PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Joseph King | in Eredivisie Predictions
Third-placed PSV Eindhoven host bottom side Willem II at the Philips Stadion on Saturday afternoon for matchday 11 of the 2026-27 Eredivisie. Both the Tricolors and Boeren have been involved in high-scoring contests this season, albeit for different reasons. Our match prediction is backing another entertaining afternoon in Eindhoven.
PSV have experienced a solid start, although they haven’t quite hit top gear yet. They’ve amassed 20 points from the first 10 matches of the league season, putting them four points behind first-place Feyenoord.
The defending champions come into this matchup off the back of a 1-1 home draw with the league leaders, a match they perhaps just edged after creating 2.03 xG to their opponents’ 1.22. That was preceded by a hugely-impressive performance in PSV’s 1-0 away victory over Porto in the Champions League.
The hosts are yet to lose at home in the Eredivisie this season, winning three and drawing twice in five outings.
Willem, meanwhile, come in on the opposite end of the spectrum. The newly-promoted side sits rock bottom of the standings, winless in 10 outings and managing only two points.
The visitors beat second-division side Helmond Sport 4-3 away in the KNVB Cup in their last outing, but had previously lost five straight. It’s the defensive metrics that are really worrying for Willem, as they rank 18th out of 18 in xG conceded (23.7) while shipping the most goals in the division with 32.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
PSV Eindhoven v Willem II Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.06 | 12.00 | 21.00 |
|
|
1.04 | 18.00 | 34.00 |
|
|
1.03 | 17.00 | 33.00 |
|
|
1.03 | 17.00 | 33.00 |
|
|
1.04 | 17.00 | 32.00 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSV Eindhoven and Willem II?
Our prediction for the PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II match is: BTTS + over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/10/2026 between PSV Eindhoven and Willem II in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.96% for a win of PSV Eindhoven against Willem II with odds of 1.09 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II is 23.12% with odds of 18 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 10.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Willem II vs PSV Eindhoven with odds of 36 at Betsson.
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II Form
PSV Eindhoven and Willem II's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
20 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +15 |
|
18
|
2 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -22 |
PSV Eindhoven and Willem II Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
20 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
9 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
20 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
9 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
13 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
23 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2026 - Champions League
17 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
13 Oct 2026 - Champions League
20 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2026 - KNVB beker
24 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
17 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
11 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Oct 2026 - KNVB beker
17 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
11 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
11 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
28 Sept 2024 - Eredivisie
1 May 2022 - Eredivisie
25 Sept 2021 - Eredivisie
8 Nov 2020 - Eredivisie
8 Feb 2020 - Eredivisie
Players list
M. Kovar
DefenderS. Dest
L. Geertruida
A. Obispo
MidfielderMauro Junior
K. Sano
G. Til
ForwardF. Kostic
R. van Bommel
I. Perisic
E. Bajraktarevic
M. Delanghe
DefenderN. Tjoe-a-On
H. Ter Avest
M. Lemmens
F. Stam
MidfielderV. Van Crooij
J. Schuurman
C. Twigt
E. Gurbuz
A. Zarrouk
ForwardD. Haen
Substitutes
N. Olij
T. Smolenaars
DefenderK. Sildillia
Y. Gasiorowski
R. Flamingo
MidfielderA. Santos
N. Fernandez
S. Cornecion
ForwardA. Bouhamdi
D. Man
M. Hansen
K. De Leeuw
W. Van der Steen
DefenderA. Et-Taibi
A. Ciranni
J. Mathijsen
MidfielderT. Vilhena
K. Boogaard
ForwardT. Verheydt
P. Van Loon
C. Obi-Martin
A. Culum
J. Slory
Missing players
A. Nagalo
MidfielderJ. Schouten
P. Wanner
ForwardA. Plea
S. Lammers
R. Pepi
W. Van der Steen
DefenderJ. Hoogma
A. Lachkar
MidfielderT. Muller
Most goals and assists
PSV Eindhoven
Willem II
G. Til
(6 Goals)
D. Haen
(3 Goals)
R. van Bommel
(3 Assists)
, 
E. Bajraktarevic
(3 Assists)
N. Tjoe-a-On
(2 Assists)
,
U. Van Alst
(2 Assists)
,
V. Van Crooij
(2 Assists)
PSV Eindhoven and Willem II Stats in Eredivisie
PSV Eindhoven - Willem II Key Points
- PSV have seen BTTS + over 2.5 in three of their five home league matches.
- Four of Willem's five away league matches ended with BTTS + over 2.5 goals.
- Willem have scored in two of their last three meetings with PSV.
- PSV rank third in xG in the Eredivisie (25.1), while Willem rank last in xG conceded (23.7).
- PSV league matches see an average of 4.1 total goals, while Willem's see 4.2.
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Our PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II Prediction
This matchup sees a free-scoring attacking side coming up against a defense which can't keep their opponents out. PSV's average total goals number is high thanks to an attack which has netted 28 goals so far, while Willem's is similar because of their 32 goals conceded.
And while the game script points to a heavily one-sided match, Willem have shown enough on the attacking side that has us believing the underdogs can get on the scoresheet themselves. Our PSV vs Willem II prediction: BTTS + over 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
