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Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Chengdu Open

ATP - ATP Chengdu Open

ATP 9 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti
22/09/2025 07:00
ATP 97 Kazachstan
Alexander Shevchenko

Prediction :

 

Musetti to win in three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Lorenzo Musetti, the top seed at the Chengdu Open, will meet Alexander Shevchenko in the second semi-final at the event. This will be the second match between the two players but the first on a hardcourt. Read on for our prediction.

Musetti had a first-round bye before beating Dino Prizmic and Nikoloz Basilashvili to set up this tie. His quarter-final was much more stable, as he lost just six games. The only top 10 player in this competition, Musetti has made his time count here.

There’s still ground to cover, though, as Musetti is eyeing a first final appearance this season. The Italian is also the only top 15 player yet to win a tour title this season. He is ninth in the live rank and has compiled a 32-13 record.

Shevchenko hasn’t had an easy ride. In the opening rounds, he saw off Gael Monfils, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, and Taro Daniel. A win here will deliver him only a second final of his career.

For him, it is a seriously lopsided affair, coming here on a 2-10 record against top 10 players. He also lost to Musetti in 2024 at Roland Garros. In his quarter-final, Shevchenko had played two hours less than Taro Daniel here in Chengdu.

However, in the semis, he has been on the court for six hours, 17 minutes; close to three hours more than Musetti. Shevchenko has improved by three places in the live rank to 87th.

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The Best Betting Odds for Lorenzo Musetti v Alexander Shevchenko Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.14 5.5
William Hill
1.2 4.5
Betway
1.15 5.5
Ladbrokes
1.15 5
Unibet
1.18 5
Check all Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko odds

Who will win the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko match is: Musetti to win in three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko game on 22/09/2025 of the current ATP Chengdu Open season:

  • Lorenzo Musetti has a 68.64% chance to win against Alexander Shevchenko according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 1.2.
  • Alexander Shevchenko has a 31.36% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Musetti ⭐ with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Musetti has a 68.64 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Lorenzo Musetti68.64 %
Alexander Shevchenko31.36 %

Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko Form

Lorenzo Musetti and Alexander Shevchenko Last Matches

Lorenzo Musetti Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

21 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Nikoloz Basilashvili

20 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Dino Prizmic

3 Sept 2025 - ATP US Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

1 Sept 2025 - ATP US Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
Jaume Munar

30 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Lorenzo Musetti
abort
Flavio Cobolli

28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
David Goffin
Alexander Shevchenko Last matches
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

21 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Taro Daniel
1 :  2
Alexander Shevchenko

20 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Alexander Shevchenko
2 :  1
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

18 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Alexander Shevchenko
abort
Gael Monfils

24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Alexander Shevchenko
0 :  3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

17 Aug 2025 - ATP Challenger Sumter, USA Men Singles

Mattia Bellucci
abort
Alexander Shevchenko

16 Aug 2025 - ATP Challenger Sumter, USA Men Singles

Shintaro Mochizuki
1 :  2
Alexander Shevchenko

Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

31 May 2023 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
Alexander Shevchenko
Compare Lorenzo Musetti and Alexander Shevchenko with our comparison tool.

Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Shevchenko Key Points

  1. Shevchenko has a 2-10 record against top 10 players.
  2. In five of his last nine matches, Musetti dropped a set or more.
  3. Shevchenko lost at least one set in three matches at Chengdu.
  4. Shevchenko lost his only previous meeting with Musetti.
  5. Three of Musetti’s last six matches at Chengdu had a deciding set.
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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko Prediction

Musetti was the losing finalist here last season. This is his third appearance in Chengdu, and he has made it to the semis in all three. Now he targets a second straight final, while looking to go all the way. His recent record suggests he will advance past this hurdle.

However, it might not be with ease, as he has dropped at least one set in six of his last nine matches at the Chengdu Open. Shevchenko, meanwhile, has played all his matches here to three sets. Our prediction for Lorenzo Musetti v Alexander Shevchenko is for Musetti to win in three sets.

Prediction :

 

Musetti to win in three sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko Prediction

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