Bournemouth vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
A stacked weekend schedule in the Premier League brings us an intriguing matchup on Saturday afternoon, with Bournemouth taking on Leeds at the Vitality Stadium. The Cherries are on a five-match win streak, and we’re going with them to extend that record here - albeit with a safety net - as discussed in our main prediction below.
After a slow start to the season, Marco Silva’s side are now in full flight and enter this weekend’s fixture off the back of booking their spot in the quarter-final of the Carabao Cup by beating Aston Villa. The Cherries have also won their last two league games convincingly, and another three points here could see them end the weekend inside the top seven in the league standings.
Daniel Farke’s side kick off Matchday 9 in the EPL in seventh place with 11 points after their stalemate at the Stadium of Light last week. The Whites have been tough to beat this term (W2 D5 L1), but they have never beaten Bournemouth at the Vitality in the top flight (D1 L1). Let’s get into the key stats!
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Bournemouth v Leeds Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.05 | 3.50 | 3.40 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.56 | 3.70 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.42 | 3.56 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.42 | 3.56 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.42 | 3.56 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Bournemouth and Leeds?
Our prediction for the Bournemouth vs Leeds match is: Bournemouth draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/10/2026 between Bournemouth and Leeds in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.98% for a win of Bournemouth against Leeds with odds of 2.16 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bournemouth vs Leeds is 28.8% with odds of 3.56 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 26.22% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Bournemouth with odds of 3.7 at 1xbet.
Bournemouth vs Leeds Form
Bournemouth and Leeds's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
11 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +3 |
|
13
|
9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 |
Bournemouth and Leeds Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2026 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2026 - Premier League
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Oct 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Oct 2026 - Europa League
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
15 Oct 2026 - Europa League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2026 - Premier League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
17 Sept 2026 - Europa League
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2026 - Premier League
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
14 Sept 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2026 - Premier League
20 Sept 2026 - Premier League
14 Sept 2026 - Premier League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2026 - Premier League
10 Oct 2026 - Premier League
9 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Premier League
Bournemouth vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
50 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
30 Apr 2023 - Premier League
5 Nov 2022 - Premier League
Bournemouth - Leeds: Form Analysis
After losing back-to-back league games against Liverpool and Chelsea, Bournemouth have reeled off five straight wins across all competitions, including a 3-0 victory over Man United last weekend.
The Cherries now have the third-highest xG per 90 in the Premier League (1.81), only behind Man City and Brighton, and they are averaging 5.0 shots on target per game (fourth-most in the EPL).
This week’s hosts have also won each of their last four home games in all competitions and kept clean sheets in each. They have only suffered one loss in their last 13 home matches in the Prem (W4 D8)!
Both matches between Bournemouth and Leeds ended 2-2 last season!
While Leeds have been tough to beat, they have left plenty of points on the table. They have drawn a league-high five games this season, including their last two against Sunderland (0-0) and Man United (1-1).
The Whites recorded just 0.76 xG at the Stadium of Light last week and are averaging 1.31 xG per 90 this season. However, they also have the sixth-best xGA in the division this term (1.31 per 90).
The visitors have earned five points from their four away league games this season, but they are winless in their last four matches on the road across all competitions, drawing two and losing two.
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Bournemouth vs Leeds last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
D. Petrovic
DefenderA. Smith
J. Hill
A. Truffert
MidfielderT. Adams
J. Kluivert
ForwardD. Brooks
Rayan
E. Kroupi
M. Zetterer
DefenderM. Bard
MidfielderA. Cresswell
S. Longstaff
A. Stach
I. Gruev
ForwardJ. Bahoya
L. Nmecha
N. Okafor
Missing players
J. Araujo
MidfielderA. Scott
A. Toth
J. Rodon
ForwardD. James
Mateo Joseph
Bournemouth & Leeds Squad Analysis
Rose took the opportunity to rest the majority of his players who started the win against United in midweek, with only Antonio Silva, Lewis Cook, and Marcus Tavernier retaining their places.
Evanilson is one to watch for the Cherries this week. No player has more assists than his four in the league, while only Erling Haaland (9) and Joao Pedro (8) have been directly involved in more goals than the Brazilian forward (7) this term.
Eli Junior Kroupi has now logged minutes in the last two matches following his foot injury. Alex Toth, Julian Araujo, and Alex Scott are ruled out this week, while Veljko Milosavljevic is listed as a doubt.
Kroupi scored in both league games against Leeds United last season!
Defensive stability has been a key strength for Leeds this season, and a major contributor to that has been James Trafford, who now has the best save percentage in the Premier League this term (83.3%).
Harry Wilson was handed just his third start of the season against Sunderland, but he struggled to make much of an impact and could make way for the returning Anton Stach in his new advanced midfield role.
Nico Elvedi, Daniel James, and Joe Rodon have all missed games recently due to injuries, but Farke is hopeful that the trio will be fit to make the squad this weekend. Mateo Joseph is the visitors' only confirmed absentee for this week's trip to the south coast.
Most goals and assists
Bournemouth
Leeds
M. Tavernier
(5 Goals)
D. Calvert-Lewin
(4 Goals)
Evanilson
(4 Assists)
T. Muharemovic
(2 Assists)
Bournemouth and Leeds Stats in Premier League
Bournemouth - Leeds Key Points
- Bournemouth are on a five-match win streak across all competitions.
- Bournemouth have only lost one of their last 13 home matches in the Premier League.
- Bournemouth have kept clean sheets in their last four home games in all competitions.
- Leeds United are winless in their last four matches across all competitions.
- Leeds United have conceded six goals in their last two matches at the Vitality.
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Our Bournemouth vs Leeds Prediction
Bournemouth enter this weekend’s fixture in excellent form, currently riding a five-match win streak - which included wins against Man United and AC Milan - while keeping clean sheets in each match during this period.
Leeds, on the other hand, have only managed one win in their last eight games across all competitions and failed to score in two of their last four. We fancy the home side to take all three points here, but we’ll opt for the safety of our money back in case of a draw as our primary selection. Our Bournemouth vs Leeds United prediction is Bournemouth draw no bet.
Bournemouth vs Leeds Alternative Predictions
Evanilson 1+ shot on target
Bournemouth wins
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Bournemouth vs Leeds - FAQs
The Premier League match between Bournemouth and Leeds will not be broadcast live on TV in the UK due to the 3:00 PM Saturday blackout rule.
However, you can keep up with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
