Real Madrid vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Champions League Predictions
Xabi Alonso’s Real Madrid future could depend on the result of Wednesday’s UEFA Champions League matchday six game against Manchester City. This match in Madrid between the fifth-placed Los Blancos and the ninth-placed SkyBlues comes with our prediction. These two European giants have consistently delivered high-scoring encounters and are likely to produce another thriller here.
After being booed off after their recent loss to Celta Vigo, Madrid are under pressure, especially their coach, Alonso. Their league form has faltered, with a five-point lead now becoming a four-point deficit. Although they have been impressive in the UCL. Will that be enough to go past Manchester City?
City got themselves back into the Premier League title race with an impressive run recently. Another win here will extend the good vibes while also improving their chances of moving into the top eight. Can the visitors upset the applecart of the hosts and add to their struggles? Is there a goal-laden encounter awaiting the fans at the Santiago Bernabeu? Read more for our analysis, team news, and match predictions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Real Madrid v Manchester City Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.9 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.25 | 4 | 2.13 |
|
|
3.09 | 3.88 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.85 | 2.04 |
|
|
3.25 | 4 | 2.12 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Manchester City match is: more than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/12/2025 between Real Madrid and Manchester City in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.6% for a win of Real Madrid against Manchester City with odds of 3.25 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Manchester City is 11.53% with odds of 4.05 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.87% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Real Madrid with odds of 2.2 at 888Starz.
Real Madrid - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Real Madrid Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 50.6% | 3.25 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.6% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 18.65% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Real Madrid vs Manchester City Form
Real Madrid and Manchester City's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +6 |
|
7
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +6 |
Real Madrid and Manchester City Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
30 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
23 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Premier League
Real Madrid vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
17 Apr 2024 - Champions League
9 Apr 2024 - Champions League
17 May 2023 - Champions League
9 May 2023 - Champions League
Real Madrid - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Madrid have four wins and a loss in their five UCL games, but their lone defeat has come against a Premier League side. Having won both their home matches in this campaign, Los Blancos will hope they can keep that good form in this competition.
The hosts were beaten 2-0 at this venue by Celta Vigo last weekend in La Liga and were booed off by the home faithful. It also marked a fifth game in their last seven matches that Madrid failed to win (W2, D3, L2) in all competitions.
Madrid won 13 of their last 14 home matches in the Champions League group stage!
That adds a new dimension to this encounter, but City come here looking to bounce back from a 2-0 home defeat to Leverkusen on the last matchday. That meant Pep Guardiola’s side had three wins and a draw in this campaign so far.
The visitors defeated Sunderland 3-0 at home in the Premier League over the weekend, which was their third win in a row. It also marked a tenth win from their last 13 competitive games, underlining City’s strengths.
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Real Madrid against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
F. Gonzalez
A. Lunin
DefenderV. Valdepenas
J. Martinez
F. Garcia
MidfielderA. Guler
J. Cestero
F. Mastantuono
ForwardB. Diaz
Endrick
K. Mbappe
J. Trafford
M. Bettinelli
DefenderR. Ait-Nouri
R. Lewis
A. Khusanov
N. Ake
T. Reijnders
O. Bobb
Savinho
O. Marmoush
Missing players
D. Alaba
D. Carvajal
T. Alexander-Arnold
F. Mendy
D. Huijsen
MidfielderE. Camavinga
J. Stones
MidfielderM. Kovacic
Real Madrid & Manchester City Squad Analysis
Eder Militao picked up a hamstring injury against Celta Vigo, adding to the long list of injuries for Madrid. Trent Alexander-Arnold and Dani Carvajal are still out, while Ferland Mendy’s absence along with the injury cloud over Dean Huijsen makes it worse.
The hosts have used multiple formations this season and could stick to a 4-2-3-1 or 4-3-3 system. Either way, it would be Kylian Mbappe leading the line and their hopes as Madrid look for a way out of the current mess.
Mbappe has ten goals and two assists in his last nine competitive club games.
City’s concerns circle around Rodri, who missed their last six matches in the latest injury setback. Mateo Kovacic misses out due to an ankle injury, while Kalvin Phillips is unavailable.
Pep’s sides have usually lined up in 4-1-4-1 formations, although they have recently used the 4-3-2-1 system as well. Whatever the system is, it will be Erling Haaland leading the line. The Norwegian striker has five goals in the Champions League this season, scoring in all but one of the five matches.
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Manchester City
K. Mbappe
(9 Goals)
E. Haaland
(6 Goals)
A. Guler
(2 Assists)
, 
V. Junior
(2 Assists)
T. Reijnders
(3 Assists)
Real Madrid - Manchester City Key Points
- Madrid scored 4+ goals in two of their last four Champions League matches.
- In five of City’s last nine matches in all competitions, over 3.5 goals have been scored.
- City scored 2+ goals in five of their last eight away matches in all competitions.
- In six of their last eight home matches in all competitions, Madrid scored at least two goals.
- Four of the last five matches between Madrid and City have produced at least four goals.
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Our Real Madrid vs Manchester City Prediction
There’s so much on the line for Madrid and their manager Xabi Alonso, who is under pressure to retain his job. Two wins out of their last seven matches isn’t a proud record for the Spaniards, who will hope they can get back to winning ways. City come here with a much better frame of mind, thanks to their recent run of victories. Ten wins from their last 13 competitive matches is an indicator of their form.
Both teams are likely to dish out an exciting game. Our Real Madrid vs Manchester City prediction is more than 3.5 goals.
Real Madrid vs Manchester City - Other Interesting Predictions
Phil Foden to score anytime
Phil Foden has picked up form at the right time for City, having scored five goals in his last three games. He has two goals and an assist in four Champions League matches this season. Foden could add to that count here with a strike.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Real Madrid Manchester City
| Real Madrid vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 1.91 | 3.25 | +70.2% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.05 | +1.3% |
| Manchester City wins | 3.75 | 2.2 | -41.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 70.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 30.8% (-21.6%)
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Real Madrid vs Manchester City - FAQs
The Real Madrid vs Manchester City UEFA Champions League match is set to be shown in the UK on TNT Sports 1, Discovery+, Discovery+ app, and Amazon Prime Video. In Spain, Telefonica is the official broadcaster.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our UEFA Champions League Livescore page!
This will be the 15th match between Manchester City and Real Madrid, and all of these were played since 2012. Madrid have won five, and City won four, while the remaining five ended in stalemates.
Each of the last four seasons saw these sides play each other in the knockout rounds. The Spaniards have a great record against City, as they lost only one of their seven home matches against the Premier League team (W4, D2).
Madrid’s recent record against English clubs isn’t impressive, as they were beaten in their last three games against Premier League opposition, including against Liverpool on matchday four.
City may have struggled against Madrid but have won six of their last seven group/league phase games against Spanish sides (L2), including the last four in a row. That lone defeat, though, came against Villarreal on matchday three of this campaign.
Let’s start with Real Madrid. They will next face Monaco (home) and Benfica (away).
Manchester City will play Bodo/Glimt (away) and Galatasaray (home).
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
