Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Australian Open

WTA - WTA Australian Open

WTA 130 China
Yue Yuan
19/01/2026 03:15
WTA 2 Poland
Iga Swiatek

Prediction :

 

Iga Swiatek at -7.5

1.8
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Number two seed Iga Swiatek begins her quest for a first Australian Open title with an opening-round showdown with qualifier Yuan Yue. This is their second meeting and the first at a major. Read on for our prediction of the match.

Yuan Yue has never won a first-round tie at the Australian Open. The 27-year-old lost in this very round in each of her previous three appearances. As she is facing one of the top WTA performers, her quest for a win could be further extended.

Yue, who has started the year with a 5-1 record, won three qualifiers to advance to this round. She has moved to 129th in the live ranking.

Iga Swiatek is coming into this match after a questionable run of form. The world number two started the season with three straight wins, representing her nation at the United Cup.

She, however, lost the next two fixtures, against Cori Gauff and Belinda Bencic. Fortunately for her, Poland proved strong enough to go on and win the tournament.

Swiatek has had some questionable performances since last season, a campaign in which she lost a joint career high of 17 matches. The 24-year-old was unable to resume top spot in the WTA, and it was the first time since 2021 that she had not been ranked first.

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The Best Betting Odds for Yue Yuan v Iga Swiatek Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
26 1.01
Melbet
16 1.01
BC Game
12 1
Tonybet
20 1.01
888Starz
16 1.01
Check all Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek odds

Who will win the Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek match is: Iga Swiatek at -7.5.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek game on 19/01/2026 of the current WTA Australian Open season:

  • Yue Yuan has a 23.47% chance to win against Iga Swiatek according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 26.
  • Iga Swiatek has a 76.53% probability of winning facing Yue Yuan ⭐ with odds of 1.01 at Bet365.

Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Yue Yuan has a 23.47 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Yue Yuan23.47 %
Iga Swiatek76.53 %

Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek Form

Yue Yuan and Iga Swiatek Last Matches

Yue Yuan Last matches
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

14 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Tamara Zidansek
0 :  2
Yue Yuan

13 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Maria Carle
1 :  2
Yue Yuan

12 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Louisa Chirico
1 :  2
Yue Yuan

28 Oct 2025 - WTA Jiangxi Open

Yue Yuan
1 :  2
Elena Pridankina

16 Oct 2025 - Ningbo Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  0
Yue Yuan

14 Oct 2025 - Ningbo Open

Yue Yuan
2 :  0
Xinyu Wang
Iga Swiatek Last matches
W W W W L L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

11 Jan 2026 - United Cup

Iga Swiatek
1 :  2
Belinda Bencic

10 Jan 2026 - United Cup

Coco Gauff
2 :  0
Iga Swiatek

9 Jan 2026 - United Cup

Maya Joint
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

6 Jan 2026 - United Cup

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Suzan Lamens

5 Jan 2026 - United Cup

Eva Lys
1 :  2
Iga Swiatek

16 Nov 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Gabriela Lee

Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Yue Yuan

0 %

Iga Swiatek

100 %

27 Sept 2025 - WTA China Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Yue Yuan

Yue Yuan - Iga Swiatek Key Points

  1. Yue has lost 12 of 13 duels with top 10 players.
  2. Swiatek has never lost a first-round tie at the Australian Open.
  3. Swiatek lost just three games to Yue in their only past encounter.
  4. Twice this season, Swiatek has lost more than five games a contest.
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Our Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek Prediction

Our Yuan Yue v Iga Swiatek prediction is Iga Swiatek at -7.5. Swiatek is coming into this match having lost her last two fixtures. Despite this, we have her winning this tie comfortably. This is because the Pole is one of the top players on tour and is renowned for her suffocating style of play.

In her only encounter with Yue, she won one set in a bagel and lost just three games in the contest. Though Yue has had a strong start to 2026, she hasn’t faced off with the WTA’s top performers, opponents she has a poor record against.

Prediction :

 

Iga Swiatek at -7.5

1.8
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Yue Yuan vs Iga Swiatek Prediction