Tip AC Milan - Red Star Belgrade
AC Milan’s season has taken a hit lately but they can make big steps to salvage it when they host Red Star Belgrade in the return leg of the Europa League Round of 32. These two sides are tied at 2-2 from the first leg played in Serbia, a clash that Milan will be gutted not to have won. Milan led twice in the game, but a last-minute goal from Milan Pavkov denied them a win in Belgrade. The Italian giants head to this game winless in the last three matches, having lost two. They head to this game straight from a 3-0 home loss in the Milan derby, coming a few days after losing at home to Atalanta by the same margin. Milan’s woes are based on poor defending, the reason they’ve conceded eight goals in the last five matches. Four of their last five matches have produced over 2.5 goals and they will go here hoping to extend their undefeated run in Europa League to five matches. Milan have lost just once in the last 10 matches in this competition, winning six. However, they have one clean sheet in the last five matches in Europa League. In this competition, at home, Milan have four wins in five and scored three or more in four. Their last seven home games in the competition have produced over 2.5 goals and just one clean sheet.
Red Star Belgrade, on their part, head to this game unbeaten in 19 matches, but have only played four competitive matches in 2021. Four of their last five matches have produced over 2.5 goals, including their most recent – a 2-1 win over Subotica in their domestic league. They’re unbeaten in the last six Europa League matches but head here on three straight draws. Knowing too well of Milan’s struggles lately, Red Star will want to take advantage especially in attack – they’ve scored two or more in four of the last six. However, that will call on a lot of improvement on their away from in the competition. The visitors have failed to score in five of their last seven away Europa League matches. These two sides are not new to each other, they’ve faced off thrice before, with Milan winning two and one ending in a draw. Red Star defender Milan Rodic is suspended for this game, having been sent off in the first leg.
Key points AC Milan - Red Star Belgrade
Red Star Belgrade have failed to score in five of seven away Europa League matches.
Milan are unbeaten in their three meetings with Red Star Belgrade.
Milan have four wins in five Europa League matches at home.
Red Star Belgrade have drawn their last three Europa League matches.
Milan have scored thrice in four of their last five Europa League games at home.
Conclusion AC Milan - Red Star Belgrade
Milan have been struggling a bit of late and head to this game desperately hoping to sail through. Their home form in this competition might work for them, also considering Red Star haven’t been that good away from home. Red Star will also be at a disadvantage, having conceded two goals at home. Milan have one loss in 10 Europa League matches and are favorites for a win here.
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AC Milan Red Star Belgrade Prediction published on February 23, 2021