Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA China Open
WTA - WTA China Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Qinwen Zheng will face 13th seed Elise Mertens next as she continues her quest for a first China Open title. The two will square off in the semi-finals, and our prediction backs Zheng, who has previously beaten Mertens.
Zheng has once again made it to the last four in Beijing. Making her fourth appearance in this WTA event, the Chinese star was eliminated in the semis two seasons ago. That disappointment will be vivid in her memory, and she will be keen to not suffer a similar fate again.
Zheng, who has played in three WTA finals on home soil in her career, defeated sixth seed Elina Svitolina to reach the last four. She won in straight sets to record her 23rd win of the season and shoot up to 35th in the live ranking.
Elise Mertens lost to Zheng in their only previous encounter. That was on clay last season. Now they face off on a hard court, a surface that she does well on.
Mertens has fought against the odds to reach the semis. In the last two rounds, she has faced off with former Beijing champions and come out on top.
In the fourth round, Mertens outlasted Cori Gauff and, to reach the last four, saw off the challenge of Iga Swiatek. In both matches, the Belgian, who is seeking her first WTA 1000 title, won in straight sets.
After qualifying for the semis of a 1000 event for the third time, Mertens has a significant rise in the live ranking, jumping to 15th.
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Qinwen Zheng v Elise Mertens Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.67 | 2.22 |
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1.69 | 2.19 |
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|
1.66 | 2.23 |
|
|
1.66 | 2.21 |
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|
1.67 | 2.2 |
|
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Who will win the Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens match is: Qinwen Zheng wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens game on 10/10/2026 of the current WTA China Open season:
- Qinwen Zheng has a 63.04% chance to win against Elise Mertens according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.69.
- Elise Mertens has a 36.96% probability of winning facing Qinwen Zheng ⭐ with odds of 2.23 at Melbet.
Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Qinwen Zheng has a 63.04 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Qinwen Zheng | 63.04 % |
| Elise Mertens | 36.96 % |
Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Form
Qinwen Zheng and Elise Mertens Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
9 Oct 2026 - WTA China Open
7 Oct 2026 - WTA China Open
5 Oct 2026 - WTA China Open
30 Sept 2026 - WTA China Open
24 Sept 2026 - Billie Jean King Cup
9 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
9 Oct 2026 - WTA China Open
7 Oct 2026 - WTA China Open
5 Oct 2026 - WTA China Open
2 Oct 2026 - WTA China Open
25 Sept 2026 - WTA Singapore
5 Sept 2026 - WTA US Open
Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
3 Apr 2025 - WTA Charleston Open
Qinwen Zheng - Elise Mertens Key Points
- Zheng won her only previous meeting with Mertens.
- Throughout her career, Zheng has won over 140 times on hard courts.
- Mertens lost both times she played a semi-final at the WTA 1000 level.
- Zheng has qualified for three finals when playing on home soil.
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Our Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens Prediction
Our prediction for Qinwen Zheng v Elise Mertens is that Qinwen Zheng wins. Zheng and Mertens have had strong performances in Beijing this week, emerging as favorites for the title. As two hardcourt specialists meet, this semi-final matchup has the potential of going the full distance.
In the end, though, it seems likely that Zheng will secure her place in the final. She is playing on home soil and has the full backing of the crowd. When playing at home, Zheng has tended to bring her A-game, reaching multiple tour finals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
