Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Eredivisie Predictions
Ajax will look to bounce back as they face Sparta Rotterdam in a matchday eight fixture of the 2025-26 Eredivisie campaign. This match on Saturday at Sparta Stadion between the 11th-placed 'Castle Lords' and the third-placed Lancers comes with our prediction of a win for the away team.
With nine points (W3, L4), Sparta are only three points above the relegation zone but just one point outside the European competition play-offs group. Ajax's 15 points (W4, D3) put them four points behind leaders Feyenoord after seven rounds.
Sparta were blanked 3-0 away at Heracles last matchday to continue their recent slide. They have now lost three of their last four league games (W1, L3), including two in a row.
This sequence has hurt their chances of improving on their seasonal start that saw two wins out of the first three. To go with that, they lost two consecutive league games at this venue, throwing doubts over their chances here.
Ajax were also blanked in their latest match, a 4-0 away defeat to Marseille in the midweek Champions League clash. They still remain unbeaten in the league, although they are still seeking consistency.
In the league, Ajax have been alternating wins and draws after a 2-1 home win over NAC Breda last matchday. interestingly, all three of their draws have come on the road.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sparta Rotterdam v Ajax Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 | 4.1 | 1.73 |
|
|
4 | 3.75 | 1.83 |
|
|
4.33 | 3.8 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.33 | 4 | 1.67 |
|
|
4.7 | 4.3 | 1.62 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax?
Our prediction for the Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax match is: Ajax wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/10/2025 between Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.27% for a win of Sparta Rotterdam against Ajax with odds of 4.7 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax is 33.66% with odds of 4.3 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam with odds of 1.83 at Betfred.
Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sparta Rotterdam Ajax Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam wins | 34.27% | 4.7 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.4% | 1.58 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Sparta Rotterdam/Sparta Rotterdam | 13.5% | 7.5 at Betfair |
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Form
Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
20 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
|
11
|
16 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | -10 |
Sparta Rotterdam and Ajax Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
19 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
14 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
31 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
31 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
14 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
9 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
13 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
24 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
10 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 May 2025 - Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Apr 2025 - Eredivisie
22 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
17 Mar 2024 - Eredivisie
9 Dec 2023 - Eredivisie
19 Feb 2023 - Eredivisie
21 Aug 2022 - Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam against Ajax Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
S. Mito
B. Van den Boomen
ForwardK. Dolberg
Most goals and assists
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
T. Lauritsen
(6 Goals)
W. Weghorst
(7 Goals)
P. Van Aanholt
(3 Assists)
M. Godts
(4 Assists)
Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax Key Points
- Sparta lost three of their last four league matches.
- Sparta were beaten in their last two home league fixtures.
- Ajax won three of their last five league games.
- Ajax drew their last three away league matches.
- Ajax won 15 of their last 17 matches against Sparta Rotterdam.
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Our Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax Prediction
Ajax are coming off a heavy defeat in the Champions League, but they have been impressive in the league. Although three draws have taken some sheen off their campaign, the visitors are still within touching distance of the leaders. As for Sparta, their impressive start to the season has given way to some poor results. They have lost three of their last four league games, including two at this venue.
Return to the domestic scene should favor Ajax, and our Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax prediction is Ajax wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sparta Rotterdam Ajax
| Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Rotterdam wins | 4.5 | 4.33 | -3.8% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4.1 | +9.3% |
| Ajax wins | 1.73 | 1.73 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sparta Rotterdam is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 22.2% and is now 23.1% (0.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
