Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
The Toon Army touch down in Germany in midweek, when Newcastle United arrive at BayArena to take on Bayer Leverkusen in a Matchday 6 battle in the Champions League. Die Werkself are 17th in the League Phase standings, while the Magpies are 11th after five games. Check out our match prediction below!
After failing to win any of their first three UCL games this season, Kasper Hjulmand’s side got themselves into the Playoff qualification zone with back-to-back wins on Matchdays 4 and 5. With Olympiacos and Villarreal to come in January, the Black and Reds will be firmly in contention to challenge for the top eight if they can take all three points from this clash.
With the League Phase table being as tightly compact as it is, Newcastle are just a point above their upcoming opponents (9), but they do have the fourth-best goal difference after five games. However, the Geordies have not fared well against German opposition in recent times, failing to win their last three games against teams from the Bundesliga (D1 L2). To the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Bayer Leverkusen v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.25 | 3.75 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.75 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.13 | 3.78 | 2.14 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.65 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.8 | 2.16 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Bayer Leverkusen and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/12/2025 between Bayer Leverkusen and Newcastle in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.03% for a win of Bayer Leverkusen against Newcastle with odds of 3.3 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle is 13.52% with odds of 3.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 2.25 at 888Starz.
Bayer Leverkusen - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bayer Leverkusen Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 50.03% | 3.3 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.46% | 1.6 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 64.29% | |
| Half-time: Newcastle / Full-time: Bayer Leverkusen | 22.33% | 26 at Bet365 |
Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle Form
Bayer Leverkusen and Newcastle's standings in the Champions League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +7 |
|
20
|
9 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -2 |
Bayer Leverkusen and Newcastle Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Dec 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
Bayer Leverkusen - Newcastle: Form Analysis
Bayer Leverkusen pulled off one of the biggest upsets of MD5 by beating Manchester City 2-0 at the Etihad, marking their second consecutive clean sheet in the UCL after a 1-0 victory over Benfica.
Since then, though, their form has been erratic, having only beaten Dortmund in the DFB-Pokal in between back-to-back league defeats to BVB and, most recently, Augsburg this past weekend.
The hosts' home form has also been a mixed bag, as they’ve managed just one point from their two games in the UCL, and have only won four of nine at this venue across all competitions this term (D2 L3).
Bayer Leverkusen have scored two or more goals in four of their last five home games!
Meanwhile, Newcastle United racked up three Champions League wins in a row before that streak was brought to an end by Marseille, 2-1 on the road on Matchday 5 of the competition.
The Magpies bounced back from that defeat well, though, notching up two wins in the Premier League against Everton and Burnley, either side of a dramatic 2-2 draw at home to Tottenham Hotspur.
However, the visitors’ away record this season has been very poor, having lost four of their last five across all competitions. They’ve only tasted victory in two of their nine matches on the road this term (D3 L4).
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Bayer Leverkusen against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Blaswich
N. Lomb
DefenderJ. Belocian
L. Bade
A. Tape
C. Echeverri
N. Tella
C. Kofane
E. Ben Seghir
A. Harrison
M. Thompson
DefenderA. Murphy
F. Schar
MidfielderY. Wissa
J. Willock
J. Ramsey
J. Murphy
L. Miley
A. Elanga
Missing players
L. Vazquez
MidfielderE. Palacios
E. Fernandez
E. Krafth
ForwardW. Osula
Bayer Leverkusen & Newcastle Squad Analysis
Patrik Schick has scored in Leverkusen’s last two games in this competition, and he is now aiming to become the first Czech player to net in three consecutive UCL matches since Jan Koller in 2002-03.
Alejandro Grimaldo, who leads Die Werkself in goal contributions in this competition (3), is a doubt for this clash, having been unable to feature in the loss to Augsburg at the weekend with a knock.
Exequiel Palacios, Equi Fernandez and Janis Blaswich are ruled out through injury, while Lucas Vazquez is a major doubt. Axel Tape has resumed training and could feature in the matchday squad.
Yoanne Wissa is set to make his Champions League debut this week!
The DR Congo international made his highly anticipated bow for the Magpies in the iconic number nine jersey at the weekend, but it is unlikely that he will displace Nick Woltemade from the start in this match.
Harvey Barnes has had five direct goal contributions in Newcastle’s last four UCL games (4 goals, 1 assist) and will likely be brought into the starting 11 after being rested against Burnley.
With Wissa back in the squad, the visitors have just three confirmed injury absentees at present in Nick Pope, Kieran Trippier and Sven Botman.
Most goals and assists
Bayer Leverkusen
Newcastle
A. Grimaldo
(3 Goals)
A. Gordon
(5 Goals)
A. Grimaldo
(1 Assists)
J. Murphy
(2 Assists)
Bayer Leverkusen - Newcastle Key Points
- Bayer Leverkusen have scored two or more goals in four of their last five home games.
- Six of Bayer Leverkusen’s nine home matches across all competitions this season have ended with both teams scoring.
- Each of Newcastle’s last six matches across all competitions have ended with both teams scoring.
- Newcastle have conceded two or more goals in four of their last five away games.
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Our Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle Prediction
While Bayer Leverkusen managed to keep clean sheets in their last two Champions League games, they have conceded 2+ in two of their last three games in all competitions, and they will be tested by Newcastle's attack here.
The Magpies are now unbeaten in three games since losing to Marseille, but their defence has been far from assured this season, especially on the road, where they’ve conceded 11 in their last five outings. Therefore, our Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle United prediction is BTTS.
Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Bayer Leverkusen have scored two or more goals in four of their last five home games, while each of Newcastle’s last six away matches have seen 3+ goals strike the back of the net.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bayer Leverkusen Newcastle
| Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 2.11 | 3.3 | +56.4% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.8 | +7.0% |
| Newcastle wins | 3.15 | 2.25 | -28.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayer Leverkusen is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 56.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.4% and is now 30.3% (-17.1%)
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Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle - FAQs
The Champions League match between Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle will take place on December 10 at 20:00 GMT.
The Champions League match between Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle will be played at the BayArena in Leverkusen
The Champions League match between Bayer Leverkusen vs Newcastle will be broadcast on TNT Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Champions League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
