Luxembourg vs Estonia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Group C4 in the UEFA Nations League will see Luxembourg taking on Estonia at Stade de Luxembourg on Friday night. Only one goal was scored in the reverse fixture last month, and our prediction is that this will be another low-scoring affair.
Luxembourg finished bottom of their group last season, and with just three points from four games this term, they may finish last again if they lose this match and Bulgaria win their fixture.
The Red Lions made a positive start to their campaign by beating Bulgaria in their opener. However, they have lost all three matches since then and failed to score in any while conceding six.
The hosts have lost seven of their last nine home games in all competitions and also failed to score in seven matches during this period. Their only win during this run was against Malta in March.
Meanwhile, Estonia are still firmly in the mix to be promoted this season. They are unbeaten after four games with six points (W1 D3) and trail the group leaders Iceland by two points.
Solid defence has been key to the Blueshirts' unbeaten record. They have not conceded since their UNL opener and have now kept five clean sheets in their last six games across all competitions.
However, the visitors have struggled for wins on the road, managing just two in regulation time in their last 22 matches dating all the way back to January 2023.
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Luxembourg v Estonia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.14 | 3.10 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.29 | 3.72 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.20 | 3.64 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.48 | 4.64 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.20 | 3.64 |
|
Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Luxembourg and Estonia?
Our prediction for the Luxembourg vs Estonia match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/11/2026 between Luxembourg and Estonia in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.92% for a win of Luxembourg against Estonia with odds of 2.2 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Luxembourg vs Estonia is 34.54% with odds of 3.48 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.55% chance ⭐ for a win of Estonia vs Luxembourg with odds of 4.64 at Betwinner.
Luxembourg vs Estonia Form
Luxembourg and Estonia's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 |
|
4
|
3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -5 |
Luxembourg and Estonia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
26 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
30 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
27 Mar 2026 - FIFA Series
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
Luxembourg vs Estonia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Luxembourg vs Estonia last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
T. Kips
L. Fox
T. Pereira
DefenderM. Goncalves
M. Martins
E. Dzogovic
S. Ikene
MidfielderS. Thill
M. Olesen
T. Rupil
ForwardA. Qevani
A. Dardari
Andre Karl Vallner
E. Grunvald
DefenderT. Tammik
J. Tamm
M. Schjonning-Larsen
F. Liivak
MidfielderM. Skvortsov
M. Kait
M. Ainsalu
M. Soomets
ForwardK. Mustmaa
A. Tamm
Most goals and assists
Luxembourg
Estonia
V. Thill
(1 Goals)
,
L. Barreiro
(1 Goals)
M. Paskotsi
(1 Goals)
,
R. Peetson
(1 Goals)
H. Kadamani
(1 Assists)
R. Peetson
(1 Assists)
Luxembourg and Estonia Stats in UEFA Nations League
Luxembourg - Estonia Key Points
- The reverse fixture between these sides ended in a 1-0 scoreline.
- Luxembourg have failed to score in their last three matches.
- Estonia have kept clean sheets in each of their last three matches in this competition.
- Three of the last four matches between these sides ended with under 2.5 goals.
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Our Luxembourg vs Estonia Prediction
While Luxembourg are mathematically still in with a chance of avoiding the relegation playoffs, their performances since the opening week suggest that they are all but certain to end bottom of the table.
Estonia, on the other hand, have kept their hopes of automatic promotion alive thanks to stellar defence. Only one goal was scored when these sides met last month, and it would not come as a surprise if the first goal in this match also ended up being the winner. Our Luxembourg vs Estonia prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Get up to €100 to bet on the Luxembourg vs. Estonia game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
