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18 April 2024 - 15:00 

- QF

Europe - Europa League

Marseille
VS
Benfica Lisbon

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Marseille vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

 by Sridhar | in Europa League Predictions

Marseille will be desperate to end their losing streak as the high-stakes quarterfinal in the UEFA Europa Conference League sees them host Benfica. The reverse fixture ended in a 2-1 result for the Eagles, with goals from Rafa and Angel Di Maria giving them the cushion. Yet, a late goal from Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang keeps the tie open, and Marseille will now have to rise above their recent form. Can the home team surprise with a win?
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The Best Betting Odds for Marseille v Benfica Lisbon Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.04 13 301
Betfred
2.4 3.6 2.8
Ladbrokes
2.3 3.5 2.8
NetBet
2.35 3.45 2.82
1xbet
30 1.03 33
22bet
30 1.03 33
Betwinner
2.41 3.58 2.79
Melbet
2.36 3.6 2.85
Tonybet
2.43 3.6 2.85
Check all Marseille vs Benfica Lisbon odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Benfica Lisbon?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 4/18/24 between Marseille and Benfica Lisbon in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.93% for a win of Marseille against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 30 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Benfica Lisbon is 22.1% with odds of 13 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Marseille with odds of 301 at Bet365.

Marseille - Benfica Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:

Marseille Benfica Lisbon Prediction Probability Odds
Marseille wins 42.93% 30 at 1xbet
Under 2.5 50.97% 2.16 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 52.08%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Marseille 22.07% 5.5 at Bet365

Marseille vs Benfica Lisbon Form

Marseille and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches

Marseille
Marseille Last matches
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.83
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
2
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

11 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Marseille

5 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

Lille Osc
3 :  1
Marseille

31 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
0 :  2
PSG

17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Rennes
2 :  0
Marseille

14 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Villarreal
3 :  1
Marseille

10 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1

Marseille
2 :  0
Nantes
Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon Last matches
W W D L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
0.83
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

14 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
3 :  0
Moreirense

11 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Marseille

6 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

2 Apr 2024 - Taca de Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

29 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  0
Chaves

17 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
0 :  1
Benfica Lisbon

Marseille against Benfica Lisbon : Head to Head (H2H)

Marseille

0 %

Draw

50 %

Benfica Lisbon

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
100%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.5
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

11 Apr 2024 - Europa League

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
Marseille

25 Jul 2021 - Clubs Friendlies

Benfica Lisbon
1 :  1
Marseille
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Marseille - Benfica Lisbon: Form Analysis

Marseille had a weekend off after the first leg result. That 2-1 defeat was preceded by four other defeats in all competitions. Injuries have decimated the squad, which had otherwise won five matches in a row just prior to this sequence. They find themselves ninth in the league standings in France and in doubt of their European qualification for next season. That puts emphasis on progressing from this tie, but it is no foregone conclusion. The hosts have won five of seven matches in the Europa League before losing two in a row, knocking off their momentum. The challenge will be to replicate their home form in this competition, as Marseille have won their last four Europa League matches at this venue.

Benfica followed the win in the first leg with a 3-0 win over Moreirense in the domestic league competition. That result keeps them four points behind archrivals Sporting before they take the field on Tuesday. The focus on domestic commitments hasn't diluted their overall form, as Benfica have won six of their last eight matches in all competitions, losing only once. They have yet to taste a defeat in the Europa League competition this year, winning three and drawing two matches. Interestingly, all three of Benfica's wins in this Europa League campaign have come by a narrow one-goal difference. While their away form is challenging, the visitors will be worried about how their fortunes nosedived in recent times. Benfica have won just two of their last seven matches away from home in all competitions. That includes two wins, but with those coming in their last three away matches, Benfica will hope to progress to the seeding.

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Marseille against Benfica Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11

Marseille

Formation : 4 - 5 - 1

16
P. Lopez
99
C. Mbemba
5
L. Balerdi
4
S. Gigot
37
E. Soglo
29
I. Ndiaye
19
G. Kondogbia
11
A. Harit
8
A. Ounahi
27
J. Veretout
10
P. Aubameyang
7
D. Neres
19
C. Tengstedt
11
A. Di Maria
27
Rafa Silva
87
J. Neves
61
F. Morris Luis
8
F. Aursnes
30
N. Otamendi
4
A. Silva
6
A. Bah
1
A. Trubin

Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 3

Benfica Lisbon

Missing players

Marseille
Marseille
Midfielder

V. Rongier

B. Nadir

A. Harit

A. Ounahi

Forward

I. Sarr

Benfica Lisbon
Benfica Lisbon

Marseille & Benfica Lisbon Squad Analysis

Marseille have a great record at home in this competition this season, but recent form takes that out of the equation. Five straight defeats punctured their hopes, and it could take a bigger hit if Benfica shuts them out. A narrow win in the first leg gives the visitors an advantage, but either way, this match promises to be full of action. That's why our prediction for Marseille vs. Benfica is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Marseille - Benfica Lisbon Key Points

  1. In seven of their last ten matches in all competitions, Marseille have seen at least three goals scored
  2. That was also the case with their last five matches in this competition
  3. At home, Marseille have scored 16 goals in their last five matches in the Europa League
  4. Benfica’s last four matches in all competitions have returned over 2.5 goals
  5. Benfica have scored at least twice in two of their last three matches in this competition
Up to $150 to bet on Marseille - Benfica Lisbon! 

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Our Marseille vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction

Marseille have a great record at home in this competition this season, but recent form takes that out of the equation. Five straight defeats punctured their hopes and it could take a bigger hit if Benfica close them out. A narrow win in the first leg gives the visitors an advantage, but either way, this match promises to be full of action. That's why our prediction for Marseille vs Benfica is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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$150 offered for betting!

Marseille vs Benfica Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions

Benfica Win

Benfica are unbeaten in the Europa League this season, winning three and drawing two. They are yet to concede a goal away from home in this competition this season, which is bad news for Marseille. The hosts are going through one of their worst sequences and could struggle here. Back the visitors to win.

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Marseille vs Benfica Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions

Marseille vs Benfica UEFA Europa League match is scheduled for an 8 pm UK time kick-off on Thursday April 18, 2024.
This is Marseille's home game and so Marseille vs Benfica UEFA Europa League match first leg is set to be played at the Stade Velodrome in Marseille.

Marseille vs Benfica UEFA Europa League match will be broadcast live on Paramount+ in the UK.

Check out our UEFA Europa League Livescore page!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Marseille vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
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