Turkey - Super Lig
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Super Lig Predictions
Samsunspor are set to welcome Fenerbahce to the Samsun 19 May Stadium on matchday eight of the Turkish Super Lig. Samsunspor are in sixth place in the league standings, while Fenerbahce are second. Here's our match prediction.
After 37 years, Samsunspor returned to European competition in style. Their first match was against Legia Warsaw in the UEFA Europa Conference League - league phase. They secured a 1-0 away victory despite seeing 36% of the ball.
Focus now shifts to the Turkish Super Lig. It was a great start at first to the current campaign for Thomas Reis' men, who won their first two games. However, that has turned into a struggle for consistency, as they've won just one of their last five matches (D3, L1).
In their recent league game, the Red Lightning squandered a healthy two-goal lead to settle for a 2-2 away draw against Gaziantep.
Fenerbahce was also successful in Europe. On Thursday, the Turkish giants had no trouble seeing off the threat of OGC Nice securing a 2-1 home victory on the first matchday of the UEFA Europa League.
The Yellow Canaries are back in league action and are hoping to make it back-to-back wins after beating Antalyaspor 2-0. That result ended a two-match draw streak.
Domenico Tedesco's men have underperformed on the road this season. So far, they've recorded just one win in their last six outings across all competitions (D2, L3).
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The Best Betting Odds for Samsunspor v Fenerbahce Istanbul Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5 | 4 | 1.57 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
|
|
5 | 3.8 | 1.62 |
|
|
4 | 3.6 | 1.78 |
|
|
4.25 | 3.8 | 1.73 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Samsunspor and Fenerbahce Istanbul?
Our prediction for the Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce Istanbul match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2025 between Samsunspor and Fenerbahce Istanbul in Super Lig :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.22% for a win of Samsunspor against Fenerbahce Istanbul with odds of 5.05 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce Istanbul is 37.16% with odds of 4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Samsunspor with odds of 1.8 at Betobet.
Samsunspor - Fenerbahce Istanbul Prediction and Best Odds:
| Samsunspor Fenerbahce Istanbul Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 37.16% | 4 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 52.26% | 2.05 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 58.33% | |
| Half-time: Samsunspor / Full-time: Draw | 13.64% | 15 at Bet365 |
Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce Istanbul Form
Samsunspor and Fenerbahce Istanbul's standings in the Super Lig
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
31 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 18 |
|
4
|
24 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
Samsunspor and Fenerbahce Istanbul Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
27 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
21 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
17 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
13 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
31 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
17 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
13 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
28 Aug 2025 - Europa League
9 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
1 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Conference League
27 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
31 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
21 Aug 2025 - Europa League
16 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
21 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
17 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
14 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
17 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
14 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
23 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
21 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
31 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
27 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce Istanbul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
75 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
20 Oct 2024 - Super Lig
21 Jan 2024 - Super Lig
21 Aug 2023 - Super Lig
Samsunspor against Fenerbahce Istanbul Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Most goals and assists
Samsunspor
Fenerbahce Istanbul
C. Holse
(7 Goals)
Y. En-Nesyri
(7 Goals)
A. Musaba
(3 Assists)
K. Akturkoglu
(3 Assists)
Samsunspor - Fenerbahce Istanbul Key Points
- Samsunspor have seen their last two league games end with over 2.5 goals.
- Three of Fenerbahce's last five matches across all competitions have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Samsunspor have seen two of their last three home league games end with over 2.5 goals.
- Fenerbahce's last away match against Samsunspor ended in a 2-2 draw.
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Our Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce Istanbul Prediction
Samsunspor have made life difficult for Fenerbahce in this fixture. They have held the Turkish giants to three consecutive draws, and their last home league game ended in a thrilling 2-2 draw. This is an indication that the match could turn out to be an entertaining affair filled with plenty of goals.
Fenerbahce are the favorites to secure maximum points here. However, their away record is cause for concern. The visitors have also recorded just one win in their last three away matches in this fixture. Two of those outings produced over 2.5 goals. Our Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce prediction: over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Samsunspor Fenerbahce Istanbul
| Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce Istanbul | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samsunspor wins | 4.75 | 5 | +5.3% |
| Draw | 4 | 4 | 0% |
| Fenerbahce Istanbul wins | 1.62 | 1.57 | -3.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.0% and is now 25.0% (0.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
