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Porto vs Malmo Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

Porto
11/12/2025 15:00
Malmo

Prediction :

 

Porto to win to nil

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Europa League Predictions

FC Porto will get the chance to strengthen their placing in the Europa League standings when they face Malmo. The two sides clash in matchday six of the league phase, with Porto sitting eighth while Malmo are third from the bottom. Read on to find our prediction for the match.

Porto had the perfect preparation for this game with a 2-0 win against Tondela in their domestic league. With that victory, the Portuguese giants have seven wins in their last 11 outings.

They lost twice in the process, and one of those was in the Europa League, against Nottingham Forest. At home a fortnight ago, Porto were ruthless in their 3-0 win against Nice to hit 10 points in the league phase.

Swedish giants Malmo are still in search of a first win in the league phase. On matchday three they rose from two straight losses with a 1-1 draw against Dinamo Zagreb.

However, they failed to build on the positive result and are coming here with straight defeats in the last two games. Having completed their domestic season, Malmo only have the Europa League assignments to look forward to.

Their extended rest didn’t help, as they suffered a 3-0 defeat last time out against Nottingham Forest. With the loss, they are left without scoring in three of their latest five matches in Europe.

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The Best Betting Odds for Porto v Malmo Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.22 6.5 12
Betfred
1.2 6 13
William Hill
1.22 6 11
Betway
1.2 6.5 12
Unibet
1.21 6.75 11.5
Check all Porto vs Malmo odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Malmo?

Our prediction for the Porto vs Malmo match is: Porto to win to nil.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/12/2025 between Porto and Malmo in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.22% for a win of Porto against Malmo with odds of 1.26 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Malmo is 15.93% with odds of 6.8 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 19.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Malmo vs Porto with odds of 15.5 at Shangrila.

Porto vs Malmo Form

Porto and Malmo's standings in the Europa League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8
Porto
Porto
10 5 3 1 1 3
34
Malmo
Malmo
1 5 0 1 4 -8

Porto and Malmo Last Matches

Porto
Porto Last matches
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Tondela
0 :  2
Porto

4 Dec 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Porto
1 :  3
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  0
Estoril

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Porto
3 :  0
Nice

22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
3 :  0
Sintrense

9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
0 :  1
Porto
D W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Dec 2025 - Portugal League Cup

Porto
1 :  3
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
1 :  0
Estoril

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Porto
3 :  0
Nice

22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
3 :  0
Sintrense

2 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  1
SC Braga

5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Porto
0 :  0
Benfica Lisbon
W L W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Tondela
0 :  2
Porto

9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal

Famalicao
0 :  1
Porto

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Utrecht
1 :  1
Porto

27 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal

Moreirense
1 :  2
Porto

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  0
Porto

18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal

CD Celoricense
0 :  4
Porto
Malmo
Malmo Last matches
D L D L W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  0
Malmo

9 Nov 2025 - Allsvenskan

Malmo
2 :  1
Gais

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Malmo
0 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens

1 Nov 2025 - Allsvenskan

BK Häcken
1 :  1
Malmo

27 Oct 2025 - Allsvenskan

Malmo
1 :  3
Hammarby IF

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Malmo
1 :  1
GNK Dinamo Zagreb
L W D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Allsvenskan

Malmo
2 :  1
Gais

6 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Malmo
0 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens

27 Oct 2025 - Allsvenskan

Malmo
1 :  3
Hammarby IF

23 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Malmo
1 :  1
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

28 Sept 2025 - Allsvenskan

Malmo
3 :  2
IFK Varnamo

24 Sept 2025 - Europa League

Malmo
1 :  2
Ludogorets
W L L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Nov 2025 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  0
Malmo

1 Nov 2025 - Allsvenskan

BK Häcken
1 :  1
Malmo

18 Oct 2025 - Allsvenskan

IFK Norrkoping FK
0 :  2
Malmo

5 Oct 2025 - Allsvenskan

IK Sirius
5 :  1
Malmo

2 Oct 2025 - Europa League

Viktoria Plzen
3 :  0
Malmo

17 Sept 2025 - Svenska Cup

BK Olympic
0 :  1
Malmo

Porto vs Malmo last Lineups

Porto

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

99
D. Costa
20
A. Costa
5
J. Bednarek
4
J. Kiwior
74
F. Moura
8
V. Froholdt
22
A. Varela
86
R. Mora
7
W. Gomes
9
S. Aghehowa
11
Pepe
25
Busanello
32
D. Gudjohnsen
38
H. Bolin
37
A. Skogmar
23
L. Johnsen
29
S. Haksabanovic
19
C. Rosler
5
A. Duric
18
P. Jansson
17
J. Stryger Larsen
33
M. Ellborg

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Malmo

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Porto
CD Huachipato Malmo
Top Goalscorer
Spain S. Aghehowa (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Sweden O. Lewicki (1 Goals) Norway L. Johnsen (1 Goals)
Best assists
Portugal A. Costa (4 Assists)
Brazil Pepe (4 Assists)
Denmark V. Froholdt (4 Assists)
Spain G. Veiga (4 Assists)
Best assists
Sweden O. Rosengren (1 Assists)
Sweden T. Ali (1 Assists)

Porto and Malmo Stats in Europa League

Porto
Porto
Malmo
Malmo
60%
Wins
29%
20%
Draw
14%
20%
Losses
57%
2.2
Total goals per match
2.43
1.4
Goals scored per match
1
0.8
Goals conceded per match
1.43
40%
Over 2.5
57%
60%
Under 2.5
43%
40%
BTTS
29%
40%
Clean Sheet
29%

Porto - Malmo Key Points

  1. In their latest five wins, Porto did not concede.
  2. Porto have seven wins in their last 10 matches.
  3. Malmo lost five times in their last nine matches.
  4. Porto posted eight wins in their last 10 home matches.
  5. In three of their last four away matches in Europe, Malmo lost.
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Our Porto vs Malmo Prediction

FC Porto are on a strong run in Europe, and this is a chance to strengthen their top-eight grip. The Portuguese giants will hope to keep it going as they come here on a good run, having won five of their last six matches.

Their visitors, meanwhile, last featured competitively towards the end of November, and a lack of action could cost them. The last time out, they lost 3-0 to Nottingham Forest in this competition. Our prediction for Porto v Malmo is for Porto to win to nil.

Prediction :

 

Porto to win to nil

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Porto vs Malmo Prediction

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