Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Shanghai Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions
To reach the third round of the Shanghai Masters, Alejandro Tabilo must record his first win on an outdoor hard court against Pablo Carreno Busta. The 29th seed is struggling for wins at present, while Busta had a good first round win. Our prediction is that Busta will win a set.
The third round will see the winner take on either fourth seed Felix Auger-Aliassime or unseeded Camilo Ugo Carabelli.
Pablo Carreno Busta is the world number 65 and that's 35 placed below his seeded opponent. Round one of the Shanghai Masters produced a three-set win over Mariano Navone. Busta needed to come from a set down to win that match and take his 2026 record on this surface to 11-10.
He has won a set in seven of his last nine completed matches.
Busta leads Tabilo 2-1 in previous meetings. He's won both of their matches played on an outdoor hard court.
Alejandro Tabilo has won 13 of his 24 outdoor hard court matches this year. He last made it to round three on this surface at the US Open in August.
Tabilo has lost four of his last five matches. His only win came against Tommy Paul in Tokyo, before being beaten in three sets by Denis Shapovalov.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Alejandro Tabilo v Pablo Carreño-Busta Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 2.42 |
|
|
1.57 | 2.47 |
|
|
1.56 | 2.44 |
|
|
1.56 | 2.44 |
|
|
1.57 | 2.42 |
|
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Who will win the Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreño-Busta match is: Pablo Carreno Busta wins a set.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreño-Busta game on 10/10/2026 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:
- Alejandro Tabilo has a 52.25% chance to win against Pablo Carreño-Busta according to Stake ⭐ with the odds of 1.57.
- Pablo Carreño-Busta has a 47.75% probability of winning facing Alejandro Tabilo ⭐ with odds of 2.47 at 1xbet.
Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Alejandro Tabilo has a 52.25 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Alejandro Tabilo | 52.25 % |
| Pablo Carreño-Busta | 47.75 % |
Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Form
Alejandro Tabilo and Pablo Carreño-Busta Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
2 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open
30 Sept 2026 - ATP Japan Open
25 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
19 Sept 2026 - Davis Cup
5 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
3 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
8 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
2 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
29 Sept 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
28 Sept 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
16 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
6 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Alejandro Tabilo - Pablo Carreño-Busta Key Points
- Busta has won both of the previous outdoor hard court matches he has played against Tabilo.
- Tabilo has lost a set in seven of his last eight matches.
- Busta has won a set in seven of his last nine completed matches.
- Tabilo has lost four of his last five matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreño-Busta Prediction
It's been a struggle in recent months for Alejandro Tabilo. His win over Tommy Paul in Tokyo was encouraging, but then he was beaten in three sets in the next round. He received a bye into this second round and will find it tough going against his opponent.
Pablo Carreno Busta has won both of their previous meetings on this surface. He had a good win in the first round, coming from a set down to beat Mariano Navone. Our Alejandro Tabilo v Pablo Carreno Busta is Pablo Carreno Busta wins a set.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
