Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Celje Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
by Devesh Jaganath in Conference League Predictions
The 2024-25 Conference League gets underway this week, and the first match of a double-header on Wednesday afternoon will see Vitoria Guimaraes playing host to Celje. Os Conquistadores earned entry to this competition by coming sixth in the Primeira Liga while Grofje won 1. SNL. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Vitoria Guimaraes have made a solid start to their domestic league season and will be looking to get their European campaign underway positively as well.
After the first seven games in the Primeira Liga, Os Vimaranenses have notched up 13 points, including four wins, one draw and two losses. Their most recent match ended in a 1-1 draw away to Casa Pia.
During qualifying for this competition, Vitoria were flawless, winning all six of their matches without conceding a single goal, while scoring an impressive 17 themselves.
Meanwhile, after winning the 1. SNL title last season, Celje were unable to secure a spot in the Champions League or the Europa League where they were knocked out in qualifying by Slovan Bratislava and Shamrock Rovers respectively.
However, they put in a much better effort in this competition, coming from a goal down to overturn Pyunik 4-2 on aggregate in the final qualification match.
The major concern for Grofje, though, is that their away record is far from impressive, with only two wins posted in their last nine matches on the road across all competitions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Vitoria SC Guimaraes v Celje Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 5 | 7 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.4 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 6.45 | 9.21 |
|
|
1.3 | 6.45 | 9.21 |
|
|
1.36 | 4.9 | 8.75 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.54 | 7 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.9 | 7.2 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.8 | 7.8 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.9 | 7.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Celje?
Our prediction for the Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Celje match is: Vitoria Guimaraes wins!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/10/2024 between Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Celje in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.26% for a win of Vitoria SC Guimaraes against Celje with odds of 1.45 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Celje is 15.65% with odds of 6.45 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Celje vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes with odds of 9.21 at 1xbet.
Vitoria SC Guimaraes - Celje Prediction and Best Odds:
Vitoria SC Guimaraes Celje Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Vitoria SC Guimaraes wins | 62.26% | 1.45 at Betwinner |
Over 2.5 goals | 62.8% | 1.91 at Stake |
Both Team To Score | 39.58% | 2 at Bet365 |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Vitoria SC Guimaraes | 33.7% | 4 at Bet365 |
Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Celje Form
Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Celje's standings in the Conference League
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
29
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Vitoria SC Guimaraes and Celje Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
21 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
1 Sep 2024 - Liga Portugal
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sep 2024 - Prva Liga
22 Sep 2024 - Prva Liga
18 Sep 2024 - Prva Liga
15 Sep 2024 - Prva Liga
1 Sep 2024 - Prva Liga
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
Vitoria SC Guimaraes against Celje : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Aug 2023 - Conference League
27 Jul 2023 - Conference League
Vitoria SC Guimaraes against Celje Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Vitoria SC Guimaraes - Celje Key Points
- Vitoria Guimaraes won all six of their Conference League qualifiers.
- Vitora Guimaraes did not concede a single goal during qualifying.
- Vitoria Guimaraes scored two or more goals in each of their last five matches during qualifying.
- Celje have only won two of their last nine away games in all competitions.
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Our Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Celje Prediction
While Celje came out on top when these two met last season, Vitoria’s form during qualifying for this year’s Conference League was formidable and they look like genuine contenders to go deep in the competition.
There’s no denying Grofje’s ability, but we feel that the hosts are in a better run of form right now and fancy them to win this opening-round encounter. Our Vitoria Guimaraes vs Celje prediction: Vitoria Guimaraes wins!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Vitoria SC Guimaraes Celje
Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Celje | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Vitoria SC Guimaraes wins | 1.53 | 1.33 | -13.1% |
Draw | 4.2 | 5 | +19.0% |
Celje wins | 5 | 7 | +40.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 13.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 75.2% (9.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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