we are going to encounter in the Copa del Rey. Real Madrid are expected to win easily here, but the fact that they may rest top players could make it harder for Los Blancos. That is where Talavera will be looking to take advantage.
The third-tier side does not have that comfort, so they will field their strongest team to meet Real Madrid halfway. We expect Real Madrid to win, but their hosts will not make that easy. Our prediction for Talavera v Real Madrid is for Real Madrid to win and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis CF Talavera de La Reina Real Madrid
| CF Talavera de La Reina vs Real Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| CF Talavera de La Reina wins | 18 | 25 | +38.9% |
| Draw | 8 | 11 | +37.5% |
| Real Madrid wins | 1.15 | 1.13 | -1.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 87.0% and is now 88.5% (1.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.