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Liverpool vs Accrington Stanley Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Steve Ashfield in FA Cup Predictions
Could we see one of the biggest FA Cup shocks ever? That’d be the case if Accrington Stanley win this match. The visitors are 19th in League Two and battling to stay in the EFL There’s a famous commercial in the UK where a young boy declares “Accrington Stanley? Who are they?” We’ll all know who they are if they can win this match. They have only reached the fourth round of the FA Cup once in the last five seasons.
Liverpool are chasing a quadruple this season, though there's work to be done after Wednesday's Carabao Cup semi-final first leg loss at Tottenham. That ended a run of 24 games unbeaten in all competitions. They will make changes for this match but with such a strong squad, they will be expecting to reach the fourth round. Will we see a big upset at Anfield on Saturday? Read our match prediction below.
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The Best Betting Odds for Liverpool v Accrington Stanley Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.02 | 21 | 41 |
|
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1.01 | 21 | 51 |
|
|
1.02 | 29 | 67 |
|
|
1.02 | 21 | 41 |
|
|
1.02 | 21 | 41 |
|
|
1.02 | 20 | 51 |
|
|
1.03 | 15 | 54 |
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1.03 | 15 | 54 |
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1.02 | 24 | 50 |
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1.02 | 19 | 56 |
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1.02 | 26 | 90 |
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1.03 | 23 | 56 |
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1.01 | 23 | 51 |
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1.01 | 23 | 61 |
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1.01 | 26 | 61 |
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1.02 | 21 | 101 |
|
|
1.02 | 17 | 71 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Accrington Stanley?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Accrington Stanley match is: Liverpool to win and over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/01/2025 between Liverpool and Accrington Stanley in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.72% for a win of Liverpool against Accrington Stanley with odds of 1.03 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Accrington Stanley is 23.13% with odds of 29 at Ladbrokes.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Accrington Stanley vs Liverpool with odds of 101 at Betsson.
Liverpool - Accrington Stanley Prediction and Best Odds:
| Liverpool Accrington Stanley Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 61.72% | 1.03 at Betwinner |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.04% | |
| Both Team To Score | 57.14% | 2.9 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : Liverpool/Liverpool | 27.81% | 1.23 at Unibet |
Liverpool vs Accrington Stanley Form
Liverpool and Accrington Stanley Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup
5 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
14 Dec 2024 - Premier League
1 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
9 Nov 2024 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
22 Dec 2024 - Premier League
18 Dec 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - League Two
1 Jan 2025 - League Two
29 Dec 2024 - League Two
21 Dec 2024 - League Two
16 Dec 2024 - League Two
7 Dec 2024 - League Two
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2025 - League Two
21 Dec 2024 - League Two
7 Dec 2024 - League Two
30 Nov 2024 - FA Cup
16 Nov 2024 - League Two
29 Oct 2024 - EFL Trophy
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - League Two
29 Dec 2024 - League Two
16 Dec 2024 - League Two
3 Dec 2024 - League Two
19 Nov 2024 - League Two
9 Nov 2024 - League Two
Liverpool - Accrington Stanley: Form Analysis
Liverpool last won the FA Cup in 2022 and were quarter-finalists last season. Seven of their last eight home FA Cup ties have been won and their last loss was to West Bromwich Albion seven years ago. On that occasion, plenty of team changes were made and that will be the case again for this match.
Wednesday saw them lose 1-0 at Tottenham in the Carabao Cup semi-final first leg. They were unbeaten in 24 games before that loss and have now gone two games without a win.
Accrington Stanley are out to cause a shock.
Accrington Stanley are only five points above the League Two relegation zone. It’s a situation that has eased in recent weeks though. Stanley have won their last two league matches, most recently 2-0 at Colchester United. Before those wins, over 90 minutes they had gone eight games without a win.
To reach this third round, Accrington have won at non-league Rushall Olympic and then had a penalty shoot-out win over League Two Swindon. They trailed 2-1 in that game and equalized in the 91st minute. Tyler Walton has scored their last three goals in this competition, while Shaun Whalley has hit three in those two recent wins.
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Players list
C. Kelleher
DefenderK. Tsimikas
J. Quansah
C. Bradley
MidfielderJ. McConnell
T. Nyoni
H. Elliott
F. Chiesa
ForwardD. Jota
D. Nunez
J. Danns
B. Crellin
DefenderF. Rawson
D. Love
Z. Awe
MidfielderS. Conneely
L. Coyle
K. Mooney
B. Woods
S. Whalley
ForwardC. O'Brien
A. Henderson
Substitutes
V. Jaros
DefenderA. Robertson
C. Bradley
J. McConnell
T. Nyoni
A. Mac Allister
F. Chiesa
L. Diaz
J. Danns
M. Kelly
DefenderS. Conneely
S. Aljofree
C. O'Brien
J. Batty
MidfielderA. Henderson
L. Coyle
K. Mooney
J. Knowles
Missing players
J. Gomez
Liverpool & Accrington Stanley Squad Analysis
Liverpool will continue to ring the changes when they play Accrington Stanley in the FA Cup third round. With a big game against Notingham Forest on the horizon, it'd be a massive shock if players such as Mo Salah and Cody Gakpo started this match.
Young players such as Tyler Morton, Trey Nyoni, Jayden Danns (who scored twice against Southampton in the FA Cup last season) and James McConnell could all feature. Darwin Nunez, Diogo Jota, Caoimhin Keller, Darwin Nunez and Harvey Elliott could also feature.
Accrington Stanley will be missing Seb Quirk and Jay Rich-Baghuelou for this FA Cup game against Liverpool. There are also doubts about the fitness of both Dara Costelloe and Jake Batty.
Walton is out to create history for Accrington.
Tyler Walton will be out to create history in this game. If he can get on the scoresheet, he'll be the first Accrington player who has scored in the first three rounds of the FA Cup in the same season.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
Accrington Stanley
M. Salah
(21 Goals)
S. Whalley
(6 Goals)
M. Salah
(17 Assists)
Liverpool - Accrington Stanley Key Points
- Accrington Stanley are three leagues below their opponents.
- Liverpool have only lost one of their last 25 matches.
- Accrington have only won two of their last ten matches.
- Liverpool have won seven of their last eight home FA Cup games.
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Our Liverpool vs Accrington Stanley Prediction
Liverpool will make plenty of changes for this match so keep an eye on the team news for this FA Cup tie. The Reds are top of the Premier League and not lost a game since September. The last thing they will want is to suffer an embarrassing home loss to Accrington Stanley and it's very unlikely that is going to happen this weekend.
Even with most of their top players rested, their replacements are far higher quality players than Accrington Stanley possess. Our Liverpool v Accrington Stanley prediction is Liverpool to win and over 3.5 goals.
Prediction :
Liverpool to win and over 3.5 goals to be scored
Liverpool vs Accrington Stanley - Other Interesting Predictions
Diogo Jota to score
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Liverpool Accrington Stanley
| Liverpool vs Accrington Stanley | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 1.05 | 1.02 | -2.9% |
| Draw | 13 | 21 | +61.5% |
| Accrington Stanley wins | 29 | 41 | +41.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Liverpool is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 95.2% and is now 98.0% (2.8%)
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Liverpool vs Accrington Stanley match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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