Norway vs Portugal Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in UEFA Nations League Predictions
The roar of the Viking row will echo around Ullevaal Stadion on Sunday evening when Norway play host to Portugal in Group A4 of the UEFA Nations League. Landslaget and Seleção das Quinas made winning starts to their UNL campaigns, and we’re going for both teams to get on the scoresheet here as our main match prediction.
After an impressive showing at the 2026 World Cup, reaching the quarter-finals before bowing out to England, Ståle Solbakken’s side made a bright start to their Nations League campaign by beating Denmark on Thursday evening. The Red, White and Blue have now won 15 of their last 25 UNL matches (D4 L6), but this is a much tougher opponent than they faced last time out.
Following the departure of Roberto Martinez, Jorge Jesus’s tenure as Portugal head coach began positively, with his side beating Wales in their UNL opener on Thursday. With two titles, the Iberian nation is the most successful team in this tournament’s history, but can they stop the rampant Vikings in front of their home fans? Let's get into the key stats!
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Norway v Portugal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.42 | 3.65 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.66 | 3.81 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.7 | 2.53 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.7 | 2.53 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.74 | 2.52 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Norway and Portugal?
Our prediction for the Norway vs Portugal match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2026 between Norway and Portugal in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.63% for a win of Norway against Portugal with odds of 2.66 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Norway vs Portugal is 22.59% with odds of 3.81 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Portugal vs Norway with odds of 2.7 at Bet365.
Norway vs Portugal Form
Norway and Portugal's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
|
2
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
Norway and Portugal Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jul 2026 - World Cup
5 Jul 2026 - World Cup
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jul 2026 - World Cup
26 Jun 2026 - World Cup
22 Jun 2026 - World Cup
1 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2026 - World Cup
30 Jun 2026 - World Cup
16 Jun 2026 - World Cup
7 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jul 2026 - World Cup
2 Jul 2026 - World Cup
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
23 Jun 2026 - World Cup
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Sept 2026 - UEFA Nations League
6 Jul 2026 - World Cup
2 Jul 2026 - World Cup
23 Jun 2026 - World Cup
17 Jun 2026 - World Cup
10 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Norway - Portugal: Form Analysis
Norway stormed out the blocks to a two-goal lead inside the first 20 minutes of their opening match of the Nations League. They were pegged back to 2-2 before netting the winner in the 74th minute.
The Vikings overperformed their 1.41 xG by netting three times despite having 49% possession in their last match. They recorded 34 touches in the opposition box and fired 13 shots on goal (seven on target).
This week's hosts have now won 17 of their last 23 matches across all competitions (D3 L3) since October 2024. Their losses during this period came against England, France, and the Netherlands.
Norway are unbeaten in their last 14 home matches across all competitions (W11 D3)!
Meanwhile, Portugal kicked off their Nations League title defence with a 1-0 victory over Wales, though the scoreline did not tell the full story, as they dominated the Dragons on Thursday.
Selecao das Quinas had 62% possession and an incredible 23 shots in the last match. They finished the game with 1.93 xG and had 39 touches in the opposition box across the 90 minutes.
The visitors’ loss to Spain in the Round of 16 of the World Cup is the only defeat they have suffered in their last 11 matches (W7 D3). They have also won their last two games against their upcoming opponents.
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Norway vs Portugal last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 3 - 2
Substitutes
S. Tangvik
E. Selvik
DefenderM. Holmgren Pedersen
D. Moller Wolfe
O. Blomberg
O. Bjortuft
L. Ostigard
MidfielderK. Thorstvedt
A. Schjelderup
T. Aasgaard
ForwardE. Botheim
J. Strand Larsen
R. Silva
S. Soares
DefenderD. Dalot
T. Araujo
N. Tavares
MidfielderJ. Palhinha
J. Neves
B. Silva
ForwardR. Leao
F. Conceicao
G. Ramos
F. Trincao
Norway & Portugal Squad Analysis
Erling Haaland is enjoying an incredible start to this season, now on nine goals in eight matches for club and country. The Man City striker bagged a brace against Denmark, marking the third time he has scored two goals in a match this term (Porto, Crystal Palace, Denmark).
Keep an eye on Martin Odegaard here. The Arsenal skipper was at his influential best on Thursday night, setting up his side’s opening goal and their winner, while recording a match-high 107 touches.
The home side will have to make do without the services of David Wolfe, who was sent off in the dying moments of the last match. Alexander Sorloth is out injured, while Jens Petter Hauge and Morten Thorsby were not called up.
Haaland has now scored 64 goals in 56 caps for Norway!
Joao Felix was the standout performer for Portugal against Wales. The Al Nassr attacker scored what turned out to be the winner midway through the first half and now has eight goal contributions in nine matches for club and country this season.
Cristiano Ronaldo had a frustrating outing on his return to Lisbon, managing just 27 touches - only one more than Portugal goalkeeper Diogo Costa - while he also spurned a very good chance (which had a 0.5 xG) from six yards out.
The visitors have no new injuries or suspensions, but changes are expected from Jesus, who opted to start the likes of Bernardo Silva, Rafael Leao, Goncalo Ramos, Diogo Dalot, and Francisco Conceicao on the bench in the last match.
Most goals and assists
Norway
Portugal
E. Haaland
(2 Goals)
Joao Felix
(1 Goals)
M. Odegaard
(2 Assists)
N. Mendes
(1 Assists)
Norway and Portugal Stats in UEFA Nations League
Norway - Portugal Key Points
- Each of Norway’s last nine matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Norway have scored two or more goals in five of their last seven matches in all competitions.
- Norway are averaging 3.6 goals across their last 10 home matches.
- Norway and Portugal recorded 1.41 and 1.93 xG in their last match, respectively.
- Portugal have scored two or more goals in four of their last six away matches.
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Our Norway vs Portugal Prediction
While Norway’s back line is far from watertight, as we saw against Denmark on Thursday, their attack, led by Erling Haaland, is truly devastating and capable of tearing open even the meanest defences in world football.
However, given Portugal’s record in the Nations League, it’s difficult to write them off regardless of the opposition, and with Norway’s tendency to leak goals, we expect the reigning champions to find the back of the net in this match. Our Norway vs Portugal prediction is BTTS.
Norway vs Portugal Alternative Predictions
Erling Haaland to score or assist
Draw
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Norway vs Portugal - FAQs
The UEFA Nations League match between Norway and Portugal will be broadcast live on TV2 Play (Norway) and Sport TV (Portugal). UK viewers can tune in to Prime Video UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our UEFA Nations League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
