Slovenia vs Scotland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Group B1 at the UEFA Nations League kicks off with Slovenia facing Scotland at Stožice Stadium on Saturday afternoon. Fewer than three goals were scored in two of the last three matches between these sides, and we’re leaning toward another low-scoring outcome here for our main prediction.
Slovenia had to survive a stern test against Slovakia to maintain their place in League B of this competition in the last edition. However, while they did finish third in their group, they were drawn against tough opponents in Austria and the rampant Norway, and still managed to take eight points from their six matches (W2 D2 L2).
The Tartan Army, meanwhile, are set to start life in League B this week after suffering relegation from the top flight against Greece in the playoffs. This competition also marks the start of a new era for the Scots, with Sébastien Pocognoli now at the helm following Steve Clarke’s departure after the team’s disappointing World Cup campaign. To the key stats!
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Slovenia v Scotland Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.55 | 3.15 | 2.75 |
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2.7 | 3.22 | 2.86 |
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|
2.68 | 3.15 | 2.77 |
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2.68 | 3.15 | 2.77 |
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|
2.65 | 3.15 | 2.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Slovenia and Scotland?
Our prediction for the Slovenia vs Scotland match is: under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/09/2026 between Slovenia and Scotland in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 27.27% for a win of Slovenia against Scotland with odds of 2.7 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Slovenia vs Scotland is 30.97% with odds of 3.25 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Scotland vs Slovenia with odds of 2.86 at 1xbet.
Slovenia vs Scotland Form
Slovenia and Scotland Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
13 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
30 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
Slovenia vs Scotland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Oct 2017 - World Cup
26 Mar 2017 - World Cup
Slovenia - Scotland: Form Analysis
Having failed to qualify for the 2026 World Cup, Slovenia are reconvening for the first time since their friendlies in early June, which produced a defeat to Croatia (2-1) and a draw against Cyprus (1-1).
The Dragons have not been in the best form of late, with their only victory in their last 10 matches across all competitions (D5 L4) since June 2025 coming against Montenegro in a friendly.
Additionally, this week’s hosts are winless in their last four home games, drawing three and losing one. However, they only lost one of their four home matches in the last edition of this competition (W2 D1).
Slovenia are winless in their last five matches against Scotland!
Meanwhile, Scotland finished third with seven points in Group A1 of the last edition of the Nations League before suffering relegation to Greece, losing 4-0 on aggregate in the playoffs in March.
The Tartan Army kicked off their World Cup campaign with a 1-0 victory over Haiti but crashed out in the group stage after losing their next two games to Morocco and Brazil without scoring in either match.
However, the visitors have been good on the road in recent times, losing only one of their last seven away matches (W5 D1) - a 3-2 defeat to Greece during the World Cup qualifiers last November.
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Slovenia vs Scotland last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Vidovsek
Z. Leban
DefenderD. Brekalo
D. Zec
J. Urbancic
S. Kuzmic
MidfielderT. Koren
B. Verbic
T. Svetlin
E. Sokler
S. Seslar
A. Zeljkovic
ForwardA. Sporar
A. Matko
L. Kelly
C. Gordon
DefenderA. Hickey
A. Ralston
G. Hanley
D. Hyam
J. Souttar
K. Tierney
MidfielderT. Fletcher
R. Christie
ForwardF. Curtis
R. Stewart
G. Hirst
C. Adams
L. Dykes
Slovenia & Scotland Squad Analysis
Slovenia were handed a few injury blows in the lead-up to their Nations League opener, headlined by the absence of Manchester United’s Benjamin Sesko, who is struggling with a shin problem.
Niko Prelc is another who is ruled out through injury, which adds to Bostjan Cesar’s issues up front, while Zan Zaltec and Petar Stojanovic are also sidelined. Zan Celar and Jure Balkovec have been called up as replacements.
Pocognoli calls up eight uncapped players to Nations League squad!
Among the potential debutants for the Tartan Army are Kristi Montgomery and Brondby captain Luis Binks, the latter of whom will reunite with Aaron Hickey four years after their time in Serie A with Bologna.
The inclusion of the eight fresh faces was largely enforced as Scotland are also missing several key players for this match, including Scott McTominay, Lawrence Shankland, Kieran Tierney and Kenny McLean.
Keep an eye on Ben Gannon-Doak here. The Bournemouth man had four shots against Haiti and Brazil in his two starts at the World Cup, scored against Greece in November, and also recorded four shots against Lincoln in the EFL Cup earlier this month.
Slovenia - Scotland Key Points
- Each of Slovenia’s last four competitive matches ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Slovenia have failed to score in two of their last three home games.
- Scotland have failed to score in four of their last seven matches.
- Scotland have kept clean sheets in five of their last six away games.
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Our Slovenia vs Scotland Prediction
Slovenia’s failure to qualify for the 2026 World Cup was largely due to a lack of attacking output, and it certainly does not bode well for them that their talisman, Benjamin Sesko, is ruled out for this international break.
However, Scotland are also missing key attackers here in Scott McTominay and Lawrence Shankland. The Tartan Army have been good in defence on the road lately, though, and we feel they may prioritise keeping a clean sheet in this match. Our Slovenia vs Scotland prediction is under 2.5 goals.
Slovenia vs Scotland Alternative Predictions
Draw
Ben Gannon-Doak 1+ shot on target
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Slovenia vs Scotland - FAQs
The UEFA Nations League match between Slovenia and Scotland will be broadcast live on Sportklub (Slovenia) and BBC iPlayer (UK).
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our UEFA Nations League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
