Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey
Spain - Copa del Rey
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions
Third-tier side Atletico Baleares will be up against La Liga giants Atletico Madrid in the fourth round of the Copa del Rey. This match marks the first-ever meeting between the two sides, and Baleares will be out to cause a major upset. Read on for our prediction below.
Baleares have already been responsible for one shock in this competition, after beating La Liga side Espanyol 1-0. The challenge gets tougher in this round, and so will Baleares, as they look to prove it wasn’t a fluke.
Preparations for this game didn’t go well for the hosts, who lost 3-1 at Terrassa. The hosts have to do better in attack too, having failed to score more than once in the last four outings.
That will particularly be an issue when coming up against this Atletico side that scored five goals in just the last two games. Atletico have only failed to score once in their last 10 matches.
In those 10 matches, they scored two or more goals in seven games. After back-to-back defeats by Barcelona and Athletic Bilbao, Atletico have recovered with two wins.
Their most recent came on Saturday at home to Valencia, ending 2-1. In the first three rounds, Atletico got a bye, and here they will be favorites to sail into the quarters.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
The Best Betting Odds for Atlético Baleares v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10 | 7 | 1.19 |
|
|
11.75 | 6.75 | 1.2 |
|
|
10.5 | 7 | 1.23 |
|
|
11 | 6.8 | 1.21 |
|
|
13 | 7.2 | 1.22 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Atlético Baleares and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid match is: Atletico Madrid to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/12/2025 between Atlético Baleares and Atletico Madrid in Copa del Rey :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.9% for a win of Atlético Baleares against Atletico Madrid with odds of 15 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid is 13.72% with odds of 7.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.39% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Atlético Baleares with odds of 1.23 at Melbet.
Atlético Baleares - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Atlético Baleares Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atlético Baleares wins | 43.9% | 15 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 50.82% | 2.38 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.76% | 1.7 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atlético Baleares | 20.9% | 23 at Bet365 |
Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid Form
Atlético Baleares and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Segunda Federación
7 Dec 2025 - Segunda Federación
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - Segunda Federación
23 Nov 2025 - Segunda Federación
16 Nov 2025 - Segunda Federación
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Segunda Federación
4 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
23 Nov 2025 - Segunda Federación
9 Nov 2025 - Segunda Federación
30 Oct 2025 - Copa del Rey
26 Oct 2025 - Segunda Federación
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - Segunda Federación
29 Nov 2025 - Segunda Federación
16 Nov 2025 - Segunda Federación
2 Nov 2025 - Segunda Federación
12 Oct 2025 - Segunda Federación
28 Sept 2025 - Segunda Federación
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
27 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
Players list
J. Rivas
DefenderG. Castell Molins
I. Serrano Garcia
G. Ramis Aguilo
Jaume Pol
A. Perez
MidfielderJ. Duran
G. Bonet
J. Cherta
U. Taffertshofer
ForwardJ. Tovar Segui
J. Musso
DefenderR. Le Normand
C. Lenglet
N. Molina
MidfielderJ. Galan
A. Griezmann
J. Cardoso
T. Almada
C. Gallagher
ForwardC. Martin
G. Raspadori
Substitutes
V. Esteban
P. Garcia
DefenderMiguelito
B. Ribas
A. Bejarano
C. Martinez Rivas
V. Morillo Gomez
M. Keita
A. Catala
M. Morillo
S. Esquivel Gamez
J. Oblak
DefenderM. Pubill
J. Bonar
D. Hancko
M. Ruggeri
MidfielderP. Barrios
Koke
G. Simeone
J. Alvarez
N. Gonzalez
Missing players
J. Gimenez
MidfielderM. Llorente
A. Baena
Atlético Baleares - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Atletico Madrid posted eight wins in their last 10 matches.
- Seven of Atletico Madrid’s last 10 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Five of Baleares’ last eight matches had over 2.5 goals scored.
- Baleares kept only four clean sheets in the last 12 matches.
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Our Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
This is a lopsided match, and it will be quite a shock should Atletico fail to win the game. These two sides are facing off for the first time in history, and Atletico Baleares will be looking to eliminate another La Liga side. They have already seen off Espanyol in this competition and will be well inspired coming into this one.
They will, however, be let down by their scoring form. While Baleares have struggled to score more than once, Atletico have easily scored multiple goals across their recent matches. Our prediction for Atletico Baleares v Atletico Madrid is for Atletico Madrid to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Atlético Baleares Atletico Madrid
| Atlético Baleares vs Atletico Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Baleares wins | 12 | 15 | +25.0% |
| Draw | 6.35 | 7.2 | +13.4% |
| Atletico Madrid wins | 1.23 | 1.23 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atlético Baleares is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 25.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 8.3% and is now 6.7% (-1.7%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Atlético Baleares vs. Atletico Madrid game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Atlético Baleares and Atletico Madrid when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Copa del Rey!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
