Sweden vs Romania Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Sweden
25/09/2026 14:45
Romania

Prediction :

 

Sweden wins

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Following their promotion, Sweden and Romania will be facing off this week to start their League B campaigns. Sweden will play host here, and having won six of their last 10 home matches, they have the backing of our prediction.

Sweden have seen much progress in recent times, but their World Cup journey ended in an anti-climax after a 3-0 defeat by a visibly stronger France. They come back with lessons, seeking a first win in four outings.

In the last UNL edition they won five of six matches in League C, so they will have a platform to build their confidence. Home form will offer further inspiration for Graham Potter’s men. The Swedes have won nine of 14 home games.

Romania didn’t get to play at the World Cup, as despite a superb UNL run securing them a playoff ticket, they still fell short.

They won all their Nations League matches last season and will be happy to see the competition back. They must, however, adapt to the demands of a higher league and the fact that they are playing a team that has dominated them.

Additionally, a six-game winless run on the road doesn’t favor the Tricolors. They lost four times in those six matches.

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Sweden v Romania Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.47 4.5 5.8
1xbet
1.53 4.66 6.17
Melbet
1.5 4.56 6
Betwinner
1.5 4.56 6
22bet
1.5 4.56 6
Check all Sweden vs Romania odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Sweden and Romania?

Our prediction for the Sweden vs Romania match is: Sweden wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/09/2026 between Sweden and Romania in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.55% for a win of Sweden against Romania with odds of 1.53 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sweden vs Romania is 25.9% with odds of 4.7 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 26.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Romania vs Sweden with odds of 6.2 at Tonybet.

Sweden vs Romania Form

Sweden and Romania Last Matches

Sweden
Sweden Last matches
L D W L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Jun 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Sweden

25 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Japan
1 :  1
Sweden

20 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Netherlands
5 :  1
Sweden

14 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
5 :  1
Tunisia

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  2
Greece

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Norway
3 :  1
Sweden
L L D W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
5 :  1
Tunisia

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  2
Greece

31 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Sweden
3 :  2
Poland

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
1 :  1
Slovenia

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
0 :  1
Kosovo

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Sweden
0 :  2
Switzerland
L W L L D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Jun 2026 - World Cup

France
3 :  0
Sweden

25 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Japan
1 :  1
Sweden

20 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Netherlands
5 :  1
Sweden

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Norway
3 :  1
Sweden

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Ukraine
1 :  3
Sweden

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Switzerland
4 :  1
Sweden
Romania
Romania Last matches
L W L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Romania
2 :  1
Wales

2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Georgia
1 :  1
Romania

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
2 :  0
Romania

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
1 :  0
Romania

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Romania
7 :  1
San Marino

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Bosnia Herzegovina
3 :  1
Romania
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Romania
2 :  1
Wales

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Romania
7 :  1
San Marino

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Romania
1 :  0
Austria

9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Romania
2 :  1
Moldova

5 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies

Romania
0 :  3
Canada

10 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Romania
2 :  0
Cyprus
L D L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Georgia
1 :  1
Romania

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
2 :  0
Romania

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
1 :  0
Romania

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Bosnia Herzegovina
3 :  1
Romania

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Cyprus
2 :  2
Romania

7 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Austria
2 :  1
Romania

Sweden vs Romania Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sweden

50 %

Draw

0 %

Romania

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.5
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0.5
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

15 Nov 2019 - Euro

Romania
0 :  2
Sweden

27 Mar 2018 - International Friendlies

Romania
1 :  0
Sweden
Sweden vs Romania Prediction

Players list

Sweden
Sweden
Goalkeeper

J. Widell Zetterstrom

Defender

G. Lagerbielke

V. Lindelof

G. Gudmundsson

D. Svensson

E. Stroud

Midfielder

L. Bergvall

Y. Ayari

Forward

A. Elanga

V. Gyokeres

A. Isak

Romania
Romania
Goalkeeper

O. Hindrich

Defender

A. Burca

L. Eissat

M. Ilie

Midfielder

D. Olaru

T. Baluta

D. Sorescu

V. Dragomir

N. Stanciu

Forward

S. Baiaram

L. Munteanu

Substitutes

Sweden
Sweden
Goalkeeper

K. Nordfeldt

V. Johansson

Defender

H. Ekdal

E. Smith

H. Johansson

A. Bernhardsson

C. Starfelt

Midfielder

B. Nygren

M. Svanberg

B. Zeneli

J. Karlstrom

K. Sema

Forward

G. Nilsson

T. Ali

Romania
Romania
Goalkeeper

M. Aioani

S. Tarnovanu

Defender

M. Popescu

A. Rus

T. Strata

S. Borza

A. Coubis

Midfielder

D. Matei

O. Morutan

C. Cirjan

A. Dobre

Forward

D. Dragus

F. Coman

Sweden - Romania Key Points

  1. Sweden beat Romania in the last two meetings.
  2. Sweden are unbeaten in their last three competitive meetings with Romania.
  3. Romania have won once in their last four matches.
  4. Away from home, Romania are winless in six, losing four matches.
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Our Sweden vs Romania Prediction

The first meeting between Sweden and Romania in seven years will be hosted in Stockholm, just as Sweden would have loved. Sweden posted an away win the last time these teams faced off, in 2019, and they will be eyeing the same, having excelled at home.

When hosting Romania, Sweden won their latest meeting 2-1. These records will have Romania jittery. The visitors are winless in six away matches and lost four times in the process. With that, our prediction for Sweden v Romania is that Sweden wins.

Prediction :

 

Sweden wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.