Norway vs Wales Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Steve Ashfield | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
The bottom two countries in Nations League Group A4 meet this week. Norway are bottom of the table after the first three matches of this group, three points adrift of third-placed Wales. The Red, White and Blue score regularly, but concede far too many goals. Our prediction here is BTTS.
The summer saw Norway reach the quarter-finals of the World Cup. They won promotion from League B in the last staging of this tournament, but are in danger of making an immediate return to the second-tier of the Nations League. Both teams have scored in each of their last 12 matches. Their final game in this group will be away in Denmark.
That includes the reverse fixture in this Nations League group with Wales winning that 2-1 on home soil. They are third in this group, three points below second-placed Denmark With their final game being a home fixture against Portugal, the Dragons will want a win in Norway to keep their qualification hopes alive.
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Norway v Wales Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.20 | 6.60 | 11.00 |
|
|
1.24 | 7.03 | 12.60 |
|
|
1.21 | 6.85 | 12.00 |
|
|
1.24 | 6.30 | 11.00 |
|
|
1.21 | 6.85 | 12.00 |
|
Our editorial team's top-confidence betting tip, every day.
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What is the prediction for the football match between Norway and Wales?
Our prediction for the Norway vs Wales match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/11/2026 between Norway and Wales in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 55.02% for a win of Norway against Wales with odds of 1.24 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Norway vs Wales is 27.97% with odds of 7.1 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.01% chance ⭐ for a win of Wales vs Norway with odds of 12.6 at 1xbet.
Norway vs Wales Form
Norway and Wales's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 |
|
4
|
3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 |
Norway and Wales Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jul 2026 - World Cup
5 Jul 2026 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jul 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jul 2026 - World Cup
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
2 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - World Cup
18 Nov 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
15 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Norway vs Wales Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Oct 2026 - UEFA Nations League
Norway - Wales: Form Analysis
After their run to the last eight in the World Cup this summer, Norway are in danger of being relegated in the Nations League. Their Group A4 campaign started well with a 3-2 home win over Denmark with record scorer Erling Haaland scoring twice.
Norway struggle to keep a lead.
It's been a struggle since then with a 2-1 home loss to Portugal and a loss by the same scoreline in Wales after taking a first-half lead. Their fourth fixture also ended in defeat. They took the lead in Portugal, but ended up losing the game 2-1. Again, they scored but haven't kept a clean sheet since a home goalless draw against Switzerland in March of this year.
Six of their last eight home games have seen both teams score, even Moldova managed to get on the scoresheet against their leaky defence.
Wales have earned three points from their first four games in this group. Like their opponents, the Dragons won promotion in the last tournament, but are battling to stay in League A. There is still a chance of qualifying for the last eight as they are only three points adrift of second-placed Denmark who have beaten them twice.
The away side had a tough start to this group with away games against Portugal and Denmark both being lost. They then had that win over Norway before being beaten 1-0 at home by Denmark. Four of their last six games against Norway have seen both teams score.
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Norway vs Wales last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
O. Nyland
S. Tangvik
DefenderS. Langas
O. Blomberg
O. Bjortuft
M. Holmgren Pedersen
MidfielderT. Aasgaard
F. Sjovold
O. Bobb
K. Thorstvedt
ForwardE. Botheim
J. Strand Larsen
D. Cornell
T. King
DefenderC. Roberts
J. Lienou
C. Mepham
MidfielderC. Ashford
J. Sheehan
J. Colwill
ForwardK. Moore
W. Burns
D. James
M. Harris
Norway & Wales Squad Analysis
Both of these countries are struggling in this group. With poor results achieved against the top two sides, qualification for the quarter-finals is looking a difficult task. Wales have a better chance as they have three points so far but desperately need something from this match in Norway.
Good news for Wales is the return of Harry Wilson who has been absent from the national team since March of this year. Also off the injury list and back in the squad is Joe Rodon, who like Wilson also plays for Leeds United in the English Premier League. Both are influential players for their national team.
There's a recall for Cardiff's Rubin Colwill but midfielder Jordan James was injured at the weekend.
Haaland to the rescue?
Norway have come back to earth after their heroic World Cup run in the summer. They have been ahead in three of their four group matches so far, but Norway come into this match bottom of the table with only three points to their name. They have to learn how to keep leads and stop conceding so many goals.
Erling Haaland has scored three goals so far in this group stage. Norway could avoid automatic relegation and instead go into the play-offs as they try to stay in League A. They haven't beaten Wales since 2001 and lost the reverse fixture 2-1 to the Welsh side.
Most goals and assists
Norway
Wales
E. Haaland
(3 Goals)
D. James
(1 Goals)
,
N. Williams
(1 Goals)
M. Odegaard
(4 Assists)
S. Thomas
(1 Assists)
Norway and Wales Stats in UEFA Nations League
Norway - Wales Key Points
- Both teams have scored in each of the last 12 Norway matches.
- Four of the last six matches played between Norway and Wales have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
- Both teams have scored in six of the last eight Norwegian home games.
- The reverse fixture ended 2-1.
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Our Norway vs Wales Prediction
This could be an open game because a draw is not going to be much help to either of these two countries. Norway are bottom of the group, but looking at their games, they really should be higher in the table. The problems they have are keeping leads and ensuring their opponents don't get on the scoresheet.
They're not really succeeding in either of those at present. Wales struggle on the road, but did beat Norway at home in the reverse fixture. They have Wilson and Rodon back for this away fixture. Our main Norway v Wales prediction is BTTS.
Norway vs Wales Alternative Predictions
Norway wins
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Norway vs Wales - FAQs
Norway are playing Wales on Saturday November 14 and the game is due to get underway at 17:00 UK time.
This is Norway's final home game in this group. It will be played at the Ullevaal Stadion in Oslo.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
