Italy - Serie A
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by Sridhar | in Serie A Predictions
Genoa and Atalanta face off on Saturday in the penultimate round of the Serie A 2024/25 campaign with very little on offer for the sides. This match between the 13th-placed Grifone and the third-placed La Dea at Stadio Luigi Ferraris comes with our prediction of an away win.
With 40 points, Genoa are already guaranteed to finish at least 13th but no higher than 11th. Atalanta’s 71 points guarantee them a third-placed finish and a spot in next season’s Champions League.
Genoa held Napoli to a 2-2 away draw last weekend to halt a three-match losing streak. They are also winless in five matches in Serie A (D2, L3), failing to score in three of those.
Two of those defeats have come at this venue, but Genoa had a run of five wins and a draw prior to these defeats. Atalanta will look to continue Genoa’s losing streak and post a season double, having won the reverse fixture 5-1 in October.
The visitors won 2-1 at home against Roma, making it a fourth win in their last five league fixtures. La Dea are certainly ending the season positively, although they are guaranteed to finish third.
Atalanta won’t mind being on the road, as they have the best away record in this league campaign, winning 12 of 18 trips.
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The Best Betting Odds for Genoa v Atalanta Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.4 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.4 | 2.25 |
|
|
3 | 3.3 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.25 | 2.25 |
|
|
5 | 3.75 | 1.67 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Genoa and Atalanta?
Our prediction for the Genoa vs Atalanta match is: Atalanta wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2025 between Genoa and Atalanta in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.77% for a win of Genoa against Atalanta with odds of 5.4 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Genoa vs Atalanta is 19.15% with odds of 4.1 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Genoa with odds of 2.32 at Vbet.
Genoa - Atalanta Prediction and Best Odds:
| Genoa Atalanta Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins | 52.08% | 2.32 at Vbet |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | 2.18 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 36.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Atalanta | 23.75% | 5.8 at Unibet |
Genoa vs Atalanta Form
Genoa and Atalanta's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
74 | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 41 |
|
13
|
43 | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | -12 |
Genoa and Atalanta Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Serie A
5 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
4 Apr 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 May 2025 - Serie A
23 Apr 2025 - Serie A
4 Apr 2025 - Serie A
14 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
17 Feb 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
7 Mar 2025 - Serie A
22 Feb 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2025 - Serie A
4 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
13 Apr 2025 - Serie A
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Serie A
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
12 Feb 2025 - Champions League
Genoa vs Atalanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Oct 2024 - Serie A
11 Feb 2024 - Serie A
22 Oct 2023 - Serie A
13 Mar 2022 - Serie A
21 Dec 2021 - Serie A
15 May 2021 - Serie A
Genoa against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
A. Matturro
MidfielderR. Malinovskyi
F. Miretti
M. Cornet
ForwardM. Balotelli
G. Scalvini
S. Posch
S. Kolasinac
R. Toloi
B. Djimsiti
J. Cuadrado
ForwardG. Scamacca
Most goals and assists
Genoa
Atalanta
A. Pinamonti
(10 Goals)
M. Retegui
(28 Goals)
A. Martin
(8 Assists)
C. De Ketelaere
(11 Assists)
Genoa - Atalanta Key Points
- Genoa lost three of their four recent Serie A matches, drawing the other.
- At home, Genoa were beaten in their last two league matches.
- Genoa lost their three recent league fixtures against Atalanta, including a 5-1 defeat in the reverse fixture.
- Atalanta won four of their last five Serie A games, drawing the other.
- Away from home, Atalanta won six of their last seven league fixtures, losing just once.
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Our Genoa vs Atalanta Prediction
Played on a Saturday with nothing on offer for the two teams, Genoa vs Atalanta isn’t likely to entertain neutrals. Atalanta are guaranteed to finish third, irrespective of the results in the next two matches. Genoa couldn’t finish below 13th but can aim to finish a few slots above. That would need them to go back in time and revert to their home form at the start of this calendar year. Atalanta have the best away record in Serie A, and that’s why our Genoa vs Atalanta prediction is Atalanta wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Genoa Atalanta
| Genoa vs Atalanta | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa wins | 5.25 | 3.1 | -41.0% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.4 | -12.8% |
| Atalanta wins | 1.62 | 2.25 | +38.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atalanta is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 38.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 44.4% (-17.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Genoa vs. Atalanta game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Genoa and Atalanta? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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