Groningen vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Eredivisie Predictions
Groningen will hope to take advantage of Ajax’s recent run of form with a win on Sunday in the matchday nine fixture of the Eredivisie campaign. This match at Euroborg between the sixth-placed ‘Pride of the North’ and the fifth-placed ‘Lancers’ could turn out to be a difficult game for the visitors. Our match prediction is Groningen to win or draw.
With 14 points (W4, D2, L2), Groningen are five points behind third but are only three points above eighth. Ajax have 15 points (W4, D3, L1) and are marginally better than their hosts.
Groningen thrashed Excelsior 5-1 away from home last weekend to make it two wins in a row in the league. These results meant Groningen are unbeaten in their last four league fixtures (W2, D2), which helped them bounce back from back-to-back defeats towards the end of August.
Home record is still indifferent, though, as Groningen have won only two of their four league fixtures here (W2, D1, L1).
Ajax were beaten 2-1 at Hajduk Split on Thursday in the UEFA Conference League game, keeping them winless in three matches (D2, L1). Both those draws have come in a row in the league, where they were held to a 1-1 home draw against Nijmegen last time.
Despite those setbacks, Ajax have been impeccable on the road, winning all three away league games.
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Groningen v Ajax Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.30 | 4.00 | 1.90 |
|
|
3.61 | 4.17 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.56 | 4.12 | 1.89 |
|
|
3.56 | 4.12 | 1.89 |
|
|
3.56 | 4.12 | 1.89 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Groningen and Ajax?
Our prediction for the Groningen vs Ajax match is: Groningen or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/10/2026 between Groningen and Ajax in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.95% for a win of Groningen against Ajax with odds of 3.61 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Groningen vs Ajax is 21.46% with odds of 4.2 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Ajax vs Groningen with odds of 1.93 at Shangrila.
Groningen vs Ajax Form
Groningen and Ajax's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +12 |
|
6
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 |
Groningen and Ajax Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
18 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
12 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
6 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
28 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
23 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
6 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
28 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
9 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
12 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
23 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
16 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 May 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2026 - Conference League
10 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
12 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
16 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2026 - Conference League
12 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
13 Aug 2026 - Conference League
9 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
Groningen vs Ajax Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 May 2026 - Eredivisie
7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
14 May 2025 - Eredivisie
6 Oct 2024 - Eredivisie
14 May 2023 - Eredivisie
Groningen vs Ajax last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
L. Stubljar
P. Boevink
DefenderW. Prins
J. Mosselaar
M. Csinger
MidfielderT. Land
A. Nordin
J. Hall
ForwardO. Zawada
N. Eggens
R. Metu
M. Paes
A. el Hani
DefenderL. Rosa
O. Wijndal
D. Janse
J. Mokio
MidfielderM. Abdalla
O. Gloukh
R. Bounida
ForwardO. Edvardsen
M. Leonardo
Missing players
R. Janse
DefenderM. Jeng
T. Mercera
E. Van der Laan
D. Blind
C. Henrique
A. Gaaei
ForwardS. Berghuis
K. Dolberg
Most goals and assists
Groningen
Ajax
B. Andersen Willumsson
(5 Goals)
, 
T. Van Bergen
(5 Goals)
J. Brandt
(4 Goals)
, 
T. Arokodare
(4 Goals)
D. Van der Werff
(3 Assists)
O. Gloukh
(4 Assists)
Groningen and Ajax Stats in Eredivisie
Groningen - Ajax Key Points
- Ajax have failed to win their last three competitive matches.
- Ajax won just two of their last five league matches, drawing two and losing one.
- Groningen have avoided defeat in their last four league fixtures.
- At home, Groningen have lost just one of their four home league games this season.
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Our Groningen vs Ajax Prediction
Just one point separates these sides, who remain outside the top three, and the loser of this fixture could fall further back in that race. Groningen have revived their campaign with consecutive wins after failing to win four in a row. Ajax have also drawn their last two in the league, and the defeat in the Conference League fixture could be a blow to their momentum.
Groningen have avoided defeat in two of their last three matches against Ajax, and that could again be the case here. Our Groningen vs Ajax prediction is Groningen or draw.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
