Stade Toulousain vs Exeter RC Chiefs Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions Cup

Europe - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
18/10/2026 10:15
Exeter RC Chiefs

Prediction :

 

Stade Toulousain wins on a -30.5 handicap

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Champions Cup Predictions

Top 14 leaders Stade Toulousain will open their 2026-27 European Rugby Champions Cup campaign with a home pool match against PREM Rugby's Exeter Chiefs. The French club are in excellent form this season, and our prediction is they will win on a -30.5 handicap.

This game is in Pool 2 and the other four clubs are: Lions, Saracens, Stade Rochelais and Connacht.

Stade Toulousain have won this competition a record six times, most recently in 2024. Last season, they finished second in their pool and were beaten in the quarter-finals by eventual champions Bordeaux Begles. Stade Toulousain did become Top 14 champions for the fourth season in a row.

They are going well again this season and lead the table after the first six games.

Their opening league game was lost by three points at Stade Rochelais. Since then, Stade Toulousain have won five matches in a row.

Exeter Chiefs have made a disappointing start to the new season. The Chiefs are eighth in PREM Rugby with one win and two defeats. They conceded 85 points in a home loss to Gloucester and an away defeat at Bath Rugby. Their first win of the season came when they beat Newcastle Red Bulls (who have lost all their games this season) at home.

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Stade Toulousain v Exeter RC Chiefs Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
1.01 50.00 21.00
Melbet
1.01 50.00 21.00
Betwinner
1.01 50.00 21.00
22bet
1.01 50.00 21.00
Bet365
1.01 51.00 17.00
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Stade Toulousain vs Exeter RC Chiefs Form

Stade Toulousain and Exeter RC Chiefs Last Matches

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

11 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
45 :  34
Aviron Bayonne

3 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
7 :  8
Stade Toulousain

27 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
40 :  18
Montpellier Herault Rugby

19 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Rugby Club Vannes
23 :  29
Stade Toulousain

13 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
48 :  12
Union Bordeaux Begles

6 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
30 :  27
Stade Toulousain
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

11 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
45 :  34
Aviron Bayonne

27 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
40 :  18
Montpellier Herault Rugby

13 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
48 :  12
Union Bordeaux Begles

27 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
28 :  20
Montpellier Herault Rugby

19 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
71 :  17
Racing 92

30 May 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
39 :  31
Lyon Ou
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

3 Oct 2026 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
7 :  8
Stade Toulousain

19 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Rugby Club Vannes
23 :  29
Stade Toulousain

6 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
30 :  27
Stade Toulousain

6 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Racing 92
31 :  20
Stade Toulousain

17 May 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
38 :  10
Stade Toulousain

9 May 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
27 :  51
Stade Toulousain
Exeter RC Chiefs
Exeter RC Chiefs Last matches
L W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

11 Oct 2026 - PREM Rugby

Exeter RC Chiefs
34 :  28
Newcastle Red Bulls

2 Oct 2026 - PREM Rugby

Bath Rugby
40 :  34
Exeter RC Chiefs

26 Sept 2026 - PREM Rugby

Exeter RC Chiefs
24 :  45
Gloucester Rugby

19 Sept 2026 - International Club Friendlies

Cardiff Rugby
28 :  33
Exeter RC Chiefs

12 Sept 2026 - Premiership Rugby Cup

Exeter RC Chiefs
45 :  21
Bristol RC Bears

20 Jun 2026 - PREM Rugby

Northampton Saints
26 :  17
Exeter RC Chiefs
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

11 Oct 2026 - PREM Rugby

Exeter RC Chiefs
34 :  28
Newcastle Red Bulls

26 Sept 2026 - PREM Rugby

Exeter RC Chiefs
24 :  45
Gloucester Rugby

12 Sept 2026 - Premiership Rugby Cup

Exeter RC Chiefs
45 :  21
Bristol RC Bears

6 Jun 2026 - PREM Rugby

Exeter RC Chiefs
32 :  12
Saracens FC

10 May 2026 - PREM Rugby

Exeter RC Chiefs
35 :  12
Bath Rugby

18 Apr 2026 - PREM Rugby

Exeter RC Chiefs
28 :  35
Northampton Saints
L W W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

2 Oct 2026 - PREM Rugby

Bath Rugby
40 :  34
Exeter RC Chiefs

19 Sept 2026 - International Club Friendlies

Cardiff Rugby
28 :  33
Exeter RC Chiefs

20 Jun 2026 - PREM Rugby

Northampton Saints
26 :  17
Exeter RC Chiefs

13 Jun 2026 - PREM Rugby

Bath Rugby
26 :  27
Exeter RC Chiefs

31 May 2026 - PREM Rugby

Leicester Tigers
26 :  35
Exeter RC Chiefs

16 May 2026 - PREM Rugby

Harlequins FC
41 :  24
Exeter RC Chiefs

Stade Toulousain vs Exeter RC Chiefs Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stade Toulousain

100 %

Draw

0 %

Exeter RC Chiefs

0 %

15 Dec 2024 - Champions Cup

Exeter RC Chiefs
21 :  64
Stade Toulousain

14 Apr 2024 - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
64 :  26
Exeter RC Chiefs
Stade Toulousain vs Exeter RC Chiefs Prediction

Players list

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
T. N'tamack J. Brennan A. Capuozzo K. Gourgues M. Remue T. lacombre J. Merkler Perez E. Elías D. Aldegheri A. Dupont R. Neti F. Cros T. Thomas S. Chocobares R. N'tamack
Exeter RC Chiefs
Exeter RC Chiefs
Z. Wimbush S. Harris R. Vintcent T. Hooper G. Fisilau D. Jenkins W. Goodrick-Clarke J. Yeandle H. Skinner E. Roots W. Butt T. Wyatt S. Varney J. Iosefa-Scott H. Slade

Substitutes

Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
M. Kouassi P. Graou A. Jelonch P. Mauvaka G. Colombe T. Menoncello R. Martin Bonnard B. Bertrand
Exeter RC Chiefs
Exeter RC Chiefs
J. Roots B. Hammersley L. Gulley E. Burger K. James W. Haydon-wood H. Wilson S. Wolstenholme

Stade Toulousain - Exeter RC Chiefs Key Points

  1. Stade Toulousain have won their last three matches against Exeter Chiefs.
  2. Stade Toulousain scored 156 points in those games, two won by at least 31 points.
  3. Stade Toulousain have won their last six home games.
  4. Exeter have lost two of their three games this season.
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Our Stade Toulousain vs Exeter RC Chiefs Prediction

Stade Toulousain are the red hot favorites to start their European Rugby Champions Cup campaign with a win. They have won this competition more times than any other club.. The reigning Top 14 champions are again top of the table this season and have won their last six home games.

The last three games played between these two clubs have all ended in big wins for the French club. Exeter Chiefs have made a poor start to the season with their only win being over Newcastle. Our Stade Toulousain v Exeter Chiefs prediction is Stade Toulousain wins on a -30.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Stade Toulousain wins on a -30.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.