Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Samsunspor Prediction & Betting Tips - Super Cup
Turkey - Super Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Football Predictions
Fenerbahce face Samsunspor in this Turkish Super Cup semi-final on Tuesday, with the winner set to play either Galatasaray or Trabzonspor in the final. Can the Yellow Canaries overcome Samsunspor to qualify for the final? Here is our prediction.
Fenerbahce's 16-match unbeaten run finally came to an end in their last outing against Besiktas in their Turkish Cup opener. Vaclav Cerny took the hosts' defense to the cleaners, scoring in both halves to secure a deserved 2–0 away victory for Besiktas.
Domenico Tedesco's men will look to put that shock result behind them as they line up against Samsunspor on Tuesday. They have won three of their last four matches and are unbeaten in their last six meetings with Samsunspor.
Samsunspor finally snapped their prolonged eight-match winless run with a 2–1 victory over Eyupspor in their Turkish Cup opener. Chad forward Marius and Turkish midfielder Soner Aydogdu's first-half goals were enough to secure maximum three points for the hosts.
However, the Red Lightning are on the back foot heading into this match, having lost five of their last six games and endured a prolonged winless run against Fenerbache.
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Fenerbahce Istanbul v Samsunspor Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.67 | 3.6 | 5 |
|
|
1.63 | 3.8 | 5.65 |
|
|
1.63 | 3.74 | 5.85 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.7 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.8 | 5.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Fenerbahce Istanbul and Samsunspor?
Our prediction for the Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Samsunspor match is: Fenerbahce wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/01/2026 between Fenerbahce Istanbul and Samsunspor in Super Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.37% for a win of Fenerbahce Istanbul against Samsunspor with odds of 1.8 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Samsunspor is 34.57% with odds of 3.85 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Samsunspor vs Fenerbahce Istanbul with odds of 5.85 at Betwinner.
Fenerbahce Istanbul - Samsunspor Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fenerbahce Istanbul Samsunspor Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce Istanbul wins | 50.37% | 1.8 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.24% | 2.05 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 61.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Fenerbahce Istanbul/Fenerbahce Istanbul | 22.88% | 2.75 at LSbet |
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Samsunspor Form
Fenerbahce Istanbul and Samsunspor Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
20 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
15 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
6 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
1 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Dec 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
15 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
1 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
9 Nov 2025 - Super Lig
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
6 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
23 Nov 2025 - Super Lig
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Super Lig
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
21 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
14 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
5 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Dec 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
14 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
1 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
9 Nov 2025 - Super Lig
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
5 Dec 2025 - Super Lig
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
23 Nov 2025 - Super Lig
2 Nov 2025 - Super Lig
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Samsunspor Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
80 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Oct 2025 - Super Lig
16 Mar 2025 - Super Lig
20 Oct 2024 - Super Lig
21 Jan 2024 - Super Lig
21 Aug 2023 - Super Lig
Fenerbahce Istanbul against Samsunspor Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
E. Biterge
T. Cetin
DefenderY. Demir
K. Uregen
C. Soyuncu
H. Karatas
S. Szymanski
O. Aydin
A. Posiadala
E. Berat Toruz
DefenderA. Diabate
S. Gonul
J. Mendes
S. Aydogdu
E. Aydin
ForwardP. Yaldir
S. Jarju
T. Bulbul
Fenerbahce Istanbul - Samsunspor Key Points
- Fenerbahce have avoided defeat in 16 of their last 17 matches.
- Fenerbahce have won three of their last four matches.
- Samsunspor have lost five of their last six matches.
- Samsunspor have failed to win any of their last six matches against Fenerbahce.
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Our Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Samsunspor Prediction
We expect a largely one-sided affair as these two teams clash on Tuesday. Fenerbahce are well-placed to bounce back from the shock home defeat to Besiktas. They have avoided defeat in 16 of their last 17 games and won three of their last four matches.
Samsunspor head into this clash on the back of five losses in their last six matches and are unlikely to pose a significant challenge to a high-flying Fenerbache. They are also winless in their past six meetings with the Yellow Canaries. Our Fenerbache vs Samsunspor prediction is Fenerbahce wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fenerbahce Istanbul Samsunspor
| Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Samsunspor | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce Istanbul wins | 1.7 | 1.8 | +5.9% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.85 | -1.3% |
| Samsunspor wins | 4.9 | 5.85 | +19.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fenerbahce Istanbul is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 55.6% (-3.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
