England vs Croatia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Steve Ashfield | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
England can confirm their place in the UEFA Nations League quarter-finals with a win at home against Croatia. The Three Lions are second behind Spain in Group and six clear of their opponents with two games to play. England won the reverse fixture 7-0 and our prediction is England wins and leads at half and full time.
It's going to take a massive turnaround in form for England not to reach the last eight of the UEFA Nations Championship. They have a six point lead over their opponents so avoiding defeat in one of their last two games will see them through. WIth only Croatia able to deny them second spot and that 7-0 away win, the Three Lions are all but in the last eight already.
Croatia's main hope now is to avoid relegation to League B. The Checkered Ones play the bottom-placed Czech Republic in their final group fixture and are three points ahead of them. It was an embarrassing night for them in the reverse fixture against England and they'll be wanting to avoid another heavy loss at Wembley.
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England v Croatia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.23 | 6.20 | 10.00 |
|
|
1.27 | 6.17 | 11.80 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.00 | 11.50 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.05 | 11.00 |
|
|
1.25 | 6.00 | 11.50 |
|
Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between England and Croatia?
Our prediction for the England vs Croatia match is: England wins and leads at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/11/2026 between England and Croatia in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.66% for a win of England against Croatia with odds of 1.27 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between England vs Croatia is 25.7% with odds of 7 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Croatia vs England with odds of 11.8 at 1xbet.
England vs Croatia Form
England and Croatia's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +11 |
|
3
|
3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -10 |
England and Croatia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
18 Jul 2026 - World Cup
15 Jul 2026 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
15 Jul 2026 - World Cup
1 Jul 2026 - World Cup
23 Jun 2026 - World Cup
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
18 Jul 2026 - World Cup
11 Jul 2026 - World Cup
5 Jul 2026 - World Cup
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
2 Jul 2026 - World Cup
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
2 Jul 2026 - World Cup
23 Jun 2026 - World Cup
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
England vs Croatia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
13 Jun 2021 - Euro
18 Nov 2018 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2018 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jul 2018 - World Cup
England - Croatia: Form Analysis
England have fought back well in this UEFA Nations League group. After securing a third-place final in this summer's World Cup, they led Spain in their opening group fixture in this tournament. Eventually though, they were beaten 3-2 at home by the world champions.
SInce then, the Three Lions have had a 2-0 win in the Czech Republic and then hammered Croatia 7-0. Their most recent group match saw them complete the double over the Czechs with a 3-0 home win to take them to the verge of qualification.
Croatia may well have an eye on their final group fixture at home to the Czechs. The Blazers are third in the table and can only match England in terms of points if they can win their final two games. That 7-0 defeat to the Three Lions means it'd take a miraculous win for Croatia at Wembley for them to finish above them.
Croatia's defending is really letting them down.
The Checkered Ones lost in the last 32 of the 2026 World Cup. In the group stage, they lost 4-2 to England. This UEFA Nations League group began well with a 2-1 away win against the Czechs. They then lost 4-1 away to Spain and 7-0 at home to England. Their poor run continued with a 2-1 home loss to Spain.
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England vs Croatia last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Steele
J. Trafford
DefenderR. Lewis
T. Chalobah
J. Branthwaite
MidfielderM. Gibbs-White
J. Garner
ForwardR. Ngumoha
D. Calvert-Lewin
A. Gordon
B. Saka
I. Pandur
D. Kotarski
DefenderM. Pongracic
MidfielderM. Baturina
P. Sucic
L. Sucic
J. Misic
M. Pasalic
ForwardD. Beljo
M. Pasalic
A. Budimir
A. Kramaric
England & Croatia Squad Analysis
England will be without Marc Geuhi for this match. He's been replaced in the squad by Dan Burn after being injured at the weekend against Nottingham Forest. The squad named for the final two UEFA Nations League group games saw Cole Palmer and Phil Foden omitted. Both of the Bellingham brothers are in the squad and Ben White makes his return.
Massive night for Harry Kane.
England need just a point from their final two games to officially confirm their place in the quarter-finals. They will be hoping for more goals from Harry Kane who has scored six goals so far in this group He's been on target in each of their four group games. Starting this game will see him break Peter Shilton's record of most appearances for England.
Slaven Bilic is back in charge of Croatia and he has work to do to keep his side in League A. Luka Modric may be fit enough to start the match. Ivan Persic is likely to be part of a back four as Croatia try to improve a defence that has so far conceded 14 goals in this group, half against England.
Most goals and assists
England
Croatia
H. Kane
(6 Goals)
L. Modric
(1 Goals)
,
M. Pasalic
(1 Goals)
,
D. Beljo
(1 Goals)
,
I. Perisic
(1 Goals)
J. Bellingham
(4 Assists)
I. Perisic
(2 Assists)
England and Croatia Stats in UEFA Nations League
England - Croatia Key Points
- England won the reverse fixture 7-0.
- Croatia have lost their last three games in this group.
- England have won their last three group fixtures.
- England also beat Croatia 4-2 in this summer's World Cup.
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Our England vs Croatia Prediction
England are unbeaten in their last five games against Croatia. Two matches played against them this year have seen the Three Lions score 11 goals. Harry Kane is in top form and just avoiding defeat here will see England qualify. They will want more than that though and could yet win the group.
Croatia have been conceding far too many goals in this group. Their main aim must be to avoid the relegation play-offs and that's more likely to be achieved in their final fixture. Our main England v Croatia prediction is England wins and leads at half and full time.
England vs Croatia Alternative Predictions
England wins
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England vs Croatia - FAQs
England will play Croatia in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday November 12. It's due to kick-off at 19:45 UK time.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
