Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Eredivisie Predictions
The first match of matchday nine in the Eredivisie will feature two struggling teams, Heerenveen and Excelsior on Friday at Abe Lenstra Stadion. This match between the 10th-placed ‘De Superfriezen’ and the 9th-placed ‘Kralingers’ could throw a surprise result with our match prediction backing the visitors on a double chance.
With nine points (W2, D3, L2) Heerenveen are five points above the relegation zone and five points outside the top seven. Excelsior have 11 points (W3, D2, L3) and are three points below the European qualification play-off spots.
Heerenveen lost 2-0 away at PSV Eindhoven, failing to build on a 4-0 victory at Sparta Rotterdam one week before. The result meant that the hosts have just one win from their last six matchdays (D3, L3).
That run included failing to win their last three home league games (D1, L2) and even failing to score in two of those. In fact, Heerenveen have just four teams scoring fewer goals than them (11) but have only five teams conceding fewer (11).
Excelsior had a great start to the campaign, winning three of their first four matches (L1), but have since spiralled down. The visitors have failed to win their last four league games (D2, L2), which included a 5-1 home defeat to Groningen. In fact, Excelsior are undefeated in their last four league trips (W2, D2).
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Heerenveen v Excelsior Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.64 | 4.20 | 4.40 |
|
|
1.71 | 4.05 | 4.75 |
|
|
1.70 | 4.00 | 4.68 |
|
|
1.70 | 4.00 | 4.68 |
|
|
1.70 | 4.00 | 4.68 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Heerenveen and Excelsior?
Our prediction for the Heerenveen vs Excelsior match is: draw or Excelsior.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/10/2026 between Heerenveen and Excelsior in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.21% for a win of Heerenveen against Excelsior with odds of 1.71 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Heerenveen vs Excelsior is 23.28% with odds of 4.26 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Excelsior vs Heerenveen with odds of 4.8 at Shangrila.
Heerenveen vs Excelsior Form
Heerenveen and Excelsior's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 |
|
10
|
9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Heerenveen and Excelsior Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
13 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
6 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
6 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
9 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
30 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
16 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 May 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
13 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
29 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2026 - Eredivisie
13 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
29 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
10 May 2026 - Eredivisie
26 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
5 Sept 2026 - Eredivisie
7 Aug 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Excelsior Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Oct 2025 - Eredivisie
19 Jan 2024 - Eredivisie
23 Sept 2023 - Eredivisie
13 May 2023 - Eredivisie
5 Nov 2022 - Eredivisie
Heerenveen vs Excelsior last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
T. Schreuder
A. Noppert
DefenderD. Bladi
M. Egbring
H. Petrov
M. Hilgers
MidfielderJ. Scholten
R. Meerveld
ForwardL. Machine
L. Oyen
M. Farji
R. Uldrikis
C. Biai
DefenderV. Sulzbacher
O. Turay
G. Cairo
MidfielderI. Silva Timas
A. Jahanbakhsh
D. van Vianen
M. Dominguez
ForwardK. Bos
N. Groen
Missing players
D. Proper
N. Naujoks
Most goals and assists
Heerenveen
Excelsior
J. Trenskow
(3 Goals)
I. Yegoian
(3 Goals)
, 
D. Garden
(3 Goals)
,
A. Sliti
(3 Goals)
L. Smans
(3 Assists)
I. Yegoian
(5 Assists)
Heerenveen and Excelsior Stats in Eredivisie
Heerenveen - Excelsior Key Points
- Heerenveen could win just one of their last seven league games.
- Heerenveen have failed to win four of their last five home Eredivisie matches.
- Excelsior have avoided defeat in four of their last six league games.
- Excelsior are undefeated in their last eight league trips (W4, D4).
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Our Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction
A 2-0 loss to PSV last time out underlined Heerenveen’s struggles, as they have just one win over their last seven games. Excelsior are also coming off a defeat, their second in the last four matches. The visitors will be happy to be on the road, where they remain unbeaten this season and can hope to continue that momentum.
Heerenveen may have won the last two head-to-head games, but Excelsior have been impressive on the road lately and are a big threat. Our Heerenveen vs Excelsior prediction is a draw or Excelsior.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Heerenveen vs. Excelsior game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
