Lorenzo Musetti vs Aleksandr Shevchenko Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Chengdu Open

ATP - ATP Chengdu Open

ATP 15 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti
22/09/2025 07:00
ATP 84 Kazachstan
Aleksandr Shevchenko

Prediction :

 

Musetti to win in three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Lorenzo Musetti, the top seed at the Chengdu Open, will meet Alexander Shevchenko in the second semi-final at the event. This will be the second match between the two players but the first on a hardcourt. Read on for our prediction.

Musetti had a first-round bye before beating Dino Prizmic and Nikoloz Basilashvili to set up this tie. His quarter-final was much more stable, as he lost just six games. The only top 10 player in this competition, Musetti has made his time count here.

There’s still ground to cover, though, as Musetti is eyeing a first final appearance this season. The Italian is also the only top 15 player yet to win a tour title this season. He is ninth in the live rank and has compiled a 32-13 record.

Shevchenko hasn’t had an easy ride. In the opening rounds, he saw off Gael Monfils, Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard, and Taro Daniel. A win here will deliver him only a second final of his career.

For him, it is a seriously lopsided affair, coming here on a 2-10 record against top 10 players. He also lost to Musetti in 2024 at Roland Garros. In his quarter-final, Shevchenko had played two hours less than Taro Daniel here in Chengdu.

However, in the semis, he has been on the court for six hours, 17 minutes; close to three hours more than Musetti. Shevchenko has improved by three places in the live rank to 87th.

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Lorenzo Musetti v Aleksandr Shevchenko Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
1.14 5.84
Melbet
1.14 5.8
Betwinner
1.18 4.94
Bet365
1.14 5.5
BC Game
1.15 4.8
Check all Lorenzo Musetti vs Aleksandr Shevchenko odds

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Who will win the Lorenzo Musetti vs Aleksandr Shevchenko Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Aleksandr Shevchenko match is: Musetti to win in three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Aleksandr Shevchenko game on 22/09/2025 of the current ATP Chengdu Open season:

  • Lorenzo Musetti has a 68.64% chance to win against Aleksandr Shevchenko according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.18.
  • Aleksandr Shevchenko has a 31.36% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Musetti ⭐ with odds of 5.84 at 1xbet.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Aleksandr Shevchenko Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Musetti has a 68.64 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Lorenzo Musetti68.64 %
Aleksandr Shevchenko31.36 %

Lorenzo Musetti vs Aleksandr Shevchenko Form

Lorenzo Musetti and Aleksandr Shevchenko Last Matches

Lorenzo Musetti Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

21 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Nikoloz Basilashvili

20 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Dino Prizmic

3 Sept 2025 - ATP US Open

Jannik Sinner
3 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

1 Sept 2025 - ATP US Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
Jaume Munar

28 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
David Goffin

26 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  1
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Aleksandr Shevchenko Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

21 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Taro Daniel
1 :  2
Aleksandr Shevchenko

20 Sept 2025 - ATP Chengdu Open

Aleksandr Shevchenko
2 :  1
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open

Aleksandr Shevchenko
0 :  3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

5 Aug 2025 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Aleksandr Shevchenko
2 :  1
Tyler Zink

24 Jul 2025 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Alexander Bublik
2 :  0
Aleksandr Shevchenko

23 Jul 2025 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Aleksandr Shevchenko
2 :  0
Marton Fucsovics

Lorenzo Musetti vs Aleksandr Shevchenko Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lorenzo Musetti

100 %

Aleksandr Shevchenko

0 %

31 May 2023 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Lorenzo Musetti vs Aleksandr Shevchenko Prediction

Lorenzo Musetti - Aleksandr Shevchenko Key Points

  1. Shevchenko has a 2-10 record against top 10 players.
  2. In five of his last nine matches, Musetti dropped a set or more.
  3. Shevchenko lost at least one set in three matches at Chengdu.
  4. Shevchenko lost his only previous meeting with Musetti.
  5. Three of Musetti’s last six matches at Chengdu had a deciding set.
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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Aleksandr Shevchenko Prediction

Musetti was the losing finalist here last season. This is his third appearance in Chengdu, and he has made it to the semis in all three. Now he targets a second straight final, while looking to go all the way. His recent record suggests he will advance past this hurdle.

However, it might not be with ease, as he has dropped at least one set in six of his last nine matches at the Chengdu Open. Shevchenko, meanwhile, has played all his matches here to three sets. Our prediction for Lorenzo Musetti v Alexander Shevchenko is for Musetti to win in three sets.

Prediction :

 

Musetti to win in three sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.