England - Carabao Cup
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Carabao Cup Predictions
One of the most awaited matches in the third round of the League Cup will see in-form Liverpool play host to Championship side Southampton. These two sides meet in this competition for the second straight season, but Southampton will be eyeing a first win over Liverpool in four years. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Last season, these two sides met three times, and Liverpool won each one of them. The 2-1 win at St. Mary’s was part of the Reds’ journey to the final of the competition. Arne Slot’s men went on to lose the final to Newcastle United, but this time they’ll want to go a step further.
A strong start to the season suggests this is another match they’ll prevail in. Southampton have had an indifferent start to the season and look unlikely to add to their 2021 win against Liverpool. In their six matches in the Championship, they have one win only and are just a point above the drop zone.
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The Best Betting Odds for Liverpool v Southampton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.1 | 8.5 | 17 |
|
|
1.13 | 9 | 19 |
|
|
1.17 | 7 | 13 |
|
|
1.15 | 8 | 13 |
|
|
1.13 | 8.5 | 17 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Southampton match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/09/2025 between Liverpool and Southampton in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 69.85% for a win of Liverpool against Southampton with odds of 1.18 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Southampton is 17.49% with odds of 9 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Liverpool with odds of 19 at Betfred.
Liverpool vs Southampton Form
Liverpool and Southampton Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
17 Sep 2025 - Champions League
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
25 Aug 2025 - Premier League
15 Aug 2025 - Premier League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - Premier League
17 Sep 2025 - Champions League
31 Aug 2025 - Premier League
15 Aug 2025 - Premier League
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2025 - Premier League
25 Aug 2025 - Premier League
10 Aug 2025 - Community Shield
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - Championship
14 Sep 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
17 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sep 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Liverpool vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Nov 2024 - Premier League
28 Feb 2024 - FA Cup
28 May 2023 - Premier League
12 Nov 2022 - Premier League
Liverpool - Southampton: Form Analysis
Liverpool will welcome this opportunity to rest a majority of their key players. The Reds have answered correctly all the questions asked of them so far. In the six matches into the new season, they’ve posted straight wins.
Their most recent was in the Merseyside derby, where they claimed a 2-1 win over Everton. The only thing they are still struggling with has to do with a lack of clean sheets.
In the opening six matches, they have managed just two clean sheets. Meanwhile, the remaining four have all produced over 2.5 goals. Three or more goals were also scored in each of their last eight matches against Southampton.
While Liverpool are on six straight wins, Southampton have managed just three in eight.
Southampton started their League Cup campaign with a first-round 1-0 win over Northampton. They followed on that with a more comfortable 3-0 win at Norwich.
This shape they’ve failed to carry into the Championship, and they are seriously struggling in the league. The Saints are coming off a 3-1 loss against Hull City, their third straight outing without a win.
Heading out to Anfield, even with players rested, the chances that Southampton will address their recent woes are really slim. In their opening eight matches, Southampton are winless in five, and their situation isn’t made better by a nine-game run without a win against Liverpool.
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Liverpool vs Southampton last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Liverpool & Southampton Squad Analysis
Liverpool manager Arne Slot freely offered that at least five first-team players will not be part of the team for the Southampton game. Mohamed Salah, Virgil van Dijk, Dominic Szoboszlai, Ibrahima Konate, and Ryan Gravenberch will be rested.
The quintet has been crucial for Liverpool in the opening six matches, and fatigue was beginning to show in their latest game. Even with the five out, Liverpool will be unshaken.
A busy summer of transfers means they have a strong squad and good depth to pick from. Alexander Isak has been eased into the team after his forced exit from Newcastle United, but here he is a candidate for 90 minutes.
Florian Wirtz is struggling after his big-money move, and this is a chance to restore his confidence.
In a match Southampton will need at least all their defensive players available and fit; they are set to miss Wellington. The Brazilian is nursing an ankle injury that has kept him out for about one month now.
He will still sit this out after missing the last seven matches. The Saints will, however, have Flynn Downes back in the team after recently going down ill.
Ryan Manning, Taylor Harwood-Bellis, and Jack Stephens have all scored this season, but in this game they will probably be more crucial with their defending than attacking abilities.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
Southampton
M. Salah
(3 Goals)
, 
H. Ekitike
(3 Goals)
R. Manning
(2 Goals)
, 
C. Archer
(2 Goals)
M. Salah
(3 Assists)
R. Fraser
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Fernandes
(1 Assists)
Liverpool - Southampton Key Points
- Three of Liverpool’s last five matches had over 2.5 goals.
- 15 goals were scored in Liverpool’s last four home matches.
- Four of Southampton’s last five matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- An average of 2.8 goals were scored in Southampton’s last five away matches.
- Three or more goals were scored in the last four matches Liverpool hosted Southampton.
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Our Liverpool vs Southampton Prediction
With Liverpool resting key players, Southampton will be dealing with a weaker backline. The Saints will never get a better chance at penetrating Liverpool, especially with Ryan Gravenberch also likely to miss. The Reds will, however, still have the depth to handle this game, and we expect them to score as well.
With the two competing teams mostly coming off high-scoring games, we can look forward to the same here. We will stick this in the goals market, and our prediction for Liverpool v Southampton is for over 2.5.
Liverpool vs Southampton - Other Interesting Predictions
Liverpool to win
Even with a weakened squad, we don’t expect that Liverpool will fall to the Championship strugglers. Liverpool have dominated this clash, and they will have good enough depth to handle this game. Not many points are dropped at Anfield, and that will be the mood even with the rotation.
Buoyed by their first team’s strong start to the season, the second-string side should be able to borrow a leaf, and thus our second prediction here is for Liverpool to win.
Get up to £30 to bet on the Liverpool vs. Southampton game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Liverpool and Southampton when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Carabao Cup!
Liverpool vs Southampton match : Frequently asked questions
The Liverpool v Southampton match will be played on Tuesday, 23rd September.
The Liverpool v Southampton match will be played at Anfield.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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