Porto vs Malmo Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Europa League Predictions
FC Porto will get the chance to strengthen their placing in the Europa League standings when they face Malmo. The two sides clash in matchday six of the league phase, with Porto sitting eighth while Malmo are third from the bottom. Read on to find our prediction for the match.
Porto had the perfect preparation for this game with a 2-0 win against Tondela in their domestic league. With that victory, the Portuguese giants have seven wins in their last 11 outings.
They lost twice in the process, and one of those was in the Europa League, against Nottingham Forest. At home a fortnight ago, Porto were ruthless in their 3-0 win against Nice to hit 10 points in the league phase.
Swedish giants Malmo are still in search of a first win in the league phase. On matchday three they rose from two straight losses with a 1-1 draw against Dinamo Zagreb.
However, they failed to build on the positive result and are coming here with straight defeats in the last two games. Having completed their domestic season, Malmo only have the Europa League assignments to look forward to.
Their extended rest didn’t help, as they suffered a 3-0 defeat last time out against Nottingham Forest. With the loss, they are left without scoring in three of their latest five matches in Europe.
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Porto v Malmo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.2 | 7.4 | 16 |
|
|
1.16 | 8.2 | 14 |
|
|
1.16 | 8.2 | 14 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.17 | 7 | 17 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Malmo?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Malmo match is: Porto to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/12/2025 between Porto and Malmo in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 63.96% for a win of Porto against Malmo with odds of 1.22 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Malmo is 16.03% with odds of 8.2 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 20% chance ⭐ for a win of Malmo vs Porto with odds of 18 at Shangrila.
Porto - Malmo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Porto Malmo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 63.96% | 1.22 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.26% | 1.65 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score: No | 64.29% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Porto/Porto | 36.73% | 1.65 at LSbet |
Porto vs Malmo Form
Porto and Malmo's standings in the Europa League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 |
|
35
|
1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -11 |
Porto and Malmo Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 Dec 2025 - Portugal League Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Dec 2025 - Portugal League Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
2 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
5 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
27 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
9 Nov 2025 - Allsvenskan
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Allsvenskan
27 Oct 2025 - Allsvenskan
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Allsvenskan
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
27 Oct 2025 - Allsvenskan
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Allsvenskan
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Allsvenskan
18 Oct 2025 - Allsvenskan
5 Oct 2025 - Allsvenskan
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
17 Sept 2025 - Svenska Cup
Porto against Malmo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
Claudio Ramos
J. Costa
DefenderZ. Sanusi
D. Prpic
A. Costa
A. Varela
J. Teixeira
S. Eustaquio
T. Perez
ForwardA. Alarcon
W. Gomes
D. Gul
J. Dahlin
J. Persson
DefenderA. Duric
J. Karlsson
O. Rosengren
O. Berg
A. Christiansen
O. Lewicki
S. Vecchia
ForwardD. Gudjohnsen
E. Ekong
E. Botheim
Most goals and assists
Porto
Malmo
W. Gomes
(4 Goals)
L. Johnsen
(1 Goals)
, 
O. Lewicki
(1 Goals)
,
T. Ali
(1 Goals)
B. Sainz
(3 Assists)
T. Ali
(1 Assists)
,
O. Rosengren
(1 Assists)
,
K. Busuladzic
(1 Assists)
Porto - Malmo Key Points
- In their latest five wins, Porto did not concede.
- Porto have seven wins in their last 10 matches.
- Malmo lost five times in their last nine matches.
- Porto posted eight wins in their last 10 home matches.
- In three of their last four away matches in Europe, Malmo lost.
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Our Porto vs Malmo Prediction
FC Porto are on a strong run in Europe, and this is a chance to strengthen their top-eight grip. The Portuguese giants will hope to keep it going as they come here on a good run, having won five of their last six matches.
Their visitors, meanwhile, last featured competitively towards the end of November, and a lack of action could cost them. The last time out, they lost 3-0 to Nottingham Forest in this competition. Our prediction for Porto v Malmo is for Porto to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Porto Malmo
| Porto vs Malmo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 1.24 | 1.22 | -1.6% |
| Draw | 5.6 | 8.2 | +46.4% |
| Malmo wins | 12 | 18 | +50.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.6% and is now 82.0% (1.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
