Montenegro vs Latvia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Montenegro might confirm their promotion to League B of the UEFA Nations League this Thursday when they face off with Latvia. The season is entering matchday five, which finds hosts Montenegro top on 10 points while Latvia are bottom with one. Being unbeaten in this group, our prediction is for home team Montenegro to win.
Montenegro were denied maximum points for the first time in the last round, as they drew 0-0 with Armenia. That was just a small blip as they have a three-point buffer at the top.
A win here will secure promotion with a game to spare. That’s a big possibility, for a team unbeaten against Latvia, winning three of their five meetings.
Latvia are still in search of their first win this season and they might be forced to dig deep for a win here. In their last six matches the nation could only manage two draws, and the rest ended in defeat.
In 20 matches they’ve only recorded three wins and it is tougher on the road, with two wins in 20. Their only point in this group came courtesy of a 0-0 draw with Cyprus on matchday two.
There has been a slight improvement in their attack, scoring in the last two games after failing in the first two. Among the teams they scored against was Montenegro.
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Montenegro v Latvia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.31 | 5.00 | 9.20 |
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1.33 | 5.41 | 10.80 |
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1.30 | 5.30 | 10.50 |
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|
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1.31 | 4.79 | 8.75 |
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|
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1.30 | 5.30 | 10.50 |
|
Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Montenegro and Latvia?
Our prediction for the Montenegro vs Latvia match is: Montenegro to win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/11/2026 between Montenegro and Latvia in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.05% for a win of Montenegro against Latvia with odds of 1.33 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Montenegro vs Latvia is 30.49% with odds of 5.75 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Latvia vs Montenegro with odds of 10.8 at 1xbet.
Montenegro vs Latvia Form
Montenegro and Latvia's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 |
|
4
|
1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 |
Montenegro and Latvia Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
28 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
31 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
25 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - Baltic Cup
26 Mar 2026 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
Montenegro vs Latvia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sept 2021 - World Cup
24 Mar 2021 - World Cup
Montenegro vs Latvia last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
D. Petkovic
I. Nikic
DefenderM. Vesovic
R. Radunovic
J. Dresaj
S. Rubezic
I. Vujacic
MidfielderS. Loncar
M. Simun
D. Vukanic
ForwardD. Vukovic
S. Jovetic
N. Purins
F. Orols
DefenderM. Tonisevs
MidfielderG. Zaleiko
D. Patijcuks
A. Saveljevs
K. Cudars
E. Emsis
ForwardA. Aleksanjan
R. Uldrikis
O. Rubenis
Most goals and assists
Montenegro and Latvia Stats in UEFA Nations League
Montenegro - Latvia Key Points
- Latvia lost four times in their last six matches.
- Montenegro are unbeaten this season in the UNL.
- Both teams scored in three of Montenegro’s last four games.
- Latvia are winless in the UNL, losing three of four games.
- Montenegro have never lost to Latvia, winning three of five meetings.
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Our Montenegro vs Latvia Prediction
Montenegro have placed themselves at an advantage and look poised to complete the job as far as promotion to League B is concerned. All they need is to better second-placed Cyprus’ result in matchday four action.
That should not be a problem for this Montenegro side that has never lost to Latvia, winning three of five meetings. Latvia still have slim hopes but that will mean they have to win here even though their fate is out of their hands. Our prediction for Montenegro v Latvia is for Montenegro to win and BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.