Sweden vs Slovenia Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Steve Ashfield | in World Cup Predictions
It’s been a miserable campaign for both of these countries. Slovenia are third in the group and take on Sweden who are bottom of the table. What can we expect from this final fixture? Read our match prediction below.
Slovenia are yet to win a game in this group. Only three points from five games has left them seven points adrift of the play-off position. Saturday saw them lose 2-0 to second-placed Kosovo.
Scoring goals has been their big problem. They have only scored twice in five games and that’s not going to get you to the finals. Both goals came in the reverse fixture against Sweden, drawing 2-2.
It’s been an even harder struggle for Sweden with just a single point from five games. However, they could yet qualify for next year’s World Cup. That’s because their Nations League record has given them a place in the play-offs.
Most sides in those play-offs will fancy drawing Sweden. The Swedes have conceded 11 goals in their five games and on Saturday (under new coach Graham Potter) lost 4-1 in Switzerland. Sweden are yet to score a home goal in this group and Slovenia are yet to score on the road.
We tip under 2.5 goals in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sweden v Slovenia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 3.75 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.75 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.4 | 5 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.5 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.4 | 5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sweden and Slovenia?
Our prediction for the Sweden vs Slovenia match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/11/2025 between Sweden and Slovenia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.83% for a win of Sweden against Slovenia with odds of 1.7 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sweden vs Slovenia is 31.87% with odds of 4.07 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Slovenia vs Sweden with odds of 7.15 at 22bet.
Sweden - Slovenia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sweden Slovenia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sweden wins | 41.83% | 1.7 at Shangrila |
| Under 2.5 | 56% | 1.92 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 39.58% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Sweden/Sweden | 18.74% | 2.63 at Bet365 |
Sweden vs Slovenia Form
Sweden and Slovenia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
4 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -5 |
|
4
|
2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -8 |
Sweden and Slovenia Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Sweden vs Slovenia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
27 Sept 2022 - UEFA Nations League
2 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League
Sweden against Slovenia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Missing players
L. Bergvall
Most goals and assists
Sweden
Slovenia
G. Lundgren
(1 Goals)
,
B. Nygren
(1 Goals)
,
Y. Ayari
(1 Goals)
,
A. Elanga
(1 Goals)
T. Elsnik
(1 Goals)
,
Z. Vipotnik
(1 Goals)
,
S. Lovric
(1 Goals)
Sweden - Slovenia Key Points
- Sweden have failed to score at home so far in this group.
- Slovenia are yet to score an away goal in this group.
- Between them in this group, Sweden and Slovenia have only scored five goals.
- The two Sweden home games in this group have only seen three goals scored.
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Our Sweden vs Slovenia Prediction
Sweden are in a strange situation at present. They have a talented team but just don't seem able to work together to get results. Their hope is that Potter will be abe to turn things around in time for the World Cup play-offs they don't really deserve to be in.
Scoring goals is a big problem for both teams and Slovenia are yet to score on the road with Sweden goalless in two home group games. Our Sweden v Slovenia prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sweden Slovenia
| Sweden vs Slovenia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden wins | 1.65 | 1.67 | +1.2% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 3.75 | -1.3% |
| Slovenia wins | 5 | 5.25 | +5.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sweden is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 59.9% (-0.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Sweden vs. Slovenia game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
