Sturm Graz vs Red Star Belgrade Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Europa League Predictions
Sturm Graz are outside the Europa League play-off positions with three games to play. The Austrians are only 28th but can boost their qualification hopes with a home win over 22nd-placed Red Star Belgrade. Time for our match prediction.
After five games of this league phase, Sturm Graz have just four points. That total has left them two points adrift of the final unseeded play-off position. Their only win so far was a 2-1 home victory over Rangers who are in the bottom four.
That was in their second league phase fixture. Since then, the only point earned in three games was a home draw with Nottingham Forest. Three of their five games have seen both teams score. That stat has come up in 10 of their last 12 games in all competitions.
Red Star Belgrade are in the unseeded play-off positions. They are just a single point behind the final seeded play-off place and three adrift of the automatic qualification places. This is the first of two consecutive away games before a final home match against Malmo.
They have won two of their five games but lost the same number. Last weekend saw them lose at home to Vojvodina, remaining second in their domestic league. We tip both teams to score in this game.
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Sturm Graz v Red Star Belgrade Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 3.85 | 2.19 |
|
|
3.18 | 3.74 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.19 | 3.78 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.8 | 2 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.7 | 2.18 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sturm Graz and Red Star Belgrade?
Our prediction for the Sturm Graz vs Red Star Belgrade match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/12/2025 between Sturm Graz and Red Star Belgrade in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.83% for a win of Sturm Graz against Red Star Belgrade with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sturm Graz vs Red Star Belgrade is 22.41% with odds of 3.88 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Red Star Belgrade vs Sturm Graz with odds of 2.19 at Stake.
Sturm Graz - Red Star Belgrade Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sturm Graz Red Star Belgrade Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star Belgrade wins | 50.76% | 2.19 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.05% | 1.59 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 61.9% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Red Star Belgrade | 22.15% | 6 at LSbet |
Sturm Graz vs Red Star Belgrade Form
Sturm Graz and Red Star Belgrade's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 |
|
26
|
7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 |
Sturm Graz and Red Star Belgrade Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
30 Nov 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
3 Dec 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
23 Nov 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
26 Oct 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - ÖFB Cup
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Austrian Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
4 Dec 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
30 Nov 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
19 Nov 2025 - Serbia Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
4 Dec 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
19 Oct 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
23 Nov 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
19 Nov 2025 - Serbia Cup
9 Nov 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
30 Oct 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
26 Oct 2025 - Serbian Super Liga
Sturm Graz against Red Star Belgrade Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Khudyakov
M. Bignetti
DefenderN. Geyrhofer
G. Haider
K. Bendra
J. Beck
B. Beganovic
L. Weinhandl
J. Hodl
J. Wolf
A. Kayombo
S. Hierlander
I. Gutesa
O. Glazer
DefenderA. Avdic
S. Lekovic
MidfielderM. Bajo
N. Stankovic
V. Kostov
L. Zaric
ForwardB. Duarte
S. Babicka
A. Damjanovic
A. Katai
Most goals and assists
Sturm Graz
Red Star Belgrade
O. Kiteishvili
(3 Goals)
M. Arnautovic
(2 Goals)
, 
V. Kostov
(2 Goals)
, 
B. Duarte
(2 Goals)
T. Horvat
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Malone
(1 Assists)
T. Elsnik
(2 Assists)
Sturm Graz - Red Star Belgrade Key Points
- Three of the last four Red Star Belgrade away games have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in ten of the last 12 Sturm Graz matches.
- Five of the last eight away games Red Star Belgrade have played in European competitions saw both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in two of the three home games Sturm Graz have played in Europe this season.
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Our Sturm Graz vs Red Star Belgrade Prediction
This is a vital game for both clubs as they attempt to reach the Europa League knockout stages. The pressure is on Sturm Graz who have only earned one point from their last three games. A win here could well take them back into the unseeded play-off positions.
Red Star Belgrade are already in the unseeded places but would love to climb higher in the table. They have two straight away games to play so will want to get something from this match. Our Sturm Graz v Red Star Belgrade prediction is both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sturm Graz Red Star Belgrade
| Sturm Graz vs Red Star Belgrade | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz wins | 2.6 | 3.4 | +30.8% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.88 | +10.9% |
| Red Star Belgrade wins | 2.5 | 2.19 | -12.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Red Star Belgrade is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 45.7% (5.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
