Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Premier League Predictions
Anfield will host the biggest game of matchday six in the English Premier League (EPL) when Liverpool play Manchester City, who travel on the backdrop of guilty charges regarding the financial rules. This match on Sunday between the sixth-placed ‘Reds’ and the pre-round table toppers ‘Sky Blues’ is likely to be a cagey affair, but can the visitors withstand the hostile environment?
Both teams remain unbeaten in the season so far, but Liverpool have won only two of their Premier League fixtures (W2, D3). They are only outside the top four on goal difference. City are the only side to have a 100% winning record ahead of this round and have a three-point lead over Arsenal.
The international break was full of talk around City and the guilty verdict over their 114 breaches of the financial rules. Things have still gone as per plan on the ground for the Sky Blues, while Liverpool have shown their vulnerabilities in closing games. Which side will hold sway in this Premier League weekend blockbuster? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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Liverpool v Manchester City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
|
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2.25 | 3.49 | 2.73 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.72 | 2.28 |
|
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2.9 | 3.72 | 2.28 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.72 | 2.28 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Manchester City match is: under 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/10/2026 between Liverpool and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.31% for a win of Liverpool against Manchester City with odds of 3 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Manchester City is 22.03% with odds of 3.86 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Liverpool with odds of 2.73 at 1xbet.
Liverpool vs Manchester City Form
Liverpool and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 |
|
6
|
9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 |
Liverpool and Manchester City Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
15 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
4 Sept 2026 - Premier League
29 Aug 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Champions League
29 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
4 Sept 2026 - Premier League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 May 2026 - Premier League
3 May 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
17 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
28 Aug 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
17 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
28 Aug 2026 - Premier League
16 Aug 2026 - Community Shield
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2026 - Premier League
Liverpool vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
10 Mar 2024 - Premier League
Liverpool - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Liverpool went into the international break with a 1-0 away win over Bournemouth. That made it four wins in their last five competitive games (D1), which is a remarkable improvement over their start that saw draws on matchdays one and two.
The Reds have been unbeaten at home, but two draws in their four competitive fixtures at Anfield (W2, D2) suggest they may struggle to close out. In fact, Liverpool had four consecutive Premier League draws at this venue.
City beat Liverpool three times last season in all competitions.
City went into the international break on a high, winning 5-3 at home against Sunderland. That result extended their winning start to the season with the Sky Blues winning seven matches in all competitions, since losing the FA Community Shield to Arsenal.
The visitors will also be buoyed by their away performance this season, having won all three on the road in all competitions. That included a 1-0 derby win over Manchester United, where they played most of the game with ten men.
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Liverpool vs Manchester City last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
G. Mamardashvili
DefenderJ. Frimpong
K. Tsimikas
J. Gomez
MidfielderT. Nyoni
L. Koumas
R. Gravenberch
ForwardV. Munoz
R. Ngumoha
G. Rulli
DefenderR. Ait-Nouri
R. Lewis
N. O'Reilly
A. Khusanov
MidfielderA. Bouaddi
M. Kovacic
ForwardJ. Doku
A. Elias
Missing players
C. Bradley
G. Leoni
J. Jacquet
MidfielderF. Chiesa
ForwardA. Isak
C. Gakpo
H. Ekitike
N. O'Reilly
MidfielderP. Foden
A. Semenyo
Liverpool & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Liverpool had a concerning international window, with Jeremy Jacquet, Cody Gakpo, and Alexander Isak all injured on national duty. All three remain doubtful, while Hugo Ekitike and Conor Bradley continue to be long-term absences.
The Reds are likely to stick to their 4-2-3-1 formation, with Alexander Isak likely to lead the line despite a concerning injury in the break. He has scored Liverpool’s winner against Bournemouth and has four goals to his name this Premier League season.
Erling Haaland has a pre-round league-leading five goals this season.
Haaland scored three goals in four games during the break for Norway and is set to lead the line for City in their 4-2-3-1 system. The electric Rayan Cherki is set to start in the number 10 role, looking to add to his count of three goals and two assists in the Premier League this season.
Phil Foden is out of contention, serving the second game of his three-match ban after his red card versus United. Nico O'Reilly and Antoine Semenyo are doubtful for the visitors after returning from international duty with knocks.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
Manchester City
A. Isak
(4 Goals)
E. Haaland
(5 Goals)
C. Gakpo
(3 Assists)
A. Semenyo
(3 Assists)
Liverpool and Manchester City Stats in Premier League
Liverpool - Manchester City Key Points
- Four of Liverpool’s last five competitive matches produced under 3.5 goals.
- Five of Liverpool’s last seven home Premier League games have seen three or fewer goals.
- Seven of City’s last nine away Premier League matches have seen at most three goals.
- City’s last four away league visits to Anfield against Liverpool saw three or fewer goals.
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Our Liverpool vs Manchester City Prediction
Games between Liverpool and City didn’t need extra incentive in recent times, which means the hostility over City’s guilty verdict would only make things difficult for the visitors. Both teams remain unbeaten, but Liverpool have drawn three of their matches so far. The Reds have averaged 1.4 goals per game this season, while City have conceded only 1.0 goals per league fixture.
The last six Premier League matches between Liverpool and Manchester City have been low-scoring encounters. That’s likely to extend here, and our Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction is under 3.5 goals.
Liverpool vs Manchester City Alternative Predictions
Draw
City beat Liverpool in all three matches last season, but can they repeat that trick here? They are likely to be motivated against a hostile Anfield crowd, but that may not be enough here. This match is likely to be a cagey encounter that neither side would want to lose. Back a draw in this crucial clash.
Dominik Szoboszlai To Score Or Assist
Dominik Szoboszlai has two goals in his last four matches for Liverpool, while he also scored Liverpool’s only goal in this fixture last season in their 2-1 defeat. He could once again be leading Liverpool’s charge.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
