Athletic Bilbao vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
We’re off to the Basque Country for a blockbuster in midweek, when San Mames becomes the battleground for a Champions League Matchday 6 clash between Athletic Bilbao and Paris Saint-Germain. Los Leones are 27th in the League Phase standings, while Les Parisiens are second after five games. Check out our match prediction below!
Athletic Bilbao have got themselves into a tough spot, managing just four points from five UCL games this season, which sees them sat two points off the top 24 teams. With Atalanta and Sporting (currently 10th and eighth, respectively) to come in their final two League Phase games in January, the Red and Whites have to try and make their home advantage count here.
However, taking points off PSG is certainly not an easy task, with only Bayern Munich managing to do so in the Champions League this season. With 12 points, the reigning champs are all but assured entry to the next round, but their sights are set on claiming one of the coveted top eight spots. Let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Athletic Bilbao v PSG Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 | 3.9 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.95 | 1.81 |
|
|
4.62 | 3.92 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.3 | 3.75 | 1.77 |
|
|
4.6 | 4.1 | 1.76 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Athletic Bilbao and PSG?
Our prediction for the Athletic Bilbao vs PSG match is: PSG wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/12/2025 between Athletic Bilbao and PSG in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.72% for a win of Athletic Bilbao against PSG with odds of 4.62 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Athletic Bilbao vs PSG is 18.45% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.83% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Athletic Bilbao with odds of 1.83 at 888Starz.
Athletic Bilbao - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Athletic Bilbao PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 47.83% | 1.83 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.4% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.76% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: PSG | 21.96% | 5 at Bet365 |
Athletic Bilbao vs PSG Form
Athletic Bilbao and PSG's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +11 |
|
28
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 |
Athletic Bilbao and PSG Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
19 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
Athletic Bilbao - PSG: Form Analysis
The 2025-26 season has been one of inconsistency for Athletic Bilbao, as they’ve not managed to win back-to-back games in any competition since August (3) - all of which came in La Liga.
In this competition, the Lions were held to a goalless draw by Slavia Prague on MD5. They have scored just four goals in the UCL this season, with three coming in their only win to date against Qarabag.
However, the hosts picked up a morale-boosting 1-0 victory over Atletico Madrid here at the weekend. They have only lost one of their last eight group stage matches in European competition (W7).
Athletic Club have kept four clean sheets in their six games in all competitions!
Meanwhile, Paris Saint-Germain’s dominance in Ligue 1 is being challenged this season, as they slipped to second place at the end of last month and currently trail Lens by a point after 15 games.
While the Red and Blues have won four of their five matches in the UCL, they have already conceded eight goals, which is the third-most of the current top 16 in the League Phase standings.
However, the visitors have managed to build up their win tally thanks to their incredible attacking unit that has already netted 19 goals in the competition - the most after five matchdays.
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Athletic Bilbao against PSG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Padilla
M. Santos
DefenderI. Lekue
J. de Luis
A. Gorosabel
A. Rego Mora
U. Gomez
S. Sanchez Camilo
M. Vesga
N. Serrano
A. Hierro
I. Williams
R. Marin
M. James
DefenderI. Zabarnyi
L. Kang-in
ForwardG. Ramos
I. Mbaye
D. Doue
Q. Ndjantou
Missing players
U. Egiluz
MidfielderB. Prados
ForwardR. Navarro
M. Sannadi
L. Chevalier
DefenderL. Hernandez
A. Hakimi
Beraldo
N. Kamara
ForwardO. Dembele
Athletic Bilbao & PSG Squad Analysis
The victory over Atleti at the weekend came at a cost for Ernesto Valverde’s side, with Aymeric Laporte picking up an injury after just 33 minutes, and he is now ruled out for this crucial fixture.
Aitor Paredes is suspended for an accumulation of yellows, and he will be joined on the sidelines by injury absentees Robert Navarro, Unai Egiluz, Maroan Sannadi, Benat Prados and Inaki Williams.
Gorka Guruzeta has scored three of Bilbao’s four goals in this competition and will lead the line. Nico Williams has three goal contributions in his last five league games and could be one to watch in this match.
Will Ousmane Dembele make his first UCL start of the season?
The 2025 Ballon d’Or winner’s season has been hampered by injuries, but he did come off the bench to provide an assist against Rennes at the weekend and could make the starting 11 in midweek.
Lusi Enrique is missing a few big names for this clash, including Lucas Hernandez, who was sent off against Spurs on MD5, as well as the injured Nuno Mendes and African Player of the Year, Achraf Hakimi.
PSG have had 11 different goal-scorers in this competition so far. Vitinha leads the way for goal contributions with five (4 goals, 1 assist), followed by Mendes and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia on four (2 goals, 2 assists).
Most goals and assists
Athletic Bilbao
PSG
G. Guruzeta
(3 Goals)
Vitinha
(4 Goals)
M. Jauregizar
(2 Assists)
A. Hakimi
(3 Assists)
Athletic Bilbao - PSG Key Points
- Athletic Bilbao have only won one of their five UCL games this season.
- Athletic Bilbao have failed to score in three of their five games in this competition.
- PSG have won four of their five UCL games this season.
- PSG are the highest-scoring team in the Champions League this season (19).
- PSG have won their last three European away games against Spanish opposition.
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Our Athletic Bilbao vs PSG Prediction
In the past couple of seasons, San Mames was one of the toughest stadiums to visit, but Athletic Bilbao’s home form lately has been far from impressive, with just four wins in their last 10 at this venue (D1 L5).
PSG, on the other hand, have won both their UCL away games this season and scored nine goals combined in those matches. The reigning champions are the highest-scoring team in the competition this term, and we feel they will secure another three points in this one. Our Athletic Bilbao vs PSG prediction is PSG wins.
Athletic Bilbao vs PSG - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5.
Athletic Bilbao are averaging 1.8 goals conceded per game in the UCL this season, while PSG are averaging 3.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per 90 this term.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Athletic Bilbao PSG
| Athletic Bilbao vs PSG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 4.14 | 4.62 | +11.6% |
| Draw | 3.74 | 4.1 | +9.6% |
| PSG wins | 1.83 | 1.83 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 54.6% (0.0%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Athletic Bilbao vs. PSG game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Athletic Bilbao and PSG when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Champions League!
Athletic Bilbao vs PSG - FAQs
The Champions League match between Athletic Bilbao and PSG will take place on December 10 at 20:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between Athletic Bilbao and PSG will be played at Estadio San Mames in Bilbao.
The Champions League match between Athletic Bilbao and PSG will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
