Nantes vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
A top three finish is the target for Marseille, who travel to relegation-threatened Nantes next in Ligue 1. After a poor season, Nantes start this round 10 points adrift of safety, while Marseille are hanging onto sixth place. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Nantes’ hopes for survival at the moment are hinged on securing the playoff spot and battling from there. That will, however, need them to win this game.
A 2-1 loss to Rennes last week stretched their winless run to eight games, and that was their fifth loss in the process. Les Canaris’ 13-year stay in Ligue 1 is now dependent on their performance in three matches, two of which are against top-six sides.
Marseille lost 1-0 in these teams’ reverse meeting, but they will hope to recover here even though they’ve been struggling lately. Les Phoceens are coming off a run of just one win in their last five games.
They drew 1-1 with another struggling side, Nice, last time out and are in danger of losing their place in Europe. Sitting sixth with two points above the seventh-placed side means only a win can move them closer to their European target.
Playing away from home doesn’t hold much promise for Marseille, who have one win only in seven on the road.
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Nantes v Marseille Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.4 | 4.1 | 1.77 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.8 | 1.87 |
|
|
4.4 | 4.06 | 1.73 |
|
|
4.5 | 4 | 1.73 |
|
|
3.7 | 3.8 | 1.88 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Nantes and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Nantes vs Marseille match is: Marseille to win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2026 between Nantes and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.71% for a win of Nantes against Marseille with odds of 4.57 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nantes vs Marseille is 20.04% with odds of 4.22 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Nantes with odds of 1.95 at Betway.
Nantes - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nantes Marseille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 47.24% | 1.95 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 54.23% | 2.48 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Marseille/Marseille | 16.69% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Nantes vs Marseille Form
Nantes and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
59 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 |
|
17
|
23 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 |
Nantes and Marseille Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
Nantes vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
2 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2023 - Ligue 1
Nantes against Marseille Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
L. Bonelli
DefenderM. Acapandie
A. Yousef
U. Radakovic
F. Coquelin
B. Guirassy
L. Leroux
M. Mohamed
El Arabi
T. Vermot
DefenderH. Hamzaoui Slimani
K. Bezahaf
MidfielderN. Kamissoko
ForwardI. Paixao
E. Nwaneri
A. Lago
U. El Kadmiri
A. Gouiri
Missing players
A. Lopes
A. Mirbach
DefenderK. Amian
F. Centonze
T. Tati
MidfielderD. Tabibou
B. Pavard
N. Aguerd
C. Egan Riley
MidfielderG. Kondogbia
B. Nadir
ForwardT. Weah
Most goals and assists
Nantes
Marseille
M. Abline
(6 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(16 Goals)
M. Abline
(3 Assists)
M. Greenwood
(8 Assists)
Nantes - Marseille Key Points
- Both teams scored in four of Marseille’s last five matches.
- Marseille won three of their last four away matches at Nantes.
- Nantes failed to score in two of their last 10 home league matches.
- Marseille managed just one clean sheet in nine away league games.
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Our Nantes vs Marseille Prediction
The remaining three matches are make-or-break moments for these two sides. Marseille are battling to not just stay in the European slots but rise to the Champions League places. On the other hand, Nantes are fighting for survival.
Faced with these must-win situations, both teams are expected to go on the offensive. Marseille have the edge in this matchup, and we will back them to prevail here. That, however, doesn’t mean Nantes won’t fight. Our prediction for Nantes v Marseille is for Marseille to win and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nantes Marseille
| Nantes vs Marseille | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes wins | 5.74 | 4.57 | -20.4% |
| Draw | 4.58 | 4.22 | -7.9% |
| Marseille wins | 1.61 | 1.95 | +21.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Marseille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 21.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 62.1% and is now 51.3% (-10.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
