Ludogorets vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Europa League Predictions
Ludogorets and PAOK will face off at the Huvepharma Arena in the Europa League on Thursday evening. Olite are 25th in the League Phase standings, while Dikefalos are in 17th place after five games. Let’s get into the match prediction!
Following three consecutive defeats between Matchdays 2 and 4, Ludogorets got themselves within touching distance of the Playoff cutoff with a 3-2 victory over Celta Vigo on MD5.
Since then, the Eagles have won two and drawn one of their last three league games and are now unbeaten in their last five matches across all competitions (W4 D1). They also scored two or more goals in each of those victories.
Notably, the hosts have scored eight goals in this competition, which is as many as third-placed Aston Villa, but they’ve conceded 11 - the third-most of any team to date.
Meanwhile, PAOK also enter this match carrying a five-match unbeaten record in all competitions, which included a 1-1 draw at home against Brann on MD5 of the Europa League.
The Double-Headed Eagles have scored 10 goals in this season’s UEL (third-most), and have found the net in 15 consecutive matches across all competitions ahead of this one.
The visitors have won one and lost one of their two League Phase away games. They have scored two or more goals in four of their last six away matches in all competitions.
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Ludogorets v PAOK Thessaloniki Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.65 | 3.55 | 2.07 |
|
|
3.82 | 3.4 | 2.01 |
|
|
3.82 | 3.4 | 2.01 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.4 | 2 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.35 | 2.02 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Ludogorets and PAOK Thessaloniki?
Our prediction for the Ludogorets vs PAOK Thessaloniki match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/12/2025 between Ludogorets and PAOK Thessaloniki in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.13% for a win of Ludogorets against PAOK Thessaloniki with odds of 3.9 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ludogorets vs PAOK Thessaloniki is 24.53% with odds of 3.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.34% chance ⭐ for a win of PAOK Thessaloniki vs Ludogorets with odds of 2.1 at Shangrila.
Ludogorets - PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ludogorets PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PAOK Thessaloniki wins | 49.34% | 2.1 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.29% | 2.06 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.29% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: PAOK Thessaloniki/PAOK Thessaloniki | 25.86% | 3.2 at Bet365 |
Ludogorets vs PAOK Thessaloniki Form
Ludogorets and PAOK Thessaloniki's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
12 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 |
|
22
|
10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 |
Ludogorets and PAOK Thessaloniki Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Dec 2025 - A PFG
4 Dec 2025 - A PFG
30 Nov 2025 - A PFG
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - A PFG
9 Nov 2025 - A PFG
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Dec 2025 - A PFG
30 Nov 2025 - A PFG
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
9 Nov 2025 - A PFG
18 Oct 2025 - A PFG
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2025 - A PFG
23 Nov 2025 - A PFG
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - A PFG
30 Oct 2025 - Bulgarian Cup
27 Oct 2025 - A PFG
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Superleague
3 Dec 2025 - Greece Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Superleague
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - Superleague
9 Nov 2025 - Superleague
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Superleague
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - Superleague
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
29 Oct 2025 - Greece Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Superleague
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Dec 2025 - Greece Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Superleague
9 Nov 2025 - Superleague
2 Nov 2025 - Superleague
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Oct 2025 - Superleague
Ludogorets against PAOK Thessaloniki Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Hristov
S. Padt
DefenderS. Shishkov
I. Nachmias
MidfielderG. Penev
M. Stefanov
I. Yordanov
I. Chochev
M. Erick
M. Machado
A. Tsiftsis
D. Monastirlis
DefenderG. Taylor
MidfielderM. Camara
K. Thymianis
D. Tsopouroglou
G. Konstantelias
A. Bianco
A. Mythou
D. Berdos
D. Chatsidis
A. Zivkovic
Most goals and assists
Ludogorets
PAOK Thessaloniki
P. Stanic
(7 Goals)
G. Giakoumakis
(4 Goals)
B. Tekpetey
(1 Assists)
, 
S. Ivanov
(1 Assists)
, 
O. Verdon
(1 Assists)
, 
D. Almeida
(1 Assists)
,
P. Stanic
(1 Assists)
, 
C. Vidal
(1 Assists)
,
P. Naressi
(1 Assists)
,
M. Erick
(1 Assists)
A. Zivkovic
(4 Assists)
Ludogorets - PAOK Thessaloniki Key Points
- Four of Ludogorets' five UEL matches this season have ended with both teams scoring.
- Ludogorets have conceded the third-most goals of any team in this competition (11).
- PAOK have scored in 15 consecutive matches across all competitions ahead of this one.
- PAOK have scored 10 goals in this season’s UEL (third-most).
- PAOK have scored two or more goals in four of their last six away matches in all competitions.
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Our Ludogorets vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction
After a difficult patch between the start of October and the November international break, Ludogorets have experienced a notable uptick in form, now unbeaten in five games, four of which ended in victory.
However, PAOK have been excellent in attack in this season’s UEL, currently the third-highest scoring team in the competition after five games. Given these sides’ recent form, it’s tough to choose a winner, but we do expect both teams to get on the scoresheet. Our Ludogorets vs PAOK prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ludogorets PAOK Thessaloniki
| Ludogorets vs PAOK Thessaloniki | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ludogorets wins | 2.72 | 3.9 | +43.4% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.6 | +2.9% |
| PAOK Thessaloniki wins | 2.76 | 2.1 | -23.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PAOK Thessaloniki is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 23.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.2% and is now 47.6% (11.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
