Slovakia vs Moldova Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Slovakia
26/09/2026 14:45
Moldova

Prediction :

 

Slovakia wins & over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

In League C of the UEFA Nations League, Slovakia and Moldova will be facing off to mark matchday one action. As Moldova marks a return to League C, Slovakia will be starting a third straight campaign. Slovakia are unbeaten in their last three matches, and our prediction backs a home victory.

Slovakia saw their two-game winning run halted last time out as they drew 2-2 with Montenegro. Carrying into this game a three-match unbeaten streak will work well on their confidence, especially as they’ve scored twice in all three.

Slovakia’s only defeat in this encounter was in a friendly. The last two were in competitive action, and Slovakia won.

Moldova beat Slovakia back in the year 2000, a 2-0 victory. The chances that they can repeat the feat are super slim, going by their recent performances and the fact that they’ve lost the latest two against Slovakia.

Their history with this host may not be of much importance at the moment, given they last faced off in 2001. Moldova are coming off a poor run, having last posted a win two years ago.

They are on a 15-match winless run, having recorded 11 defeats in the process. In their latest two outings, though, they posted draws with Armenia and Moldova.

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Slovakia v Moldova Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.19 6.4 13
1xbet
1.21 6.93 16
Melbet
1.19 6.75 15
Betwinner
1.19 6.75 15
22bet
1.2 6.55 14.5
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What is the prediction for the football match between Slovakia and Moldova?

Our prediction for the Slovakia vs Moldova match is: Slovakia wins & over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/09/2026 between Slovakia and Moldova in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.71% for a win of Slovakia against Moldova with odds of 1.22 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Slovakia vs Moldova is 21.64% with odds of 6.93 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 10.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Moldova vs Slovakia with odds of 16 at 1xbet.

Slovakia vs Moldova Form

Slovakia and Moldova Last Matches

Slovakia
Slovakia Last matches
W L L W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
2 :  2
Montenegro

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
2 :  1
Malta

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
2 :  0
Romania

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Slovakia
3 :  4
Kosovo

17 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Germany
6 :  0
Slovakia

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Slovakia
1 :  0
Northern Ireland
W W L W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
2 :  2
Montenegro

1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
2 :  1
Malta

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
2 :  0
Romania

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Slovakia
3 :  4
Kosovo

14 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Slovakia
1 :  0
Northern Ireland

13 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Slovakia
2 :  0
Luxembourg
L L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

17 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Germany
6 :  0
Slovakia

10 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Northern Ireland
2 :  0
Slovakia

7 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Slovakia

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Israel
1 :  0
Slovakia

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Greece
4 :  1
Slovakia

23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Slovenia
1 :  0
Slovakia
Moldova
Moldova Last matches
L L L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  1
Moldova

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Moldova
2 :  2
Bulgaria

30 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
3 :  2
Moldova

26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Moldova
0 :  2
Lithuania

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Israel
4 :  1
Moldova

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  2
Italy
L L L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
3 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Moldova
2 :  2
Bulgaria

26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Moldova
0 :  2
Lithuania

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  2
Italy

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  4
Israel

25 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
2 :  3
Estonia

22 Mar 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  5
Norway
L L D L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
3.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Armenia
1 :  1
Moldova

30 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Cyprus
3 :  2
Moldova

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Israel
4 :  1
Moldova

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Estonia
1 :  1
Moldova

9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies

Romania
2 :  1
Moldova

9 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Norway
11 :  1
Moldova
Slovakia vs Moldova Prediction

Slovakia - Moldova Key Points

  1. Slovakia are unbeaten in their last three outings.
  2. Moldova have conceded 22 goals in their last six away matches.
  3. At least three goals were scored in four of Albania’s last five games.
  4. Slovakia’s run of 10 home matches produced six wins and just one defeat.
  5. Moldova are winless in their last 15 matches, with 11 ending in defeats.
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Our Slovakia vs Moldova Prediction

Away form is a real concern for Moldova as they start their UEFA Nations League campaign. They have conceded 22 goals in the last six, and generally they just haven’t been in great shape. A 15-game winless run in all competitions, with 11 defeats, points to a seriously weak side, and Slovakia should be starting with a win.

Moldova will be looking to build on two draws in their last two outings, but here they face a side on three matches undefeated. Our prediction for Slovakia v Moldova is that Slovakia wins & over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Slovakia wins & over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.