Israel vs Moldova Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
Israel and Moldova finish their campaign in Group I of the UEFA 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers with a game on Sunday. This match between the third-placed ‘Skyblue and Whites’ and the fifth-placed ‘Tricolours’ in Debrecen comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.
With nine points (W3, L4), Israel start this round nine points behind second-placed Italy and have no chance of finishing in the top two. Moldova are at the bottom of the points tally in the group with only one point in their kitty (D1, L6). Unless they win here with a huge margin and cover the goal differential of 11, the visitors are set to finish last.
A 0-0 away draw this week in an international friendly continued their struggles, with no goals scored by Israel in their last three matches. They are now winless in four matches (D1, L3), including three defeats in this campaign.
Playing their home games on neutral soil hasn’t helped their cause, as they won and lost two games each in their last four fixtures here.
Moldova have been the worst defensive side of the section, having already conceded 28 goals in seven fixtures. They lost 2-0 to Italy this week, and that made it two draws and eight defeats in their last ten fixtures.
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The Best Betting Odds for Israel v Moldova Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1.38 | 4.75 | 8.5 |
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|
|
1.4 | 4.6 | 6.5 |
|
|
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1.4 | 4.33 | 6.5 |
|
|
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1.38 | 4.9 | 7.5 |
|
|
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1.36 | 4.5 | 7 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Israel and Moldova?
Our prediction for the Israel vs Moldova match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/11/2025 between Israel and Moldova in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.31% for a win of Israel against Moldova with odds of 1.42 at Roobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Israel vs Moldova is 14.98% with odds of 7.07 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.71% chance ⭐ for a win of Moldova vs Israel with odds of 17 at 22bet.
Israel - Moldova Prediction and Best Odds:
| Israel Moldova Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Israel wins | 65.31% | 1.42 at Roobet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.48% | 1.87 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Israel/Israel | 29.08% | 2.15 at Ladbrokes |
Israel vs Moldova Form
Israel and Moldova's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | -1 |
|
5
|
1 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -27 |
Israel and Moldova Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sept 2024 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
Israel vs Moldova Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
12 Oct 2021 - World Cup
31 Mar 2021 - World Cup
Israel against Moldova Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1
Missing players
M. Solomon
Most goals and assists
Israel - Moldova Key Points
- Three of Moldova’s last four matches saw both teams score goals.
- Moldova failed to keep a clean sheet in their last ten matches.
- In six of the last seven head-to-head matches, both teams scored goals, although only one was played after 2021.
- Three of the last four matches that had Israel as host saw both teams scored goals.
- Moldova’s last three away matches produced goals from both teams.
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Our Israel vs Moldova Prediction
There’s very little or nothing at stake for Israel and Moldova, who are already eliminated from the World Cup qualification race. Israel are slated to finish third irrespective of the result here against Moldova. In the same way, Moldova are out of the race too, although they could get some respectability by winning here. It won’t be straightforward, as Israel look a better team than their visitors and are more likely to fancy their chances of earning a win on neutral ground.
This match is likely to produce goals, and our Israel vs Moldova prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Israel Moldova
| Israel vs Moldova | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israel wins | 1.4 | 1.38 | -1.4% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 4.75 | 0% |
| Moldova wins | 7 | 8.5 | +21.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Israel is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 72.5% (1.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.