ATP - ATP Chengdu Open
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Lorenzo Musetti, the top seed at the Chengdu Open, will meet Alexander Shevchenko in the second semi-final at the event. This will be the second match between the two players but the first on a hardcourt. Read on for our prediction.
Musetti had a first-round bye before beating Dino Prizmic and Nikoloz Basilashvili to set up this tie. His quarter-final was much more stable, as he lost just six games. The only top 10 player in this competition, Musetti has made his time count here.
There’s still ground to cover, though, as Musetti is eyeing a first final appearance this season. The Italian is also the only top 15 player yet to win a tour title this season. He is ninth in the live rank and has compiled a 32-13 record.
Shevchenko hasn’t had an easy ride. In the opening rounds, he saw off Gael Monfils, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, and Taro Daniel. A win here will deliver him only a second final of his career.
For him, it is a seriously lopsided affair, coming here on a 2-10 record against top 10 players. He also lost to Musetti in 2024 at Roland Garros. In his quarter-final, Shevchenko had played two hours less than Taro Daniel here in Chengdu.
However, in the semis, he has been on the court for six hours, 17 minutes; close to three hours more than Musetti. Shevchenko has improved by three places in the live rank to 87th.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lorenzo Musetti v Alexander Shevchenko Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.14 | 5.5 |
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1.2 | 4.5 |
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1.15 | 5.5 |
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1.15 | 5 |
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1.18 | 5 |
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Who will win the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko match is: Musetti to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko game on 22/09/2025 of the current ATP Chengdu Open season:
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 68.64% chance to win against Alexander Shevchenko according to William Hill ⭐ with the odds of 1.2.
- Alexander Shevchenko has a 31.36% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Musetti ⭐ with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Musetti has a 68.64 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | 68.64 % |
| Alexander Shevchenko | 31.36 % |
Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko Form
Lorenzo Musetti and Alexander Shevchenko Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
20 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
3 Sept 2025 - ATP US Open
1 Sept 2025 - ATP US Open
30 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
20 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
18 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open
24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
17 Aug 2025 - ATP Challenger Sumter, USA Men Singles
16 Aug 2025 - ATP Challenger Sumter, USA Men Singles
Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
31 May 2023 - ATP French Open
Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Shevchenko Key Points
- Shevchenko has a 2-10 record against top 10 players.
- In five of his last nine matches, Musetti dropped a set or more.
- Shevchenko lost at least one set in three matches at Chengdu.
- Shevchenko lost his only previous meeting with Musetti.
- Three of Musetti’s last six matches at Chengdu had a deciding set.
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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Shevchenko Prediction
Musetti was the losing finalist here last season. This is his third appearance in Chengdu, and he has made it to the semis in all three. Now he targets a second straight final, while looking to go all the way. His recent record suggests he will advance past this hurdle.
However, it might not be with ease, as he has dropped at least one set in six of his last nine matches at the Chengdu Open. Shevchenko, meanwhile, has played all his matches here to three sets. Our prediction for Lorenzo Musetti v Alexander Shevchenko is for Musetti to win in three sets.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.