World - World Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in World Cup Predictions
On Sunday, we head to the Johan Cruijff Arena, where the Netherlands will host Finland in their latest 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifier. Oranje lead Group G with 13 points, while the Eagle-owls are in third place with 10 points. Let’s get into the match prediction!
The Netherlands will be looking to maintain their unbeaten record in this competition this week. So far, they’ve won four and drawn one of their five matches, while scoring a whopping 18 goals.
The Flying Dutchman smashed four goals past Malta without response on Thursday night. Memphis Depay was on the score sheet once again and now has six goals in this competition.
The hosts are also unbeaten in their last 10 home games across all competitions (W7 D3) and scored two or more goals in eight of those matches.
Meanwhile, Finland have never qualified for a World Cup, but they are firmly in the race this year, currently level on points with second-placed Poland, though they have played a game more.
The Eagle-owls overturned a 1-0 deficit to beat Lithuania 2-1 on Thursday. With that result, Jacob Friis' side has now kept only one clean sheet in their last 18 matches.
The visitors have also only won one of their last 10 away games (D2 L7) and have lost each of their last five against their upcoming opponent.
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The Best Betting Odds for Netherlands v Finland Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.1 | 9 | 29 |
|
|
1.11 | 9.5 | 21 |
|
|
1.11 | 8.5 | 19 |
|
|
1.1 | 8 | 15 |
|
|
1.25 | 4.4 | 13 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Netherlands and Finland?
Our prediction for the Netherlands vs Finland match is: Netherlands wins & BTTS (NO).
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/10/2025 between Netherlands and Finland in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.26% for a win of Netherlands against Finland with odds of 1.25 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Netherlands vs Finland is 22.54% with odds of 11.5 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 9.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Finland vs Netherlands with odds of 32 at Shangrila.
Netherlands - Finland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Netherlands Finland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Netherlands wins | 68.26% | 1.25 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.83% | 1.33 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 43.75% | 2.45 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : Netherlands/Netherlands | 44.66% | 1.44 at Bet365 |
Netherlands vs Finland Form
Netherlands and Finland's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
20 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 23 |
|
3
|
10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 |
Netherlands and Finland Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Netherlands vs Finland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
Netherlands against Finland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Most goals and assists
Netherlands
Finland
M. Depay
(8 Goals)
B. Kallman
(3 Goals)
Netherlands - Finland Key Points
- The Netherlands are unbeaten in their last nine matches (in regulation time).
- The Netherlands are averaging 3.6 goals per 90 in this competition.
- The Netherlands have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 home matches.
- Finland failed to score in five of their last seven away games.
- Finland failed to score in their last two matches against this opponent.
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Our Netherlands vs Finland Prediction
The Netherlands have been the benchmark in Group G so far, and they enter this match following a commanding 4-0 victory over Malta, in which they were able to rest a handful of their best players.
Finland were far from convincing despite getting the result against Lithuania on Thursday night, and given their away record, we feel they will be no match for the Flying Dutchman at their fortress this weekend. Our Netherlands vs Finland prediction is Netherlands wins & BTTS (NO).
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Netherlands Finland
| Netherlands vs Finland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands wins | 1.13 | 1.1 | -2.7% |
| Draw | 8.5 | 9 | +5.9% |
| Finland wins | 19 | 29 | +52.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Netherlands is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 88.5% and is now 90.9% (2.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Netherlands vs. Finland game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Netherlands and Finland? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
