Bulgaria vs Iceland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Bulgaria will play host to Iceland at Stadion Hristo Botev in the UEFA Nations League on Friday evening. Three goals were scored when these sides met last month, and our prediction is that there will be a similar total in this match.
Bulgaria notched up their first win in the 2026-27 Nations League by beating Luxembourg in their final match of the October international break. They have four points and can still finish anywhere from first to fourth in Group C3.
Three days before that victory, the Lions were beaten 3-0 on the road by Iceland. They created three big chances and finished with 1.16 xG in that match but failed to find the back of the net.
The hosts have drawn one and lost one of their two home games in this competition. They have only managed one win in their last 10 home matches in all competitions since October 2024.
Meanwhile, Iceland are unbeaten after their four games in this group (W2 D2). They are two points ahead of second-placed Estonia and could secure automatic promotion with a win here.
Strákarnir okkar were held to a goalless draw in their last match and have now kept three consecutive clean sheets in this competition since their 1-1 draw against the Blueshirts on MD1.
The visitors have only won two of their last 11 away games in all competitions, but they have won their last two competitive encounters against Bulgaria on the road.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Bulgaria v Iceland Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.30 | 3.50 | 1.82 |
|
|
4.39 | 3.60 | 1.90 |
|
|
4.28 | 3.52 | 1.86 |
|
|
3.85 | 3.75 | 1.79 |
|
|
4.28 | 3.52 | 1.86 |
|
Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
Members only · free registration
What is the prediction for the football match between Bulgaria and Iceland?
Our prediction for the Bulgaria vs Iceland match is: 2 to 4 match goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/11/2026 between Bulgaria and Iceland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 15.87% for a win of Bulgaria against Iceland with odds of 4.7 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bulgaria vs Iceland is 29.34% with odds of 3.75 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.79% chance ⭐ for a win of Iceland vs Bulgaria with odds of 1.9 at 1xbet.
Bulgaria vs Iceland Form
Bulgaria and Iceland's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +6 |
|
3
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 |
Bulgaria and Iceland Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
Bulgaria vs Iceland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Bulgaria vs Iceland last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
D. Mitov
A. Bozhev
DefenderA. Hristov
I. Turitsov
K. Dimitrov
C. Stoyanov
V. Nikolov
MidfielderP. Panayotov
Z. Dimitrov
B. Tsonev
A. Chandarov
ForwardS. Ivanov
R. Runarsson
A. Einarsson
DefenderL. Tomasson
A. Sampsted
MidfielderA. Gunnarsson
B. Bjarnason
T. Helgason
I. Thorvaldsson
A. Baldursson
B. Andersen Willumsson
J. Thorsteinsson
A. Sigurdsson
Most goals and assists
Bulgaria
Iceland
A. Chandarov
(1 Goals)
,
A. Iliev
(1 Goals)
,
K. Balov
(1 Goals)
O. Oskarsson
(3 Goals)
D. Velkovski
(1 Assists)
,
G. Rusev
(1 Assists)
,
E. Tsenov
(1 Assists)
H. Haraldsson
(2 Assists)
,
O. Oskarsson
(2 Assists)
Bulgaria and Iceland Stats in UEFA Nations League
Bulgaria - Iceland Key Points
- Iceland won the reverse fixture in this competition 3-0 last month.
- Iceland’s four matches in this competition have averaged two goals each.
- Bulgaria’s four matches in this competition have averaged two goals each.
- Bulgaria have conceded two or more goals in five of their last eight home games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Bulgaria vs Iceland Prediction
Bulgaria kept their hopes of promotion alive by beating Luxembourg last time out, but it was a far from convincing performance, as they finished with 1.92 xGA and just 0.87 xG, while also allowing their opponents 18 shots at goal.
Iceland are the favourites in this contest after beating this opponent at home last month, but they have only won two of their last 11 games on the road since last June, which sees us leaning toward a goals total rather than an outright winner in this match. Our Bulgaria vs Iceland prediction is 2 to 4 match goals.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Bulgaria vs. Iceland game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Bulgaria and Iceland? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's UEFA Nations League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
