Newcastle vs Fulham Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
England - Carabao Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Carabao Cup Predictions
A place in the last four of the 2025-26 Carabao Cup beckons as defending champions Newcastle United welcome Fulham to St James’ Park. This quarter-final match on Wednesday between the two Premier League sides, the Magpies and the visiting Cottagers, comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
Newcastle won the title last year by defeating Liverpool for their first Carabao Cup and will hope to push for another title. Fulham are looking for a second Carabao Cup semi-final appearance in three seasons, as they look to further their hopes of lifting this trophy for the first time ever.
There will be extra motivation for the hosts, as they endured a derby defeat to Sunderland last weekend. Eddie Howe's team, possessing a formidable record at this venue, is determined to advance further in the competition. Fulham are a tricky opponent on their day, and that makes them a dangerous side to play. Will the visitors turn the tables and halt Newcastle’s impressive home record? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Newcastle v Fulham Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.68 | 4.1 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.72 | 3.85 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.78 | 4.12 | 4.02 |
|
|
1.71 | 4 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.72 | 4.2 | 4.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Fulham?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Fulham match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/12/2025 between Newcastle and Fulham in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.29% for a win of Newcastle against Fulham with odds of 1.78 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Fulham is 16.4% with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.31% chance ⭐ for a win of Fulham vs Newcastle with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
Newcastle - Fulham Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle Fulham Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 62.29% | 1.78 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.86% | 1.62 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 72.08% | 1.62 at Betsson |
| Half-time / Full-time : Newcastle/Newcastle | 32.89% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
Newcastle vs Fulham Form
Newcastle and Fulham Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
7 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
28 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
3 Oct 2025 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Fulham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
21 Sept 2024 - Premier League
6 Apr 2024 - Premier League
27 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
16 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Newcastle - Fulham: Form Analysis
Newcastle had a demoralising 1-0 defeat at derby rivals Sunderland over the weekend, which wasn’t acceptable to fans. That made it just two wins for the Magpies across their last six competitive games (D2, L2), underlining their middling form.
Things are completely different at this venue, where Newcastle have been great in recent weeks. They are unbeaten here in eight competitive games (W7, D1), with only Tottenham able to pick up points from them.
Newcastle scored exactly two goals in seven of their last eight home games.
Fulham defeated Burnley 3-2 away from home at the weekend, continuing their trend of decisive results. They haven’t had a draw in any competition since starting the season with consecutive draws in the Premier League.
The Cottagers have had an interesting change of form on the road, as they won three of their last four competitive trips. This was preceded by a run of four consecutive losses, so Fulham can be a competitive side on this trip.
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Newcastle against Fulham Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Ruddy
DefenderA. Murphy
L. Shahar
MidfielderS. Tonali
Joelinton
A. Gordon
A. Elanga
N. Woltemade
S. Neave
B. Leno
DefenderJ. King
T. Castagne
I. Diop
MidfielderS. Ridgeon
H. Reed
T. Cairney
ForwardJ. Kusi Asare
A. Traore
Missing players
D. Burn
E. Krafth
J. Lascelles
ForwardW. Osula
R. Sessegnon
ForwardR. Muniz
Newcastle & Fulham Squad Analysis
Dan Burn had a rib injury against Sunderland at the weekend and was taken to the hospital. He could be out of this fixture and will join the likes of Kieran Trippier and William Osula. On a good note, Nick Pope could be available for the Magpies, having missed the last five matches.
The hosts have traditionally used a 4-3-3 formation in their games, and that could continue here. Keep an eye out for potential changes as Howe may opt to rotate a few of his players. This could see Harvey Barnes start on the left side of the front three, while Yoane Wissa may get a rare start to lead the line.
Barnes has seven goals this season for Newcastle.
Fulham will be missing at least three regulars, as Calvin Bassey, Alex Iwobi and Samuel Chukwueze left the squad to represent Nigeria at the AFCON competition. There are no other concerns within the squad.
The visitors have usually lined up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, which means Raul Jimenez is likely to start up front. Harry Wilson and Josh King are set to slot right behind him, which could work to Fulham’s benefit. Wilson has seven goals and four assists in his last eight matches for club and country.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Fulham
Joelinton
(2 Goals)
, 
W. Osula
(2 Goals)
R. Jimenez
(1 Goals)
, 
E. Smith Rowe
(1 Goals)
,
J. King
(1 Goals)
, 
S. Lukic
(1 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(2 Assists)
, 
S. Tonali
(2 Assists)
H. Reed
(1 Assists)
,
Kevin
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Robinson
(1 Assists)
Newcastle - Fulham Key Points
- Seven of Newcastle’s last eight competitive matches produced goals from both teams.
- Newcastle scored 2+ goals in their last eight home matches including exactly twice in the latest six.
- Fulham’s last four matches saw goals from both teams of the day.
- Six of Fulham’s last seven away matches in all competitions saw both teams score goals.
- The last three matches between Newcastle and Fulham saw both teams score goals.
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Our Newcastle vs Fulham Prediction
Newcastle fell to a demoralising defeat to derby rivals Sunderland over the weekend, which was described as ‘embarrassing’. The fans will expect a reaction, and the Magpies’ home record could play to their advantage. An eight-game unbeaten streak at this venue is their strength, but Fulham are likely to push them hard. The Cottagers have won three of their last four trips and will fancy their chances of taking the game deeper.
This game is likely to produce goals, which was the case in recent games between these sides. Our Newcastle vs Fulham prediction is BTTS.
Newcastle vs Fulham - Other Interesting Predictions
Harvey Barnes to score anytime
Harvey Barnes hasn’t been able to nail his starting position in the Newcastle line-up, but he can be a game changer for the Magpies. He has seven goals and two assists to his name for the hosts in all competitions this season. If he gets to start, it could be a positive omen, as Barnes either scored or assisted in four of his seven recent starts.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle Fulham
| Newcastle vs Fulham | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 1.58 | 1.78 | +12.7% |
| Draw | 4.08 | 4.2 | +2.9% |
| Fulham wins | 5.7 | 4.6 | -19.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Newcastle is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.3% and is now 56.2% (-7.1%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Newcastle vs. Fulham game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Newcastle and Fulham when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Carabao Cup!
Newcastle vs Fulham - FAQs
The Newcastle vs Fulham Carabao Cup match will be televised live on ITV and Sky Sports. The game will also be streamed live with ITVX offering a free live service. Sky Sports subscribers can also watch the match online via the Sky Go app.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our Carabao Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
