Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Premier League Predictions
Chelsea will look to put their recent disappointments behind and restart their English Premier League (EPL) season when they host a tricky Bournemouth on matchday six. This match on Saturday at Stamford Bridge in London between the 10th-placed ‘Blues’ and the 17th-placed ‘Cherries’ could prove to be an action-filled encounter. What do these sides have in store for us?
With seven points (W2, D1, L2), Chelsea are only two points outside the top four, but their inconsistency is a concern. They went into the break with no wins in three, after starting the season positively with two wins in a row.
For the visiting Bournemouth, that’s a chance to post a surprise win, but they are yet to post a victory in this league campaign. Three scoring draws from their last four EPL matches suggest they aren’t likely to be an easy opponent. Can the Blues rise above their recent struggles to come back into winning form? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions to find out what’s in store in London.
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Chelsea v Bournemouth Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 4.2 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.79 | 4.26 | 4.52 |
|
|
1.73 | 4.1 | 4.36 |
|
|
1.73 | 4.1 | 4.36 |
|
|
1.73 | 4.1 | 4.36 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Bournemouth?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Bournemouth match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2026 between Chelsea and Bournemouth in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.55% for a win of Chelsea against Bournemouth with odds of 1.79 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Bournemouth is 32.33% with odds of 4.3 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 14.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Chelsea with odds of 4.89 at Betsson.
Chelsea vs Bournemouth Form
Chelsea and Bournemouth's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
|
17
|
3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 |
Chelsea and Bournemouth Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sept 2026 - Premier League
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
27 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
27 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sept 2026 - Premier League
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
24 Aug 2026 - Premier League
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
9 May 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
17 Sept 2026 - Europa League
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
29 Aug 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
29 Aug 2026 - Premier League
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sept 2026 - Europa League
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
Chelsea vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Sept 2024 - Premier League
19 May 2024 - Premier League
17 Sept 2023 - Premier League
Chelsea - Bournemouth: Form Analysis
Chelsea were blanked 3-0 away at Brentford on matchday five just before the international break. That result made it just one win from their last four competitive matches (W1, D1, L2), as new coach Xabi Alonso struggled to get a theme out of this side.
The Blues have failed to win their last three in the Premier League (D1, L2), but they are still a strong force at home. They have won four points in their two home league games this season, scoring six goals, but have also conceded five.
Chelsea’s EPL games this season averaged 4.4 goals per match.
Bournemouth lost 1-0 at home to Liverpool going into the break, a result that extended their wait for a Premier League win this season. That loss came after three scoring draws, but the Cherries are still searching for consistency.
The visitors have drawn their last away league game – 2-2 at Newcastle – but that also meant they had conceded exactly two goals in both their EPL trips while also scoring in both matches.
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Chelsea vs Bournemouth last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Penders
DefenderM. Gusto
J. Hato
J. Acheampong
MidfielderM. Nicoll-Jazuli
R. Lavia
ForwardJ. Gittens
Estevao
G. Quenda
M. Di Gregorio
DefenderJuanlu
J. Soler
B. Diakite
MidfielderA. Toth
L. Cook
D. Brooks
ForwardD. Jebbison
B. Gannon-Doak
Missing players
R. James
M. Palestra
MidfielderC. Palmer
M. Caicedo
ForwardJoao Pedro
E. Emegha
J. Gittens
J. Araujo
MidfielderJ. Kluivert
D. Brooks
A. Scott
V. Milosavljevic
ForwardA. Adli
E. Kroupi
Chelsea & Bournemouth Squad Analysis
Chelsea have a number of injuries to contend with, as Reece James, Moises Caicedo, and Joao Pedro could be out of contention. The absence of Pedro will be a big blow, as the Brazilian has contributed six goals for Chelsea in the Premier League this season – three goals and assists each.
The Blues have usually lined up in their 3-4-3 formation, although 4-2-3-1 has also been a consistent presence. That would keep Morgan Rogers and Cole Palmer on the wings. The duo has five goals and three assists combined in the Premier League.
Rogers has two goals and three assists in his last five games for Chelsea.
Bournemouth have been hit hard in the international window with Alex Scott and Justin Kluivert joining the likes of Junior Kroupi and Amine Adli on the sidelines.
The Cherries are set to stick to their 4-2-3-1 system, with Evanilson likely to lead the line. He has three assists to his name, while focus will be on Marcus Tavernier, who has three Premier League goals this season, from the left wing.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Bournemouth
M. Rogers
(3 Goals)
, 
Joao Pedro
(3 Goals)
M. Tavernier
(3 Goals)
Joao Pedro
(3 Assists)
Evanilson
(3 Assists)
Chelsea and Bournemouth Stats in Premier League
Chelsea - Bournemouth Key Points
- Four of Chelsea’s last five competitive games have produced BTTS.
- Eight of Chelsea’s last nine EPL games have seen both teams score.
- Chelsea’s last four home Premier League games have seen BTTS.
- Six of Bournemouth’s last seven EPL games saw both teams score.
- Bournemouth saw both teams score in five of their last six away league games.
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Our Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction
Bournemouth are one of the three teams yet to win in this Premier League campaign ahead of this round, while Chelsea haven’t convinced neutral fans. The Blues are looking to rebound from a 3-0 hiding from Brentford just before the break, and while the Cherries haven’t yet won, they can be a dangerous opponent on their day.
Chelsea have been scoring goals for fun but have also struggled defensively, which opens the door for action from both teams. That’s why our Chelsea vs Bournemouth prediction is BTTS.
Chelsea vs Bournemouth Alternative Predictions
Draw
Four of the last six matches between these sides ended in a draw, including the last three. Bournemouth have also drawn three of their last four Premier League games, so this could be another tight stalemate. Back a draw at full time.
Morgan Rogers to Score or Assist
Morgan Rogers scored when he last played Bournemouth, and he has a goal and assist for England in his last two games. That aside, he went into the international break with a goal or assist in four of his last five games for Chelsea. He could repeat that trick here.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
