Turkiye vs Belgium Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
12/11/2026 12:00
Belgium

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Turkiye and Belgium will meet at Gürsel Aksel Stadyumu on Matchday 5 in the UEFA Nations League on Thursday evening. These sides have conceded 16 goals combined in this competition, and our prediction is that we will see a few more strike the back of the net in this one. 

Turkiye have endured a poor Nations League campaign. They have lost all four matches to date, conceding 11 goals in the process, and at best, can only finish third in Group A1. 

The Crescent-Stars were beaten 3-1 by Italy in their last match in this competition. Abdulkerim Bardakci will be forced to miss this match, having picked up yellows in each of his last two games. 

Prior to their two home losses in this competition, Turkiye won four in a row on home soil during the World Cup qualifiers and kept clean sheets in three of those victories. 

Meanwhile, Belgium have split their four matches in the Nations League, two wins and two losses. With two games to play, they trail Italy by one point and are four points behind group leaders France. 

After beating this opponent 3-0 last month, De Rode Duivels suffered a 4-1 defeat against France on MD4. They have scored five goals and conceded six in their four UNL matches this season. 

The visitors have only lost one of their last eight away games in all competitions, but they are winless in their last two in Turkiye (D1 L1). 

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Turkiye v Belgium Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
3.50 3.85 1.91
1xbet
4.00 4.15 1.85
Melbet
3.90 4.06 1.82
Betwinner
3.70 3.92 1.90
22bet
3.90 4.06 1.82
Check all Turkiye vs Belgium odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Turkiye and Belgium?

Our prediction for the Turkiye vs Belgium match is: over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/11/2026 between Turkiye and Belgium in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 19.68% for a win of Turkiye against Belgium with odds of 4 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Turkiye vs Belgium is 28.15% with odds of 4.15 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 52.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Belgium vs Turkiye with odds of 1.91 at Stake.

Turkiye vs Belgium Form

Turkiye and Belgium's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Belgium
6 4 2 0 2 +1
4 Turkiye
0 4 0 0 4 -9

Turkiye and Belgium Last Matches

Turkiye
Turkiye Last matches
L W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
3 :  1
Turkiye

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
3 :  0
Turkiye

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
1 :  4
Italy

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
0 :  1
France

25 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
3 :  2
USA

19 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
0 :  1
Paraguay
W W L W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
1 :  4
Italy

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
0 :  1
France

25 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
3 :  2
USA

19 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
0 :  1
Paraguay

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Turkiye
4 :  0
North Macedonia

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Turkiye
1 :  0
Romania
D W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
3 :  1
Turkiye

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
3 :  0
Turkiye

14 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Australia
2 :  0
Turkiye

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Venezuela
1 :  2
Turkiye

31 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Kosovo
0 :  1
Turkiye

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Spain
2 :  2
Turkiye
Belgium
Belgium Last matches
W L W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

France
4 :  1
Belgium

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
3 :  0
Turkiye

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
0 :  1
France

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
0 :  2
Belgium

10 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Spain
2 :  1
Belgium

6 Jul 2026 - World Cup

USA
1 :  4
Belgium
W D D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
3 :  0
Turkiye

28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
0 :  1
France

1 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Belgium
3 :  2
Senegal

21 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Belgium
0 :  0
Iran

15 Jun 2026 - World Cup

Belgium
1 :  1
Egypt

6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Belgium
5 :  0
Tunisia
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

France
4 :  1
Belgium

25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
0 :  2
Belgium

10 Jul 2026 - World Cup

Spain
2 :  1
Belgium

6 Jul 2026 - World Cup

USA
1 :  4
Belgium

26 Jun 2026 - World Cup

New Zealand
1 :  5
Belgium

2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Croatia
0 :  2
Belgium

Turkiye vs Belgium Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Turkiye

0 %

Draw

0 %

Belgium

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
3 :  0
Turkiye
Turkiye vs Belgium Prediction

Turkiye vs Belgium last Lineups

Turkiye

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
U. Cakir
2
Z. Celik
14
A. Bardakci
15
O. Kabak
20
F. Kadioglu
13
E. Elmali
5
S. Ozcan
10
I. Kahveci
21
A. Simsir
19
Y. Akgun
16
I. Yuksek
19
D. Moreira
9
R. Lukaku
14
D. Lukebakio
20
H. Vanaken
6
R. Lavia
23
N. Raskin
18
J. Seys
4
B. Mechele
15
N. Ngoy
21
T. Castagne
12
M. Vandevoordt

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Belgium

Substitutes

Turkiye
Turkiye
Goalkeeper

A. Bayindir

M. Sengezer

Defender

M. Demiral

E. Topcu

Midfielder

I. Fakili

M. Eskihellac

M. Kabasakal

B. Elmaz

D. Tiknaz

Forward

O. Aydin

K. Akturkoglu

D. Gul

Belgium
Belgium
Goalkeeper

M. Penders

S. Lammens

Defender

K. Sabbe

Z. Debast

A. Theate

M. De Cuyper

Midfielder

M. Keita

Forward

C. De Ketelaere

M. Godts

M. Fernandez-Pardo

L. Openda

L. Trossard

Missing players

Turkiye
Turkiye
Defender

Z. Celik

Belgium
Belgium
Defender

Z. Debast

Forward

L. Openda

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Turkiye
CD Huachipato Belgium
Top Goalscorer
Turkey B. Yilmaz (1 Goals) , 
Turkey A. Simsir (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Belgium D. Lukebakio (2 Goals) ,  Belgium K. De Bruyne (2 Goals)
Best assists
Turkey O. Aydin (1 Assists) , 
Turkey E. Elmali (1 Assists)
Best assists
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (2 Assists)

Turkiye and Belgium Stats in UEFA Nations League

Turkiye
Turkiye
Belgium
Belgium
0%
Wins
50%
100%
Losses
50%
0%
Draws
0%
3.25
Average goals per match
2.75
0.5
Goals scored per match
1.5
2.75
Goals conceded per match
1.25
25%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
75%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
0%
No goals conceded
50%
50%
BTTS
25%

Turkiye - Belgium Key Points

  1. Four of Turkiye’s last five matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Turkiye are averaging 2.75 goals conceded per game in this competition.
  3. Last month’s match between these sides ended with three goals scored.
  4. Six of Belgium’s last eight matches have ended with over 2.5 goals.
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Our Turkiye vs Belgium Prediction

Turkiye have struggled to come to terms with the class of opposition in Group A1. They have already conceded 11 goals in four games, including three against Belgium on Matchday 3 last month. 

Belgium are the clear favourites here, given that result at home last month, but their record in Turkiye has not been great in recent times. Matches involving these two have delivered goals lately, and we feel there will be a few in this one as well. Our Turkiye vs Belgium prediction is over 2.5 goals. 

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.