Ourense CF vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa del Rey
Spain - Copa del Rey
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Football Predictions
Third-tier side Ourense will be up against La Liga side Athletic Bilbao in the fourth round of the Copa del Rey at Estadio de Couto. This marks the first-ever meeting between the two, and both are looking to return to winning ways. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Ourense have already beaten La Liga opposition in this competition. In the second round they saw off Real Oviedo 4-2. They then advanced to this stage after beating Girona 2-1.
In their third straight home game in this competition, they will be looking to claim an even bigger scalp. They are coming off two winless outings, though, with their latest being a 2-2 draw with Barakaldo.
Athletic Bilbao’s on-and-off season continued this weekend as they suffered their eighth defeat in La Liga. They fell 2-0 to Celta Vigo and have now lost the most games among the top eight sides in the league.
Off the back of that run, Athletic Bilbao will be glad to pause their league race for the cup competition. Here they come, having won just one of their last four matches, a 1-0 win against Atletico Madrid.
That also happens to be their only goal in those four matches, and an improvement will be needed here. In the opening three rounds, Athletic got byes to this stage.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ourense CF v Athletic Bilbao Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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7.5 | 4.2 | 1.42 |
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8 | 4 | 1.44 |
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7 | 3.8 | 1.44 |
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7 | 4.25 | 1.48 |
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7 | 4.2 | 1.45 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ourense CF and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Ourense CF vs Athletic Bilbao match is: match to have 2 or 3 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/12/2025 between Ourense CF and Athletic Bilbao in Copa del Rey :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.5% for a win of Ourense CF against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 8 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ourense CF vs Athletic Bilbao is 19.86% with odds of 4.25 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Ourense CF with odds of 1.5 at Tonybet.
Ourense CF vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Ourense CF and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Primera Federación
7 Dec 2025 - Primera Federación
3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación
22 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación
16 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Primera Federación
3 Dec 2025 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación
16 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación
8 Nov 2025 - Copa Federación
2 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Primera Federación
22 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación
12 Nov 2025 - Primera Federación
25 Oct 2025 - Primera Federación
15 Oct 2025 - Copa Federación
11 Oct 2025 - Primera Federación
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
6 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
3 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
29 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - LaLiga
Most goals and assists
Ourense CF - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- At least two goals were scored in Ourense’s last five outings.
- At home, Ourense scored at least twice in their last five games.
- Athletic scored two or more goals in three of their last five games.
- Ourense scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 matches.
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Our Ourense CF vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Athletic Bilbao is having a tough time in the Champions League and La Liga and will be happy for some distraction. This is a competition they’ve done well in, being the second most successful after Barcelona. They are looking to continue with this run by booking a quarter-final slot here.
Ourense have been great, already eliminating two La Liga sides. They are on a prolific scoring run, and we can’t rule out a continuation of the same here. The same applies to Athletic Bilbao. As such, our prediction for Ourense v Athletic Bilbao is for the match to have 2 or 3 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.