FC Bayeux vs Marseille Prediction & Betting Tips - French Cup
France - French Cup
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by Nella Wagah in French Cup Predictions
Sixth-tier side Bayeux will welcome Ligue 1 giants Marseille to Caen for a French Cup duel this Tuesday. The two sides face off in the round of 32, a match to be staged at Stade Michel d’Ornano. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
Bayeux thumped Blois 2-1 to advance to this stage of the competition and will be convinced about progressing deeper. This is already a record for Bayeux, as they have never been this far in the French Cup.
Also, no regional club has made it past this round since 2023, and Bayeux will be looking to break that ceiling. They have it all in their hands after straight wins at home in the earlier two rounds.
Once placed proudly atop the Ligue 1 standings, Marseille have now slumped to a distant third. Sitting eight points behind the league leaders, Les Phoceens look more likely to challenge for this cup than the league title.
They recently lost to PSG in the Trophee des Champions final, and an earlier Ligue 1 defeat to struggling Nantes left damning questions about the visitors.
Facing a much weaker opponent, however, is a good opportunity for the visitors to try and bounce back.
Their away numbers haven't been so bad, winning six of the last 10 across all competitions but only keeping three clean sheets.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for FC Bayeux v Marseille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
51 | 17 | 1.03 |
|
|
45 | 20 | 1.02 |
|
|
41 | 15 | 1.01 |
|
|
40 | 15 | 1.03 |
|
|
60 | 22 | 1.03 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between FC Bayeux and Marseille?
Our prediction for the FC Bayeux vs Marseille match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/01/2026 between FC Bayeux and Marseille in French Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.66% for a win of FC Bayeux against Marseille with odds of 60 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between FC Bayeux vs Marseille is 8.28% with odds of 22 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs FC Bayeux with odds of 1.03 at Bet365.
FC Bayeux - Marseille Prediction and Best Odds:
| FC Bayeux Marseille Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| FC Bayeux wins | 46.66% | 60 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.95% | |
| Both Team To Score | 66.67% | 3 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : FC Bayeux/FC Bayeux | 22.77% | 81 at Bet365 |
FC Bayeux vs Marseille Form
FC Bayeux and Marseille Last Matches
3/3 (100%)
0/3 (0%)
0/3 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
29 Nov 2025 - French Cup
15 Nov 2025 - French Cup
2/2 (100%)
0/2 (0%)
0/2 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
15 Nov 2025 - French Cup
1/1 (100%)
0/1 (0%)
0/1 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Nov 2025 - French Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
9 Dec 2025 - Champions League
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
Missing players
F. Medina
MidfielderH. Traore
ForwardA. Gouiri
FC Bayeux - Marseille Key Points
- Both teams scored in four of Bayeux's last five matches.
- Marseille could only manage three clean sheets in 10 away games.
- Bayeux failed to score just once in their last four home matches.
- In five of Marseille’s last nine outings, both teams scored.
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Our FC Bayeux vs Marseille Prediction
Bayeux have punched above their weight in this tournament so far, and here they have the chance to deliver the biggest shock. Finding Marseille at a low after their heartbreaking loss to PSG will work well for the minnows, but here they need more than that.
Marseille haven't kept a lot of clean sheets, and defensive discipline will be one of the areas to pay attention to here. In Bayeux’s scoring form, they will be interested in that stat. Our prediction for Bayeux v Marseille will be BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
